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Kalmar FF crestKalmar FF
v
Malmo FF crestMalmo FF

Allsvenskan | Mon 20 Jul, 18:00

Kalmar FF v Malmo FF Stats

Data last updated: Sun 19 Jul 2026, 03:44 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Kalmar FF hosts Malmo FF in an Allsvenskan clash where Malmo FF enter with stronger recent form and higher league standing. Malmo FF have collected 9 points in their last matches compared to Kalmar FF's 6, showing more consistent attacking output with 2.6 goals per game versus Kalmar's 1.0. Kalmar FF's defense concedes 1.4 goals per game, slightly better than Malmo FF's 1.8, but Malmo's offensive firepower and league position suggest they will press for victory. This fixture presents a tactical challenge for Kalmar FF to contain Malmo's dynamic midfield and attacking threats, with Malmo expected to control tempo and create more chances.

BT4Y best bet

Malmo FF to Win

  • Malmo FF leads league standings and has better recent form with 9 points versus Kalmar's 6.
  • Malmo FF averages 2.6 goals scored per game, significantly higher than Kalmar FF's 1.0.
  • Malmo FF creates more shots and shots on target, averaging 15.5 shots and 6.75 SOT per game.
  • Kalmar FF concedes fewer goals on average but faces pressure from Malmo's attacking midfielders.
  • Malmo FF's players like A. Vecchia show high shot volume and goal threat, boosting scoring potential.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Malmo FF to win based on their superior recent form, higher league ranking, and stronger attacking metrics. Malmo FF's average of 2.6 goals per game and 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate indicate offensive potency. Their midfielders, including A. Vecchia, contribute high shot volumes and goal threats, supporting the likelihood of a victory. Kalmar FF's lower scoring and weaker recent form reduce their chances despite a slightly better defensive record. No price warning is present, making this a standard pick.

Recent form pointsMalmo FF 9 vs Kalmar FF 6
Strong positive
Goals per gameMalmo FF 2.6 vs Kalmar FF 1.0
Strong positive
Shots on target per gameMalmo FF 6.75 vs Kalmar FF 3.25
Strong positive
League positionMalmo FF 6th vs Kalmar FF 12th
Positive
Over 2.5 Goals rateMalmo FF 80% vs Kalmar FF 60%
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Malmo FF's superior attacking form and higher league standing make them the tactical favorite to secure victory. Their midfielders' ability to generate shots and goal threats should break down Kalmar FF's defense, which has been less effective in recent matches. This combination of form and offensive quality supports backing Malmo FF to win.

Main risk

Kalmar FF's slightly better defensive record and home advantage could limit Malmo FF's scoring opportunities, making the match potentially tighter than expected.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Malmo FF's midfield dynamism and goal-scoring consistency give them a clear edge in this matchup, especially against a Kalmar side that struggles to contain high-volume shooters.”

Key Data Signals

Malmo FF to Win evidence

Malmo FF leads league standings and has better recent form with 9 points versus Kalmar's 6.

Malmo FF averages 2.6 goals scored per game, significantly higher than Kalmar FF's 1.0.

Malmo FF creates more shots and shots on target, averaging 15.5 shots and 6.75 SOT per game.

Kalmar FF concedes fewer goals on average but faces pressure from Malmo's attacking midfielders.

