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Alianza Valledupar crestAlianza Valledupar
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Llaneros crestLlaneros

Primera A | Mon 09 Nov, 01:15

Alianza Valledupar v Llaneros Stats

Data last updated: Sun 08 Nov 2026, 03:35 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Alianza Valledupar and Llaneros face off in a Primera A clash where both teams have shown moderate attacking intent but also defensive vulnerabilities. Alianza Valledupar ranks 15th with 18 points, while Llaneros sits slightly higher at 13th with 20 points, indicating a mid-table tussle with room for improvement. Recent form data reveals both sides averaging around 40% over 2.5 goals rate, suggesting open play but not high scoring. The tactical battle is likely to involve sustained wing play and set-piece opportunities, setting the stage for a contest with frequent corner kicks and territorial exchanges.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Alianza Valledupar averages 3.6 corners per game, Llaneros 5.4, combining for over 9 corners on average.
  • Both teams have moderate attacking output but tend to generate set-piece chances through wing play.
  • Recent matches show a 66.6% for Over 9.5 Corners, indicating a strong statistical trend.
  • The corner count is supported by high shot volumes: Alianza Valledupar 10.8 and Llaneros 11.8 shots per game.
  • Player data highlights active wide players likely to create crossing and corner opportunities, enhancing corner potential.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 9.5 Corners as a strong value bet with a 66.6% chance against an implied market chance of 52.6%, reflecting a 14% . Both teams generate a high volume of shots and wide attacks, contributing to frequent corners. Llaneros' average of 5.4 corners per game and Alianza Valledupar's 3.6 combine to exceed the 9.5 threshold regularly. The match tempo and tactical approach favor wing play and set-piece creation, reinforcing the likelihood of surpassing 9.5 corners. is high at 82%, making this a compelling corners market selection.

Model Chance66.6% model chance vs 52.6% implied (+14 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance66.6% model chance vs 52.6% implied (+14 pts)
Positive
Value Edge66.6% model chance vs 52.6% implied (+14 pts)
Strong positive
Average Corners per GameAlianza Valledupar 3.6, Llaneros 5.4
Strong positive
Shot VolumeAlianza Valledupar 10.8, Llaneros 11.8
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a game with frequent wing play and set-piece situations leading to numerous corner kicks. Llaneros' higher corner average combined with Alianza Valledupar's steady attacking presence suggests the corner count will surpass 9.5. The data supports a tactical scenario where both teams seek width and crossing opportunities, making Over 9.5 Corners a sensible selection.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · corners market

“The corner market stands out as a key angle here given the teams' tendencies to attack from wide areas and generate set-piece chances. The statistical edge and tactical context align well to expect a lively corner count.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Alianza Valledupar averages 3.6 corners per game, Llaneros 5.4, combining for over 9 corners on average.

Both teams have moderate attacking output but tend to generate set-piece chances through wing play.

Recent matches show a 66.6% for Over 9.5 Corners, indicating a strong statistical trend.

The corner count is supported by high shot volumes: Alianza Valledupar 10.8 and Llaneros 11.8 shots per game.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • Over the last three head-to-head matches, the average goals total is 1.67, indicating moderate scoring but not directly impacting corner frequency.
  • The trend panel for Over 2.5 Goals at 40% suggests a balanced tempo, with corner opportunities more influenced by wing play and set-piece tactics than goal volume.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Alianza Valledupar1
Avg goals scored
Llaneros0.8
Alianza Valledupar1
Avg goals conceded
Llaneros1.4
Alianza Valledupar40%
BTTS rate
Llaneros20%
Alianza Valledupar40%
Over 2.5 goals
Llaneros40%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 60% · edge -1.9 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 28%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Both teams have a modest over 2.5 goals rate of 40%, with average goals per game around 1.67 in their head-to-head. This suggests moderate scoring but does not heavily influence corner volume, which is driven more by attacking style and wing play than goal frequency.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Alianza Valledupar

LLWWD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 4L
01 Nov 2026A Independiente Medellin1-2
28 Oct 2026A Once Caldas0-1
25 Oct 2026H Internacional de Bogota1-0
20 Oct 2026A Deportivo Pasto1-0
10 Oct 2026H Águilas Doradas2-2

Llaneros

WLLWL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 7L
31 Oct 2026H Junior3-2
26 Oct 2026A Jaguares0-1
22 Oct 2026H Deportivo Cali0-3
19 Oct 2026H Santa Fe1-0
10 Oct 2026A Once Caldas0-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 80% · edge -1.7 pts
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Alianza Valledupar to WinBetUK guide price · model 51%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Alianza Valledupar Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Llaneros to WinBet365 guide price · model 33%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Llaneros Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
DrawBetUK guide price · model 28%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Recent form shows both teams averaging around 40% over 2.5 goals rate but maintaining high shot volumes and corner counts. The model's 66.6% in Over 9.5 Corners reflects consistent corner generation in recent matches, supporting the bet based on current attacking patterns and territorial play.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 67% · edge +5.9 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
Alianza Valledupar to WinBetUK guide price · model 51%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Alianza Valledupar Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Llaneros to WinBet365 guide price · model 33%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Llaneros Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
The 66.6% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 52.6% implied by the current price (+14 pts). Llaneros lead the corner sample at 5.4 per match, with Alianza Valledupar lower at 3.6.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Alianza Valledupar Over 2.5
40%Llaneros Over 2.5
1.67H2H avg goals
Over the last three head-to-head matches, the average goals total is 1.67, indicating moderate scoring but not directly impacting corner frequency. The trend panel for Over 2.5 Goals at 40% suggests a balanced tempo, with corner opportunities more influenced by wing play and set-piece tactics than goal volume.

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