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Rayo Vallecanov
VillarrealLa Liga | Sun 17 May, 18:00
Rayo Vallecano v Villarreal Stats
BT4Y best bet
Both Teams to Score
- At 3, Both Teams to Score is priced at roughly 33% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 76%, so the current line is showing a +42.7-point value edge.
- Rayo Vallecano have scored in 100% of the recent sample and Villarreal have scored in 100%, with BTTS rates of 60% and 100%.
- The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Rayo Vallecano have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1 conceded.
- The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Villarreal have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 100% of that sample.
- If the bookmaker is still close to 3, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 76% vs implied 33% · edge +42.7 pts
3
Bet HERE @ 3Load more odds for this section
Key match trends
A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.
20%Rayo Vallecano Over 2.5
60%Villarreal Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
Recent form
Results and scoring shape from recent games.
Rayo Vallecano
DDWDW
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 recordLast 103W 5D 2L
14 May 2026A Valencia1-1
11 May 2026H Girona1-1
03 May 2026A Getafe2-0
26 Apr 2026H Real Sociedad3-3
23 Apr 2026H Espanyol1-0
Villarreal
LDWWD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 recordLast 105W 3D 2L
13 May 2026H Sevilla2-3
10 May 2026A Mallorca1-1
02 May 2026H Levante5-1
26 Apr 2026H Celta Vigo2-1
23 Apr 2026A Oviedo1-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 77% · edge -2.7 pts
1.3
Bet HERE @ 1.3Load more odds for this section
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Goal-market data and related prices.
Rayo Vallecano1.6
Avg goals scoredVillarreal2.2
Rayo Vallecano1
Avg goals concededVillarreal1.4
Rayo Vallecano60%
BTTS rateVillarreal100%
Rayo Vallecano20%
Over 2.5 goalsVillarreal60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 76% vs implied 33% · edge +42.7 pts
3
Bet HERE @ 3Load more odds for this section
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and related markets.
2Rayo Vallecano wins
2Draws
6Villarreal wins
01 Nov 2025Villarreal v Rayo Vallecano4-0
22 Feb 2025Rayo Vallecano v Villarreal0-1
18 Dec 2024Villarreal v Rayo Vallecano1-1
28 Apr 2024Villarreal v Rayo Vallecano3-0
24 Sep 2023Rayo Vallecano v Villarreal1-1
28 May 2023Rayo Vallecano v Villarreal2-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 76% vs implied 33% · edge +42.7 pts
3
Bet HERE @ 3Load more odds for this section
Corners, cards and shots
Detailed stat markets where available.
Rayo Vallecano4.6
Avg corners forVillarreal4.8
Rayo Vallecano9.2
Avg total cornersVillarreal9.6
Rayo Vallecano3
Avg yellow cardsVillarreal1.8
Rayo Vallecano15
Avg shotsVillarreal10.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 51% · edge +10.6 pts
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95Player stats
Player props and player-level signals.
Best player angleG. Mikautadze Anytime GoalscorerG. Mikautadze · 12 goals · 1.29 SOT/90
80/100
Bet HERELoad more player angles
G. MikautadzeVillarreal · Attacker
Goal threat77/100
Shots /902.26
SOT /901.29
Gerard MorenoVillarreal · Attacker
Goal threat75/100
Shots /901.84
SOT /901.09
Jorge de FrutosRayo Vallecano · Attacker
Goal threat60/100
Shots /901.8
SOT /900.99
Álex ForésVillarreal · Attacker
Goal threat34/100
Shots /902.34
SOT /902.34
Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano · Attacker
Goal threat54/100
Shots /902.04
SOT /901.28
R. NtekaRayo Vallecano · Midfielder
Goal threat53/100
Shots /902.47
SOT /901.24
Ilias AkhomachVillarreal · Attacker
Goal threat28/100
Shots /902.43
SOT /900.97
Ó. TrejoRayo Vallecano · Midfielder
Goal threat18/100
Shots /901.23
SOT /901.23
Season team stats
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano36
PlayedVillarreal36
Rayo Vallecano1
Avg goals forVillarreal1.9
Rayo Vallecano1.2
Avg goals againstVillarreal1.2
Rayo Vallecano11
Clean sheetsVillarreal8
Best odds for this sectionHome Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 55% vs implied 56% · edge -1.2 pts
1.78
Bet HERE @ 1.78Load more odds for this section
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Villarreal | 69 | 36 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 24 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 44 | 36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | -6 |
Next step
Betting context
Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.
