Football Stats Hub

Cordoba crestCordoba
v
Tenerife crestTenerife

Segunda División | Mon 05 Oct, 19:30

Cordoba v Tenerife Stats

Data last updated: Sun 04 Oct 2026, 08:38 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Segunda División clash features Tenerife traveling to face Cordoba, with Tenerife currently positioned 9th and Cordoba struggling near the bottom at 20th. Tenerife has shown more consistency, accumulating 11 points compared to Cordoba's 6, and their tactical approach emphasizes defensive solidity and counter-attacks. Cordoba's recent form includes higher goal concessions and a more aggressive attacking style, but Tenerife's resilience and ability to capitalize on chances make this a competitive fixture with Tenerife favored to secure victory.

BT4Y best bet

Tenerife to Win

  • Tenerife holds a strong of 50.4% to win, with significant value at 4.00 .
  • Cordoba concedes an average of 2.4 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Tenerife's Enric Gallego is a key attacking threat with 5 goals and 1.36 shots on target per 90 minutes.
  • Cordoba's attacking output is higher but less efficient, with 1.2 goals scored and 15.4 shots per game.
  • Recent form favors Tenerife, who have gained 5 points in their last matches compared to Cordoba's 3 points.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Tenerife to win due to their superior defensive record and efficient attacking spearheaded by Enric Gallego, who averages nearly a goal per game. Cordoba's defensive frailties, conceding 2.4 goals per match, contrast with Tenerife's more disciplined approach. Tenerife's is strong at 25.4%, reflecting the price discrepancy versus their actual chance. The model is high at 79%, supporting Tenerife's likelihood to capitalize on Cordoba's defensive lapses and secure the win.

Model Chance40% model chance vs 25% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Value Edge40% model chance vs 25% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Cordoba Goals Against2.4 per game
Strong positive
Enric Gallego Goal Threat0.97 goals per 90 mins
Strong positive
Recent Form PointsTenerife 5 vs Cordoba 3
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Tenerife's tactical discipline and clinical finishing, led by Enric Gallego, position them well to exploit Cordoba's defensive weaknesses. The data shows Tenerife's defensive solidity and goal threat outweigh Cordoba's higher shot volume but less efficient attack, making Tenerife the favored winner in this matchup.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tenerife's tactical and attacking advantage

“Tenerife's ability to absorb pressure and strike efficiently through Gallego's goal-scoring prowess gives them a clear tactical edge over Cordoba's leaky defense in this Segunda División fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Tenerife to Win evidence

Tenerife holds a strong of 50.4% to win, with significant value at 4.00 .

Cordoba concedes an average of 2.4 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

Tenerife's Enric Gallego is a key attacking threat with 5 goals and 1.36 shots on target per 90 minutes.

Cordoba's attacking output is higher but less efficient, with 1.2 goals scored and 15.4 shots per game.

What To Watch In The Data

Tenerife to Win notes

  • Over the last eight head-to-head matches, the average goals per game stand at 2.88, indicating a moderately open fixture historically.
  • Tenerife's lower Over 2.5 rate contrasts with Cordoba's high rate, suggesting this match may see goals but potentially fewer than Cordoba's usual high-scoring games.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Cordoba1.2
Avg goals scored
Tenerife0.8
Cordoba2.4
Avg goals conceded
Tenerife1.6
Cordoba80%
BTTS rate
Tenerife40%
Cordoba80%
Over 2.5 goals
Tenerife20%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 47%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
2
Check odds @ 2
Cordoba's matches frequently feature goals, with an 80% Over 2.5 rate and 80% BTTS rate, reflecting their open play and defensive vulnerabilities. Tenerife's lower Over 2.5 (20%) and BTTS (40%) rates suggest a more cautious approach, indicating a likely competitive match with scoring but controlled on Tenerife's side.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickTenerife to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 40% vs implied 25% · edge +15 pts
4
Check odds @ 4
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Tenerife Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 55%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
The 40% for Tenerife to Win sits against roughly 25% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Tenerife have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 3 for Cordoba.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Cordoba

LWLLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 5L
27 Sep 2026A Valladolid1-3
18 Sep 2026A Albacete2-1
12 Sep 2026H Almeria0-2
07 Sep 2026A Sabadell2-3
30 Aug 2026H Granada CF1-3

Tenerife

DLWDL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 2L
26 Sep 2026H Cadiz1-1
19 Sep 2026A Castellón0-5
13 Sep 2026H Leganes2-0
05 Sep 2026A Real Sociedad II1-1
28 Aug 2026H Sporting Gijon0-1
Market aligned with main pickTenerife to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 40% vs implied 25% · edge +15 pts
4
Check odds @ 4
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Tenerife Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 55%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Tenerife's recent form shows 5 points gained with a solid defensive record, conceding fewer goals than Cordoba, who have earned 3 points but allow 2.4 goals per game. Tenerife's ability to secure points through defensive resilience and timely goals contrasts with Cordoba's struggle to convert chances efficiently.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Cordoba Over 2.5
20%Tenerife Over 2.5
2.88H2H avg goals
Over the last eight head-to-head matches, the average goals per game stand at 2.88, indicating a moderately open fixture historically. Tenerife's lower Over 2.5 rate contrasts with Cordoba's high rate, suggesting this match may see goals but potentially fewer than Cordoba's usual high-scoring games.

Loading deeper match data…