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Switzerland crestSwitzerland
v
Algeria crestAlgeria

World Cup | Fri 03 Jul, 04:00

Switzerland v Algeria Stats

Data last updated: Thu 02 Jul 2026, 05:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Switzerland enter this World Cup knockout clash unbeaten and confident, having scored seven goals and conceded three in the group phase. Their midfield, led by Granit Xhaka, promises control and patience, aiming to dominate central areas and limit Algeria's transition threat. Algeria, meanwhile, have shown volatility and resilience, conceding seven goals but also scoring five in their last two matches, with Riyad Mahrez providing a creative spark. This encounter in Vancouver is a tactical battle between Swiss structure and Algerian unpredictability, with both sides eager to progress but Switzerland holding the edge through balance and cohesion.

BT4Y best bet

Switzerland to Win

  • Switzerland unbeaten with 7 goals scored and 3 conceded in group stage
  • Algeria conceded 7 goals, showing defensive vulnerability
  • Granit Xhaka's midfield control key to Swiss control
  • Riyad Mahrez offers Algeria creative threat and late-game impact
  • Knockout format favors Switzerland's structured approach

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Switzerland to win with a 67.3% chance, reflecting their unbeaten group run and superior defensive solidity compared to Algeria's porous backline. Switzerland's midfield control and balanced attack, featuring key players like Manzambi and Embolo, underpin this . The price at 1.91 offers positive value with a 14.9% edge. While Algeria's attacking volatility and Mahrez's influence pose threats, Switzerland's tactical maturity and consistent scoring record make them the favored side. No data limitations affect this assessment.

Model Chance67.3%
Strong positive
Implied Odds Chance52.4%
Positive
Value Edge14.9%
Strong positive
Confidence Level86
Strong positive
Data QualityHigh
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Switzerland's structured midfield control and balanced attack provide a tactical advantage over Algeria's volatile style. Their unbeaten group form and defensive resilience underpin the in a Swiss victory. Algeria's attacking threats, led by Mahrez, ensure the match remains competitive, but Switzerland's cohesion and patience should secure the win within 90 minutes.

Main risk

The main risk lies in Switzerland's occasional late-game concentration lapses, which Algeria could exploit in a tight knockout match.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical control and match outcome

“Switzerland's ability to control possession through Xhaka and exploit Algeria's defensive gaps with balanced wide and central attacks makes them the logical choice to progress in this knockout tie.”

Key Data Signals

Switzerland to Win evidence

Switzerland unbeaten with 7 goals scored and 3 conceded in group stage

Algeria conceded 7 goals, showing defensive vulnerability

Granit Xhaka's midfield control key to Swiss control

Riyad Mahrez offers Algeria creative threat and late-game impact

What To Watch In The Data

Switzerland to Win notes

  • Over the last three matches, Switzerland has a 67% rate of games exceeding 2.5 goals, while Algeria's matches have all featured over 2.5 goals, indicating an open and attacking style.
  • This trend suggests the knockout match is likely to produce multiple goals, driven by both teams' offensive capabilities and defensive lapses.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Switzerland6.33
Avg corners for
Algeria4
Switzerland10.67
Avg total corners
Algeria6
Switzerland1
Avg yellow cards
Algeria0.33
Switzerland15
Avg shots
Algeria12
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 48% · edge +8.8 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 47%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Switzerland averages 6.33 corners and 15 shots per game, indicating sustained pressure and territorial control. Algeria's lower averages suggest a more reactive approach. Discipline-wise, Switzerland's higher yellow card average reflects their assertive midfield control, while Algeria's lower card count hints at a less aggressive defensive style.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Switzerland2.33
Avg goals scored
Algeria1.67
Switzerland1
Avg goals conceded
Algeria2.33
Switzerland100%
BTTS rate
Algeria67%
Switzerland67%
Over 2.5 goals
Algeria100%
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 46% · edge +32.5 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
4
Check odds @ 4
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Both teams have shown attacking potency, with Switzerland scoring seven and Algeria conceding seven in group play. Algeria's 67% BTTS rate and Switzerland's 100% BTTS rate suggest goals at both ends are likely. The match's knockout nature and tactical contrasts point to a competitive game with goals from both sides.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickSwitzerland to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 50% · edge +17.3 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Switzerland Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 47%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
The of 1.91 for Switzerland to win reflect a positive value opportunity, as the model's 67.3% chance exceeds the implied 52.4%. This pricing rewards Switzerland's unbeaten form and tactical superiority, making the selection a sound choice without price sensitivity concerns.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Switzerland

WWD
Last 52W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 0L
24 Jun 2026H Canada2-1
18 Jun 2026H Bosnia & Herzegovina4-1
13 Jun 2026A Qatar1-1

Algeria

DWL
Last 51W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 1L
28 Jun 2026H Austria3-3
23 Jun 2026A Jordan2-1
17 Jun 2026A Argentina0-3
Market aligned with main pickSwitzerland to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 50% · edge +17.3 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 86%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Switzerland Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Switzerland's recent form is strong, securing seven points from three matches with a solid defensive record of one goal conceded per game. Algeria's form is more erratic, with four points and a higher concession rate of 2.33 goals per game. Switzerland's consistency and defensive discipline give them an edge in this knockout encounter.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Switzerland wins
0Draws
0Algeria wins
Market aligned with main pickSwitzerland to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 50% · edge +17.3 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
There are no recent head-to-head meetings between Switzerland and Algeria, making historical data less relevant. This lack of familiarity increases tactical uncertainty, placing greater emphasis on current form, team structure, and in-game adaptability for determining the likely outcome.
Season team stats

World Cup

Switzerland3
Played
Algeria3
Switzerland2.3
Avg goals for
Algeria1.7
Switzerland1
Avg goals against
Algeria2.3
Switzerland0
Clean sheets
Algeria0
Market aligned with main pickSwitzerland to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 50% · edge +17.3 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Switzerland Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Switzerland's season stats show a balanced attack averaging 2.33 goals per game and a sturdy defense conceding just one goal per match. Algeria's higher goals conceded rate and reliance on key attackers like Mahrez highlight defensive vulnerabilities that Switzerland can exploit through structured play and midfield control.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Switzerland732104
3Algeria43111-2
6Algeria43111-2
Switzerland topped their group with seven points, demonstrating consistent performance and tactical maturity. Algeria qualified as one of the best third-placed teams with four points, reflecting a more turbulent campaign. The standings underscore Switzerland's superior form and psychological advantage heading into this knockout fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

67%Switzerland Over 2.5
100%Algeria Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last three matches, Switzerland has a 67% rate of games exceeding 2.5 goals, while Algeria's matches have all featured over 2.5 goals, indicating an open and attacking style. This trend suggests the knockout match is likely to produce multiple goals, driven by both teams' offensive capabilities and defensive lapses.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Switzerland v Algeria prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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