Levski Sofia

AEK Athens FC

UEFA Champions League | Tue 18 Aug, 20:00

Levski Sofia v AEK Athens FC Stats

Data last updated: Tue 08 Sep 2026, 20:04 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Levski Sofia face AEK Athens FC in UEFA Champions League on Tue 18 Aug, 20:00. Levski Sofia have conceded just 0.5 goals per match in their last six fixtures, including back-to-back 1-0 wins over Kairat Almaty.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2

At 4/6, Under 2 implies roughly 60%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 66%.
Across their last six matches, including friendlies, AEK have averaged 2.5 goals scored and every game has gone over 2.5 total goals.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 66% for Under 2 sits against roughly 60% implied by the current price. Across their last six matches, including friendlies, AEK have averaged 2.5 goals scored and every game has gone over 2.5 total goals.

Model chance vs price66% model chance against roughly 60% implied

Positive

Across their last six matches, including friendlies, AEK have.Article support

Positive

Price sensitivityEdge +6 pts

Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because aEK Athens lack competitive sharpness, having played mostly friendlies, making a low-scoring, tightly controlled match the likely outcome. The caution is obvious: five of those six fixtures were friendlies.

Main risk

The caution is obvious: five of those six fixtures were friendlies.

Key Data Signals

Under 2 evidence

AEK Athens lack competitive sharpness, having played mostly friendlies, making a low-scoring, tightly controlled match the likely outcome.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2 notes

The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Levski Sofia

WWDWW

Last 54W 1D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 104W 2D 0L

11 Aug 2026A Kairat Almaty1-0

04 Aug 2026H Kairat Almaty1-0

29 Jul 2026A Universitatea Craiova2-2

22 Jul 2026H Universitatea Craiova1-0

14 Jul 2026H Borac Banja Luka4-0

AEK Athens FC

Last 50W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for AEK Athens FC yet.

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 80% vs implied 65% · edge +15 pts

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

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Levski Sofia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

Levski Sofia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 50%

2.88

Check odds @ 2.88

AEK Athens FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%

1.75

Check odds @ 1.75

DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 45%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

AEK Athens FC to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%

2.35

Check odds @ 2.35

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Useful next reads

UEFA Champions League fixtures and predictions full betting preview for Levski Sofia v AEK Athens FC corners trends hub football cards angles player stats betting angles latest football stats main football hub today's predictions best bets research acca fixture filtering

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
1	AEK Athens FC	0	0	0	0	0	0

UEFA Champions League standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Levski Sofia1.8

Avg goals scored

AEK Athens FC-

Levski Sofia0.4

Avg goals conceded

AEK Athens FC-

Levski Sofia20%

BTTS rate

AEK Athens FC-

Levski Sofia40%

Over 2.5 goals

AEK Athens FC-

Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 62% · edge +4.3 pts

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

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BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 57%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 47%

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 37%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%

Check odds @ 4

Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet; goals for, goals conceded and recent over rates need to point in the same direction.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts

Check odds @ 2

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Levski Sofia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

Levski Sofia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 50%

2.88

Check odds @ 2.88

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 47%

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 37%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

AEK Athens FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%

1.75

Check odds @ 1.75

DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

Over 8.5 Corners is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Levski Sofia wins

0Draws

0AEK Athens FC wins

Best odds for this sectionLevski Sofia to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 35% · edge +15 pts

2.88

Check odds @ 2.88

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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 47%

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 37%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

AEK Athens FC to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%

2.35

Check odds @ 2.35

There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Levski Sofia to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Levski Sofia5.5

Avg corners for

AEK Athens FC-

Levski Sofia11

Avg total corners

AEK Athens FC-

Levski Sofia2

Avg yellow cards

AEK Athens FC-

Levski Sofia10.5

Avg shots

AEK Athens FC-

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts

Check odds @ 2

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Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 53%

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price

3.75

Check odds @ 3.75

Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Champions League

Levski Sofia8

Played

AEK Athens FC2

Levski Sofia1.3

Avg goals for

AEK Athens FC2

Levski Sofia0.9

Avg goals against

AEK Athens FC0

Levski Sofia5

Clean sheets

AEK Athens FC2

Best odds for this sectionLevski Sofia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

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Levski Sofia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 50%

2.88

Check odds @ 2.88

AEK Athens FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%

1.75

Check odds @ 1.75

AEK Athens FC to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%

2.35

Check odds @ 2.35

Season data supports Levski Sofia Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Levski Sofia Over 2.5

-AEK Athens FC Over 2.5

-H2H avg goals

Across their last six matches, including friendlies, AEK have averaged 2.5 goals scored and every game has gone over 2.5 total goals.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Levski Sofia v AEK Athens FC Stats

Match Report

Under 2

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Levski Sofia

AEK Athens FC

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Next step

Your privacy choices

Football Stats Hub

Levski Sofia v AEK Athens FC Stats

Match Report

Under 2

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Levski Sofia

AEK Athens FC

Continue the research

Related football research

Prediction context

More stats pages

Competition and hubs

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