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Switzerland crestSwitzerland
v
Algeria crestAlgeria

World Cup | Fri 03 Jul, 04:00

Switzerland v Algeria Stats

Data last updated: Sat 25 Jul 2026, 15:44 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Switzerland face Algeria in World Cup on Fri 03 Jul, 04:00. Algeria have shown defensive vulnerability, conceding seven goals in the group stage. Midfielder Johan Manzambi remains in exceptional form, supplying dangerous secondary runs that Algerian double pivots struggle to track. Switzerland's structured midfield control under Granit Xhaka will dominate central zones.

BT4Y best bet

Group games and Embolo leading the line, Algeria’s goalkeeper may be asked to make clean decisions under serious stress

  • At 90, Group games and Embolo leading the line, Algeria’s goalkeeper may be asked to make clean decisions under serious stress implies roughly 1%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 16%.
  • Algeria’s seven goals conceded matching Switzerland’s seven goals scored suggests an open, competitive knockout clash.
  • Switzerland have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for Algeria.
  • Switzerland have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Group games and Embolo leading the line, Algeria’s goalkeeper may be asked to make clean decisions under serious stress angle.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 16% for Group games and Embolo leading the line, Algeria’s goalkeeper may be asked to make clean decisions under serious stress sits against roughly 1% implied by the current price. Switzerland have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for Algeria. Algeria’s seven goals conceded matching Switzerland’s seven goals scored suggests an open, competitive knockout clash.

Model chance vs price16% model chance against roughly 1% implied
Strong positive
Switzerland have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points.Visible data support
Positive
Switzerland have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Algeria’s seven goals conceded matching Switzerland’s seven goals scored.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Switzerland Win is the preferred angle because algeria’s seven goals conceded matching Switzerland’s seven goals scored suggests an open, competitive knockout clash. Switzerland have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for Algeria. Algeria’s route was much messier, but perhaps more emotionally charged.

Main risk

Algeria’s route was much messier, but perhaps more emotionally charged.

Key Data Signals

Group games and Embolo leading the line, Algeria’s goalkeeper may be asked to make clean decisions under serious stress evidence

Algeria’s seven goals conceded matching Switzerland’s seven goals scored suggests an open, competitive knockout clash.

Switzerland have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for Algeria.

Switzerland have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Switzerland Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Group games and Embolo leading the line, Algeria’s goalkeeper may be asked to make clean decisions under serious stress notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Switzerland6.33
    Avg corners for
    Algeria4
    Switzerland10.67
    Avg total corners
    Algeria6
    Switzerland1
    Avg yellow cards
    Algeria0.33
    Switzerland15
    Avg shots
    Algeria12
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 48% · edge +8.8 pts
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
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    Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 62%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 47%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Switzerland2.33
    Avg goals scored
    Algeria1.67
    Switzerland1
    Avg goals conceded
    Algeria2.33
    Switzerland100%
    BTTS rate
    Algeria67%
    Switzerland67%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Algeria100%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 88% vs implied 74% · edge +14.5 pts
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
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    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 66%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 40%
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickSwitzerland to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
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    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 66%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Switzerland Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 62%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 47%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Switzerland to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Switzerland

    WWD
    Last 52W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 1D 0L
    24 Jun 2026H Canada2-1
    18 Jun 2026H Bosnia & Herzegovina4-1
    13 Jun 2026A Qatar1-1

    Algeria

    DWL
    Last 51W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 1L
    28 Jun 2026H Austria3-3
    23 Jun 2026A Jordan2-1
    17 Jun 2026A Argentina0-3
    Market aligned with main pickSwitzerland to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
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    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 86%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Switzerland Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Switzerland wins
    0Draws
    0Algeria wins
    Market aligned with main pickSwitzerland to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
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    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 66%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Switzerland to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Season team stats

    World Cup

    Switzerland6
    Played
    Algeria4
    Switzerland1.7
    Avg goals for
    Algeria1.3
    Switzerland1
    Avg goals against
    Algeria2.3
    Switzerland2
    Clean sheets
    Algeria0
    Market aligned with main pickSwitzerland to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
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    Switzerland Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Season data supports Switzerland to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1Switzerland732104
    3Algeria43111-2
    6Algeria43111-2
    World Cup standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    67%Switzerland Over 2.5
    100%Algeria Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Switzerland sit at 67% and Algeria sit at 100%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.