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Deportivo Riestra crestDeportivo Riestra
v
Central Cordoba de Santiago crestCentral Cordoba de Santiago

Liga Profesional Argentina | Mon 05 Oct, 20:45

Deportivo Riestra v Central Cordoba de Santiago Stats

Data last updated: Sun 25 Oct 2026, 17:26 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Deportivo Riestra face Central Cordoba de Santiago in Liga Profesional Argentina on Mon 05 Oct, 20:45. Deportivo Riestra come in with 4 recent points and 0.4 goals per match, while Central Cordoba de Santiago have 2 points and 0.8 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y match pick

Over 4.5 Cards

  • At 1.67, Over 4.5 Cards implies roughly 60%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 58%.
  • Deportivo Riestra have the higher yellow-card average at 2.8, while Central Cordoba de Santiago sit at 1.4.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 58% for Over 4.5 Cards sits against roughly 60% implied by the current price. Deportivo Riestra have the higher yellow-card average at 2.8, while Central Cordoba de Santiago sit at 1.4.

Model chance vs price58% model chance against roughly 60% implied
Neutral
Deportivo Riestra have the higher yellow-card average at 2.8.Visible data support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge -1.6 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 4.5 Cards is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Deportivo Riestra have the higher yellow-card average at 2.8, while Central Cordoba de Santiago sit at 1.4. The card line needs match pressure and repeated duels; a controlled game state would weaken the booking angle.

Main risk

The card line needs match pressure and repeated duels; a controlled game state would weaken the booking angle.

Key Data Signals

Over 4.5 Cards evidence

Deportivo Riestra have the higher yellow-card average at 2.8, while Central Cordoba de Santiago sit at 1.4.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 4.5 Cards notes

  • Compare both yellow-card averages before treating the card line as value.
  • Check whether match pressure is likely to create fouls and recovery challenges.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Deportivo Riestra0.4
Avg goals scored
Central Cordoba de Santiago0.8
Deportivo Riestra1
Avg goals conceded
Central Cordoba de Santiago1.6
Deportivo Riestra40%
BTTS rate
Central Cordoba de Santiago60%
Deportivo Riestra20%
Over 2.5 goals
Central Cordoba de Santiago60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 44% · edge +12.3 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 44% · edge +12.3 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Deportivo Riestra Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Central Cordoba de Santiago to WinBetfred guide price · model 33%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Deportivo Riestra to WinBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Central Cordoba de Santiago Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Deportivo Riestra

DLDDD
Last 50W 4D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
19 Sep 2026A Gimnasia M.0-0
14 Sep 2026H Lanus0-3
04 Sep 2026A Platense1-1
29 Aug 2026H Velez Sarsfield1-1
23 Aug 2026A Huracan0-0

Central Cordoba de Santiago

DLLDL
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
18 Sep 2026H Defensa Y Justicia2-2
12 Sep 2026A Boca Juniors1-3
06 Sep 2026H Independiente0-1
30 Aug 2026A Talleres Cordoba0-0
24 Aug 2026A Tigre1-2
Best odds for this sectionDeportivo Riestra Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 56% · edge +5.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 79%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Central Cordoba de Santiago to WinBetfred guide price · model 33%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Deportivo Riestra to WinBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Central Cordoba de Santiago Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBetUK guide price · model 27%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Deportivo Riestra Over 2.5
60%Central Cordoba de Santiago Over 2.5
1H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Deportivo Riestra sit at 20% and Central Cordoba de Santiago sit at 60% with the H2H average at 1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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