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Austria crestAustria
v
Tunisia crestTunisia

Friendlies | Mon 01 Jun, 19:45

Austria v Tunisia Stats

Data last updated: Fri 21 Aug 2026, 15:50 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Austria face Tunisia in Friendlies on Mon 01 Jun, 19:45. An incredibly consistent run saw them secure a substantial cushion at the top of their group. Austria have avoided defeat in 13 consecutive matches on home soil, securing ten wins. Sabri Lamouchi relies on a compact defensive shape, pointing toward a low-scoring home win.

BT4Y best bet

Means you are backing Austria to win the match while also projecting that the total number of goals scored by both sides combined will be two or fewer

  • At 11/4, Means you are backing Austria to win the match while also projecting that the total number of goals scored by both sides combined will be two or fewer implies roughly 27%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 42%.
  • Tunisia conceded just once across Sabri Lamouchi's opening two matches in charge, keeping clean sheets against Haiti and Canada.
  • Austria have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 4 for Tunisia.
  • Tunisia have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Means you are backing Austria to win the match while also projecting that the total number of goals scored by.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 42% for Means you are backing Austria to win the match while also projecting that the total number of goals scored by both sides combined will be two or fewer sits against roughly 27% implied by the current price. Austria have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 4 for Tunisia. Tunisia conceded just once across Sabri Lamouchi's opening two matches in charge, keeping clean sheets against Haiti and Canada.

Model chance vs price42% model chance against roughly 27% implied
Strong positive
Austria have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points.Visible data support
Positive
Tunisia have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Tunisia conceded just once across Sabri Lamouchi's opening two.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Austria Win is the preferred angle because tunisia conceded just once across Sabri Lamouchi's opening two matches in charge, keeping clean sheets against Haiti and Canada. Austria have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 4 for Tunisia. However, Tunisia's resistance should limit the hosts' overall output, making a single-goal margin the most plausible outcome.

Main risk

However, Tunisia's resistance should limit the hosts' overall output, making a single-goal margin the most plausible outcome.

Key Data Signals

Means you are backing Austria to win the match while also projecting that the total number of goals scored by both sides combined will be two or fewer evidence

Tunisia conceded just once across Sabri Lamouchi's opening two matches in charge, keeping clean sheets against Haiti.

Austria have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 4 for Tunisia.

Tunisia have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Austria Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Means you are backing Austria to win the match while also projecting that the total number of goals scored by both sides combined will be two or fewer notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Austria3
    Avg goals scored
    Tunisia0.5
    Austria0.5
    Avg goals conceded
    Tunisia0
    Austria50%
    BTTS rate
    Tunisia0%
    Austria50%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Tunisia0%
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 54% · edge +11.9 pts
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
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    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 62%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 42%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
    3.4
    Check odds @ 3.4
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickAustria to WinBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 67% · edge +1.1 pts
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
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    Austria Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
    1.26
    Check odds @ 1.26
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 42%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Austria to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Austria4.5
    Avg corners for
    Tunisia-
    Austria9
    Avg total corners
    Tunisia-
    Austria1
    Avg yellow cards
    Tunisia-
    Austria8
    Avg shots
    Tunisia-
    Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 56% · edge +0.9 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Austria

    WW
    Last 52W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 0D 0L
    31 Mar 2026H South Korea1-0
    27 Mar 2026H Ghana5-1

    Tunisia

    DW
    Last 51W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 0L
    01 Apr 2026A Canada0-0
    29 Mar 2026A Haiti1-0
    Market aligned with main pickAustria to WinBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 67% · edge +1.1 pts
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
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    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
    1.1
    Check odds @ 1.1
    Austria Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
    1.26
    Check odds @ 1.26
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Austria wins
    0Draws
    0Tunisia wins
    Market aligned with main pickAustria to WinBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 67% · edge +1.1 pts
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
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    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 42%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Austria to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Friendlies

    Austria3
    Played
    Tunisia4
    Austria2.3
    Avg goals for
    Tunisia0.3
    Austria0.3
    Avg goals against
    Tunisia1.5
    Austria2
    Clean sheets
    Tunisia2
    Market aligned with main pickAustria to WinBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 67% · edge +1.1 pts
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Austria Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
    1.26
    Check odds @ 1.26
    Season data supports Austria to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    50%Austria Over 2.5
    0%Tunisia Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Austria sit at 50% and Tunisia sit at 0%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.