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Jaguares crestJaguares
v
Bucaramanga crestBucaramanga

Primera A | Sun 08 Nov, 21:05

Jaguares v Bucaramanga Stats

Data last updated: Sat 07 Nov 2026, 04:35 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Jaguares face Bucaramanga in a Primera A clash where both teams have shown contrasting fortunes this season. Bucaramanga, sitting comfortably in 4th place, have been more prolific offensively and defensively than Jaguares, who are near the bottom of the table. Recent form data shows both sides have contributed goals in their matches, with Bucaramanga boasting a higher BTTS rate. This fixture promises open play as both teams seek vital points, with attacking players likely to influence the outcome amid tactical openness and defensive vulnerabilities.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have combined BTTS rates of 40% (Jaguares) and 80% (Bucaramanga) recently.
  • Average shots per game are identical at 11.4 for both teams, indicating balanced attacking intent.
  • Jaguares concede 1.8 goals per game, highlighting defensive fragility.
  • Bucaramanga ranks 4th with 29 points, showing stronger overall form than Jaguares at 19th with 13 points.
  • Head-to-head matches average 1.6 goals, supporting a moderate scoring environment.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score at 73.3% chance, well above the implied market chance of 59.9%, indicating clear value. Bucaramanga's strong attacking numbers and Jaguares' defensive weaknesses create a scenario where both sides are likely to find the net. Recent form supports this, with Bucaramanga scoring consistently and Jaguares conceding frequently. The balanced shot volumes and high BTTS rate for Bucaramanga reinforce the likelihood of goals at both ends. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Model Chance73.3% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+13.4 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance73.3% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+13.4 pts)
Positive
Recent BTTS Rates40% Jaguares, 80% Bucaramanga
Strong positive
Defensive Records1.8 goals conceded per game by Jaguares
Positive
Shot Volumes11.4 average shots per team
Positive
Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“The attacking profiles of Bucaramanga combined with Jaguares' defensive vulnerabilities create a compelling case for Both Teams to Score. The balance of shot creation and concession suggests goals at both ends are likely.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have combined BTTS rates of 40% (Jaguares) and 80% (Bucaramanga) recently.

Average shots per game are identical at 11.4 for both teams, indicating balanced attacking intent.

Jaguares concede 1.8 goals per game, highlighting defensive fragility.

Bucaramanga ranks 4th with 29 points, showing stronger overall form than Jaguares at 19th with 13 points.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.6, indicating moderate scoring.
  • Both teams' recent matches show tendencies toward open play and goal-scoring opportunities, with over 2.5 goals occurring in 40% of their games, suggesting a balanced tempo conducive to goals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Jaguares0.6
Avg goals scored
Bucaramanga1
Jaguares1.8
Avg goals conceded
Bucaramanga1.2
Jaguares40%
BTTS rate
Bucaramanga80%
Jaguares40%
Over 2.5 goals
Bucaramanga40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 60% · edge +13.4 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 44%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 26%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Recent goal trends show Bucaramanga scoring more consistently with an 80% BTTS rate, while Jaguares have a 40% BTTS rate but concede heavily at 1.8 goals per game. This combination supports a scenario where both sides find the net, driven by offensive intent and defensive lapses.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Jaguares

LLWLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 7L
03 Nov 2026A Deportivo Pasto0-2
30 Oct 2026A Deportivo Pereira0-1
26 Oct 2026H Llaneros1-0
22 Oct 2026A Santa Fe1-2
18 Oct 2026A Millonarios1-4

Bucaramanga

DWLLD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
03 Nov 2026H Atletico Nacional1-1
31 Oct 2026H Deportivo Pasto2-1
27 Oct 2026A Santa Fe1-2
24 Oct 2026A Chico0-1
18 Oct 2026H America de Cali1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 81% vs implied 80% · edge +1 pts
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
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Jaguares Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Bucaramanga to WinBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Bucaramanga Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Jaguares to WinBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Recent form data shows Bucaramanga with better points accumulation and a higher BTTS rate, reflecting their offensive consistency. Jaguares struggle defensively but have managed to score in some matches, supporting the likelihood of goals from both teams in this fixture.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 60% · edge +13.4 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 62%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Jaguares Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Bucaramanga to WinBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Bucaramanga Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Jaguares to WinBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
The 73.3% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 59.9% implied by the current price (+13.4 pts). Jaguares show a 40% BTTS rate and Bucaramanga show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Jaguares Over 2.5
40%Bucaramanga Over 2.5
1.6H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.6, indicating moderate scoring. Both teams' recent matches show tendencies toward open play and goal-scoring opportunities, with over 2.5 goals occurring in 40% of their games, suggesting a balanced tempo conducive to goals.

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