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Bolivia crestBolivia
v
Scotland crestScotland

Friendlies | Sat 06 Jun, 21:00

Bolivia v Scotland Stats

Data last updated: Sat 11 Jul 2026, 19:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bolivia face Scotland in Friendlies on Sat 06 Jun, 21:00. Steve Clarke’s side are riding a major emotional surge after securing direct entry into the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, ending a tournament drought stretching back to 1998.

BT4Y best bet

Scotland 2-1 Correct Score (7/1) Predicting an exact 2-1 scoreline aligns cleanly with the combined patterns of both sides

  • At 21/10, Bolivia Win implies roughly 32%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 49%.
  • Bolivia have been breached in five of their previous six games, and seven goals conceded across that period suggests more than the odd lapse.
  • Bolivia have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 3 for Scotland.
  • Bolivia have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.67 conceded per match, which helps the Bolivia Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 49% for Bolivia Win sits against roughly 32% implied by the current price. Bolivia have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 3 for Scotland. Bolivia have been breached in five of their previous six games, and seven goals conceded across that period suggests more than the odd lapse.

Model chance vs price49% model chance against roughly 32% implied
Strong positive
Bolivia have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points.Visible data support
Positive
Bolivia have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.67 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Bolivia have been breached in five of their previous.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Bolivia Win is the preferred angle because bolivia have been breached in five of their previous six games, and seven goals conceded across that period suggests more than the odd lapse. Bolivia have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 3 for Scotland. Their recent matches have been eventful, but eventful is not always a compliment.

Main risk

Their recent matches have been eventful, but eventful is not always a compliment.

Key Data Signals

Bolivia Win evidence

Bolivia have been breached in five of their previous six games, and seven goals conceded across that period.

Bolivia have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 3 for Scotland.

Bolivia have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.67 conceded per match, which helps the Bolivia Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Bolivia Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Bolivia1.33
    Avg goals scored
    Scotland1.33
    Bolivia0.67
    Avg goals conceded
    Scotland1
    Bolivia33%
    BTTS rate
    Scotland33%
    Bolivia33%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Scotland33%
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 48% · edge +17.9 pts
    2.08
    Check odds @ 2.08
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 56%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 49%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 52%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Bolivia

    WLD
    Last 51W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 1L
    15 Mar 2026H Trinidad and Tobago3-0
    25 Jan 2026H Mexico0-1
    18 Jan 2026H Panama1-1

    Scotland

    WLL
    Last 51W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 2L
    30 May 2026H Curaçao4-1
    31 Mar 2026H Ivory Coast0-1
    28 Mar 2026H Japan0-1
    Market aligned with main pickBolivia to WinBetfred guide price · Model 49% vs implied 14% · edge +34.6 pts
    7
    Check odds @ 7
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 77%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Bolivia Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 59%
    4.15
    Check odds @ 4.15
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickBolivia to WinBetfred guide price · Model 49% vs implied 14% · edge +34.6 pts
    7
    Check odds @ 7
    Load more odds for this section
    Bolivia Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 59%
    4.15
    Check odds @ 4.15
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 56%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Bolivia to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Bolivia4
    Avg corners for
    Scotland6
    Bolivia8
    Avg total corners
    Scotland11
    Bolivia1
    Avg yellow cards
    Scotland0.67
    Bolivia13
    Avg shots
    Scotland13.33
    Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 60% · edge -1.6 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Bolivia wins
    0Draws
    0Scotland wins
    Market aligned with main pickBolivia to WinBetfred guide price · Model 49% vs implied 14% · edge +34.6 pts
    7
    Check odds @ 7
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 56%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Bolivia to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Season team stats

    Friendlies

    Bolivia5
    Played
    Scotland4
    Bolivia0.8
    Avg goals for
    Scotland2
    Bolivia2
    Avg goals against
    Scotland0.8
    Bolivia1
    Clean sheets
    Scotland1
    Market aligned with main pickBolivia to WinBetfred guide price · Model 49% vs implied 14% · edge +34.6 pts
    7
    Check odds @ 7
    Load more odds for this section
    Bolivia Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 59%
    4.15
    Check odds @ 4.15
    Season data supports Bolivia to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    33%Bolivia Over 2.5
    33%Scotland Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Bolivia sit at 33% and Scotland sit at 33%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Bolivia v Scotland prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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