Football Stats Hub

Willem II crestWillem II
v
NEC Nijmegen crestNEC Nijmegen

Eredivisie | Sat 15 Aug, 15:30

Willem II v NEC Nijmegen Stats

Data last updated: Fri 14 Aug 2026, 07:27 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Willem II face NEC Nijmegen in Eredivisie on Sat 15 Aug, 15:30. Willem II have seen all of their last 16 home league matches finish under four goals, a striking contrast with their 4-1 opening-day defeat away from home.

BT4Y best bet

NEC Nijmegen to win and both teams to score

  • At 13/8, NEC Nijmegen to win and both teams to score implies roughly 38%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 40%.
  • Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen: Home resilience meets NEC’s European lift.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 100% for Willem II and 100% for NEC Nijmegen.
  • NEC Nijmegen to win and both teams to score needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 1 for Willem II and 1 for NEC Nijmegen are central to the read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 40% for NEC Nijmegen to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 38% implied by the current price. The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 100% for Willem II and 100% for NEC Nijmegen. Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen: Home resilience meets NEC’s European lift.

Model chance vs price40% model chance against roughly 38% implied
Neutral
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
NEC Nijmegen to win and both teams to score needs.Visible data support
Positive
Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen: Home resilience meets NEC’s.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: NEC Nijmegen Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because willem II vs NEC Nijmegen: Home resilience meets NEC’s European lift. The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 100% for Willem II and 100% for NEC Nijmegen. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

NEC Nijmegen to win and both teams to score evidence

Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen: Home resilience meets NEC’s European lift.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 100% for Willem II and 100% for NEC Nijmegen.

NEC Nijmegen Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 1 for Willem II and 1 for NEC Nijmegen are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

NEC Nijmegen to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Willem II2
Avg corners for
NEC Nijmegen13
Willem II8
Avg total corners
NEC Nijmegen16
Willem II1
Avg yellow cards
NEC Nijmegen2
Willem II13
Avg shots
NEC Nijmegen27
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

more Eredivisie analysisfull betting preview for Willem II v NEC Nijmegencorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Willem II1
Avg goals scored
NEC Nijmegen1
Willem II4
Avg goals conceded
NEC Nijmegen2
Willem II100%
BTTS rate
NEC Nijmegen100%
Willem II100%
Over 2.5 goals
NEC Nijmegen100%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 65% · edge +10.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 78%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickNEC Nijmegen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 76% · edge -15.3 pts
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 78%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
NEC Nijmegen to WinBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
NEC Nijmegen Draw No Bet is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Willem II

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
08 Aug 2026A GO Ahead Eagles1-4

NEC Nijmegen

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
08 Aug 2026H Telstar1-2
Market aligned with main pickAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 78% vs implied 86% · edge -7.5 pts
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Load more odds for this section
NEC Nijmegen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
NEC Nijmegen to WinBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Willem II wins
4Draws
5NEC Nijmegen wins
03 May 2025NEC Nijmegen v Willem II1-1
22 Dec 2024Willem II v NEC Nijmegen4-1
22 Dec 2021Willem II v NEC Nijmegen0-1
12 Sep 2021NEC Nijmegen v Willem II0-0
15 Jan 2017Willem II v NEC Nijmegen0-1
25 Sep 2016NEC Nijmegen v Willem II0-0
Market aligned with main pickNEC Nijmegen to WinBetfred guide price · Model 51% vs implied 64% · edge -12.6 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 78%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
The head-to-head sample gives context for NEC Nijmegen to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Eredivisie

Willem II0
Played
NEC Nijmegen1
Willem II-
Avg goals for
NEC Nijmegen1
Willem II-
Avg goals against
NEC Nijmegen2
Willem II-
Clean sheets
NEC Nijmegen0
Market aligned with main pickNEC Nijmegen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 76% · edge -15.3 pts
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Load more odds for this section
NEC Nijmegen to WinBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Season data supports NEC Nijmegen Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
11NEC Nijmegen01001-1
17Willem II01001-3
Willem II sit in position 17, while NEC Nijmegen sit in position 11, so table pressure belongs in the NEC Nijmegen to win and both teams to score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Willem II Over 2.5
100%NEC Nijmegen Over 2.5
1.6H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Willem II sit at 100% and NEC Nijmegen sit at 100% with the H2H average at 1.6 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Willem II v NEC Nijmegen prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

More stats pages

Telstar v Sparta RotterdamEredivisie · Fri 14 Aug 19:00Utrecht v AZ AlkmaarEredivisie · Sat 15 Aug 17:45Excelsior v PSV EindhovenEredivisie · Sat 15 Aug 19:00Fortuna Sittard v CambuurEredivisie · Sat 15 Aug 20:00

Competition and hubs

Eredivisie hubmore Eredivisie analysisfull betting preview for Willem II v NEC Nijmegencorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hub

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre