Football Stats Hub

Romania crestRomania
v
Sweden crestSweden

UEFA Nations League | Mon 05 Oct, 19:45

Romania v Sweden Stats

Data last updated: Mon 26 Oct 2026, 21:04 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Romania face Sweden in UEFA Nations League on Mon 05 Oct, 19:45. Romania vs Sweden: Potter’s in-form visitors target another Nations League victory. Sweden’s sustained scoring form and Romania’s defensive struggles, including two suspended centre-backs, support a confident away win with goals at both ends.

BT4Y best bet

Sweden to win and Both Teams to Score

  • Sweden to win and Both Teams to Score is rated around 55% by the current BT4Y model.
  • Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
  • Sweden need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Romania on 0 and Sweden on 7.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 67% for Romania and 100% for Sweden.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Sweden to win and Both Teams to Score around 55% on the latest available numbers. Sweden need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Romania on 0 and Sweden on 7. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Sweden need the result edge to pair with scoring at.Visible data support
Positive
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
Read on for all our free predictions and betting.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Sweden Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because read on for all our free predictions and betting tips. Sweden need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Romania on 0 and Sweden on 7. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Sweden to win and Both Teams to Score evidence

Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Sweden need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Romania on 0 and Sweden on 7.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 67% for Romania and 100% for Sweden.

Sweden Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 1 for Romania and 2 for Sweden are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Sweden to win and Both Teams to Score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Romania1
Avg goals scored
Sweden2
Romania4
Avg goals conceded
Sweden1
Romania67%
BTTS rate
Sweden100%
Romania100%
Over 2.5 goals
Sweden67%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 88%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 31%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickSweden to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 57% · edge +12.9 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Sweden Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 35%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Sweden to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

UEFA Nations League hubfull betting preview for Romania v Swedenfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Romania

LLL
Last 50W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 3L
02 Oct 2026A Poland0-6
28 Sep 2026H Bosnia & Herzegovina2-4
25 Sep 2026A Sweden1-2

Sweden

DWW
Last 52W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 0L
02 Oct 2026A Bosnia & Herzegovina1-1
28 Sep 2026H Poland3-1
25 Sep 2026H Romania2-1
Market aligned with main pickSweden to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 57% · edge +12.9 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
Sweden Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Romania Over 2.5
67%Sweden Over 2.5
2.25H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Romania sit at 100% and Sweden sit at 67% with the H2H average at 2.25 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Loading deeper match data…