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Central Cordoba de Santiago crestCentral Cordoba de Santiago
v
Lanus crestLanus

Liga Profesional Argentina | Sun 08 Nov, 22:30

Central Cordoba de Santiago v Lanus Stats

Data last updated: Sat 07 Nov 2026, 04:41 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Lanus enters this Liga Profesional Argentina clash with strong momentum, sitting fifth in the standings with 25 points, well ahead of Central Cordoba de Santiago in 15th place with 10 points. Lanus boasts a solid defensive record, conceding just 0.4 goals per game recently, while Central Cordoba has struggled defensively, allowing 2.4 goals per match. Lanus' tactical discipline and sharper recent form position them as favorites in this away fixture, where they will look to capitalize on their attacking efficiency and defensive solidity against a Central Cordoba side that has found scoring difficult.

BT4Y best bet

Lanus to Win

  • Lanus holds a 70% to win with positive value at 1.67 .
  • Central Cordoba concedes 2.4 goals per game, Lanus concedes only 0.4 recently.
  • Lanus ranks 5th with 25 points; Central Cordoba is 15th with 10 points.
  • Lanus averages 3.8 shots on target per game, slightly higher than Central Cordoba's 3.4.
  • Aquino has 6 goals and 1.27 shots on target per 90 minutes, leading their attack.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Lanus to win due to their superior defensive record and recent form, conceding just 0.4 goals per game compared to Central Cordoba's 2.4. Lanus' higher league position and consistent attacking threat, led by D. Aquino's goal-scoring and shot accuracy, underpin the 70% win probability. Central Cordoba's struggles in defense and lower points tally reinforce Lanus' advantage. No price warning is needed as the reflect good value with a 10.1% edge, supporting a standard stake recommendation.

Defensive StrengthLanus concedes 0.4 goals per game vs Central Cordoba's 2.4
Strong positive
Recent FormLanus earned 9 points recently; Central Cordoba 2 points
Strong positive
League PositionLanus 5th vs Central Cordoba 15th
Positive
Attacking ThreatD. Aquino 6 goals, 1.27 SOT/90
Positive
Market Value Edge70% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+10.1 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Lanus' tactical discipline and strong defensive record make them the clear favorites against a Central Cordoba side that has struggled to score and defend. Lanus' higher league standing and recent form provide a solid foundation for victory in this away fixture, making the win bet a sensible choice.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Lanus to Win

“Lanus combines defensive solidity with effective attacking options, particularly through D. Aquino, making them well-equipped to control this match and secure the win away from home.”

Key Data Signals

Lanus to Win evidence

Lanus holds a 70% to win with positive value at 1.67 .

Central Cordoba concedes 2.4 goals per game, Lanus concedes only 0.4 recently.

Lanus ranks 5th with 25 points; Central Cordoba is 15th with 10 points.

Lanus averages 3.8 shots on target per game, slightly higher than Central Cordoba's 3.4.

What To Watch In The Data

Lanus to Win notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2, indicating moderate scoring.
  • Lanus' recent matches show a defensive approach limiting goals, while Central Cordoba tends to be involved in higher scoring games.
  • This trend suggests a tactical battle with Lanus aiming to keep the score low and secure the win.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Central Cordoba de Santiago0.8
Avg goals scored
Lanus1
Central Cordoba de Santiago2.4
Avg goals conceded
Lanus0.4
Central Cordoba de Santiago60%
BTTS rate
Lanus40%
Central Cordoba de Santiago60%
Over 2.5 goals
Lanus0%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 49% · edge +14.5 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
4
Check odds @ 4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 38%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Central Cordoba has a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals and BTTS, indicating a tendency for open games. Lanus, however, has a 0% over 2.5 rate and only 40% BTTS, highlighting their defensive focus. This contrast suggests Lanus may limit scoring opportunities despite Central Cordoba's openness.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickLanus to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Lanus Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 63%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 38%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
The 70% for Lanus to Win sits against roughly 59.9% implied by the current price (+10.1 pts). Lanus have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 2 for Central Cordoba de Santiago.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Central Cordoba de Santiago

LLLDD
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 4D 6L
02 Nov 2026A Platense0-2
26 Oct 2026H Velez Sarsfield0-5
19 Oct 2026A Newells Old Boys1-2
10 Oct 2026H Estudiantes L.P.2-2
05 Oct 2026A Deportivo Riestra1-1

Lanus

DDWWD
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 4D 1L
01 Nov 2026H Gimnasia M.1-1
24 Oct 2026A Banfield1-1
17 Oct 2026A Platense1-0
12 Oct 2026H Velez Sarsfield2-0
03 Oct 2026A Newells Old Boys0-0
Market aligned with main pickLanus to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Lanus Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Lanus has collected 9 points recently, showcasing strong form and defensive solidity with only 0.4 goals conceded per game. Central Cordoba's recent 2 points and 2.4 goals conceded per match reveal defensive vulnerabilities and scoring difficulties, reinforcing Lanus' advantage heading into this match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Central Cordoba de Santiago Over 2.5
0%Lanus Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2, indicating moderate scoring. Lanus' recent matches show a defensive approach limiting goals, while Central Cordoba tends to be involved in higher scoring games. This trend suggests a tactical battle with Lanus aiming to keep the score low and secure the win.

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