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Club Queretaro crestClub Queretaro
v
Puebla crestPuebla

Liga MX | Mon 09 Nov, 00:00

Club Queretaro v Puebla Stats

Data last updated: Sun 08 Nov 2026, 03:41 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Club Queretaro and Puebla meet in a Liga MX clash where offensive intent and defensive vulnerabilities shape expectations. Club Queretaro, ranked 12th, have struggled defensively conceding 2.6 goals per game, while Puebla, 14th, also show defensive frailties with 2.2 goals conceded on average. Both sides have moderate scoring records and a tendency for open play, suggesting a match where both teams are likely to find the net. Recent form data highlights a propensity for goals and goal concessions, setting the stage for an engaging contest with attacking opportunities on both ends.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have high BTTS rates: Club Queretaro 60%, Puebla 80%.
  • Recent matches show Club Queretaro concedes 2.6 goals per game on average.
  • Puebla averages 1.2 goals scored per match with 2.2 conceded, indicating open games.
  • Both sides generate a healthy number of shots, with Club Queretaro averaging 14.6 and Puebla 13 per game.
  • Head-to-head matches average 2.3 goals, supporting a goal-rich encounter.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, reflecting strong attacking tendencies and defensive weaknesses on both sides. Club Queretaro's high goals conceded rate and Puebla's consistent goal scoring underpin this view. The market price at 1.62 offers positive value against the implied chance of 61.7%. The level is high at 88%, supported by balanced shot volumes and BTTS rates. No data limitations affect this analysis, making the BTTS selection a well-supported choice for this fixture.

Model Chance76% model chance vs 61.7% implied (+14.3 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Chance76% model chance vs 61.7% implied (+14.3 pts)
Positive
Value Edge76% model chance vs 61.7% implied (+14.3 pts)
Strong positive
Confidence88%
Strong positive
BTTS RatesClub Queretaro 60%, Puebla 80%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities and attacking intent, making both teams to score a logical choice. Club Queretaro's porous defense combined with Puebla's consistent goal threat suggests a match where goals at both ends are likely. The statistical trends and recent form data reinforce this outlook, supporting the BTTS pick as a tactically and data-driven selection.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Defensive vulnerabilities and attacking opportunities

“The defensive records of both Club Queretaro and Puebla point towards an open game where both sides are vulnerable at the back, making the both teams to score market a compelling angle for bettors.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have high BTTS rates: Club Queretaro 60%, Puebla 80%.

Recent matches show Club Queretaro concedes 2.6 goals per game on average.

Puebla averages 1.2 goals scored per match with 2.2 conceded, indicating open games.

Both sides generate a healthy number of shots, with Club Queretaro averaging 14.6 and Puebla 13 per game.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals tally is 2.3, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend.
  • Both teams' recent Over 2.5 goals rates stand at 80% for Club Queretaro and 60% for Puebla, suggesting a tempo and style conducive to multiple goals in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Club Queretaro1
Avg goals scored
Puebla1.2
Club Queretaro2.6
Avg goals conceded
Puebla2.2
Club Queretaro60%
BTTS rate
Puebla80%
Club Queretaro80%
Over 2.5 goals
Puebla60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 37%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Both teams have shown a tendency to concede and score regularly, with Club Queretaro conceding 2.6 goals per game and Puebla 2.2. Their BTTS rates of 60% and 80% respectively highlight a pattern of open matches. The average goals in their head-to-head meetings at 2.3 further supports the expectation of goals from both sides.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Puebla to WinBetfred guide price · model 39%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Club Queretaro Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Puebla Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 51%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
The 76% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 61.7% implied by the current price (+14.3 pts). Club Queretaro show a 60% BTTS rate and Puebla show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Club Queretaro

LLLLW
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 5L
31 Oct 2026A FC Juarez1-3
26 Oct 2026H Cruz Azul1-3
21 Oct 2026A Atletico San Luis1-2
18 Oct 2026A Santos Laguna0-5
11 Oct 2026H Atlante FC2-0

Puebla

LLLDD
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 6L
31 Oct 2026H U.N.A.M. - Pumas1-2
25 Oct 2026A Atlas3-4
22 Oct 2026H Monterrey1-4
17 Oct 2026A Club Tijuana0-0
10 Oct 2026H Leon1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Puebla to WinBetfred guide price · model 39%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Club Queretaro Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Puebla Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Club Queretaro to WinBetfred guide price · model 44%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Recent form data shows Club Queretaro with 3 points and 1 goal scored, while Puebla has 2 points and 1.2 goals per game. Both teams have high BTTS rates in recent matches, 60% for Club Queretaro and 80% for Puebla, reflecting ongoing trends of both sides finding the net and conceding goals.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Club Queretaro Over 2.5
60%Puebla Over 2.5
2.3H2H avg goals
Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals tally is 2.3, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend. Both teams' recent Over 2.5 goals rates stand at 80% for Club Queretaro and 60% for Puebla, suggesting a tempo and style conducive to multiple goals in this fixture.

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