What To Watch In The Data

Malmo FF to Win notes

  • In the last ten matches between these teams, the average goals scored is 2.1, indicating moderately open games.
  • Malmo FF's 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season suggests a trend toward higher-scoring matches, driven by their attacking style and Kalmar's defensive vulnerabilities.
  • This trend points to a likely entertaining game with multiple goals.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Kalmar FF3.5
Avg corners for
Malmo FF4
Kalmar FF9.75
Avg total corners
Malmo FF9.8
Kalmar FF0.5
Avg yellow cards
Malmo FF1.8
Kalmar FF12
Avg shots
Malmo FF14.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Malmo FF averages more corners (4.25) and shots (15.5) than Kalmar FF, reflecting territorial control and sustained attacking pressure. Kalmar FF's low yellow card average (0.25) versus Malmo's higher rate (1.75) suggests Malmo may face some disciplinary challenges but also indicates their aggressive pressing style, contributing to shot volume and set-piece opportunities.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Kalmar FF1
Avg goals scored
Malmo FF2.6
Kalmar FF1.4
Avg goals conceded
Malmo FF1.8
Kalmar FF20%
BTTS rate
Malmo FF60%
Kalmar FF60%
Over 2.5 goals
Malmo FF80%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 77% vs implied 83% · edge -5.9 pts
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 44%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 60%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Malmo FF's high average goals per game (2.6) and 60% BTTS rate suggest open play with scoring from both sides is plausible. Kalmar FF's lower scoring and BTTS rate (20%) indicate they are less likely to score, but Malmo's offensive pressure could force goals. The combined data points to a match with multiple goals and a good chance of both teams scoring.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickMalmo FF to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 40% · edge +23.7 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Load more odds for this section
Malmo FF Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 60%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
The market pricing for Malmo FF to win aligns well with their 63.7% , indicating a balanced price without significant or warning. This reflects in Malmo FF's form and attacking strength, making the selection a reasonable standard stake rather than a speculative value bet.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Kalmar FF

LWLWL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 5L
12 Jul 2026A Hammarby FF0-2
05 Jul 2026H Orgryte IS3-0
30 May 2026A Gais0-3
23 May 2026H Degerfors IF2-1
17 May 2026A IF Brommapojkarna0-1

Malmo FF

WWWLL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 0D 5L
12 Jul 2026H IFK Goteborg4-0
04 Jul 2026A Degerfors IF1-0
30 May 2026H Halmstad5-2
24 May 2026H Vasteras SK FK2-3
17 May 2026A Hammarby FF1-4
Market aligned with main pickMalmo FF to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 40% · edge +23.7 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Malmo FF Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Malmo FF's recent form shows stronger offensive output and points accumulation, with 9 points gained compared to Kalmar FF's 6. Malmo's ability to score 2.6 goals per game contrasts with Kalmar's 1.0, reflecting a more effective attack in recent matches. This form difference underpins Malmo's favored status in the match outcome market.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Kalmar FF wins
2Draws
5Malmo FF wins
20 Mar 2026Malmo FF v Kalmar FF1-1
24 Aug 2024Kalmar FF v Malmo FF2-2
24 May 2024Malmo FF v Kalmar FF5-0
08 Oct 2023Kalmar FF v Malmo FF1-0
01 Apr 2023Malmo FF v Kalmar FF1-0
28 Aug 2022Malmo FF v Kalmar FF0-1
Market aligned with main pickMalmo FF to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 40% · edge +23.7 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 60%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
The head-to-head sample of ten matches shows an average of 2.1 goals per game, suggesting moderately competitive encounters. While past meetings provide some context, recent form and current season stats carry more weight in predicting this fixture's outcome, as team dynamics and player roles have evolved.
Season team stats

Allsvenskan

Kalmar FF12
Played
Malmo FF12
Kalmar FF1.2
Avg goals for
Malmo FF2.1
Kalmar FF1.4
Avg goals against
Malmo FF1.7
Kalmar FF2
Clean sheets
Malmo FF4
Market aligned with main pickMalmo FF to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 40% · edge +23.7 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Load more odds for this section
Malmo FF Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over the season, Malmo FF has demonstrated a potent attack averaging 2.6 goals per game, supported by a high Over 2.5 Goals rate of 80%. Kalmar FF's defense concedes 1.4 goals per game, which is respectable but insufficient to contain Malmo's offensive threats. These season-long stats reinforce Malmo's advantage in scoring and winning potential.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6Malmo FF19126155
12Kalmar FF1312417-3
Malmo FF sits 6th in the Allsvenskan table with 19 points, comfortably ahead of Kalmar FF in 12th with 13 points. This points gap reflects Malmo's consistency and ability to secure results, adding pressure on Kalmar FF to perform at home. The standings context supports Malmo FF's status as favorites but also highlights Kalmar's need to improve to avoid slipping further.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Kalmar FF Over 2.5
80%Malmo FF Over 2.5
2.1H2H avg goals
In the last ten matches between these teams, the average goals scored is 2.1, indicating moderately open games. Malmo FF's 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season suggests a trend toward higher-scoring matches, driven by their attacking style and Kalmar's defensive vulnerabilities. This trend points to a likely entertaining game with multiple goals.

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Fixture links

Prediction context

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