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Kalmar FF crestKalmar FF
v
Malmo FF crestMalmo FF

Allsvenskan | Mon 20 Jul, 18:00

Kalmar FF v Malmo FF Stats

Data last updated: Mon 10 Aug 2026, 03:58 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Kalmar FF face Malmo FF in Allsvenskan on Mon 20 Jul, 18:00. Kalmar FF come in with 6 recent points and 1 goals per match, while Malmo FF have 9 points and 2.6 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Malmo FF to Win

  • At 2.4, Malmo FF to Win implies roughly 42%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 57%.
  • Malmo FF have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 6 for Kalmar FF.
  • Kalmar FF have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Malmo FF to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Kalmar FF sit 11 in the table, while Malmo FF sit 8, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 57% for Malmo FF to Win sits against roughly 42% implied by the current price. Malmo FF have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 6 for Kalmar FF.

Model chance vs price57% model chance against roughly 42% implied
Strong positive
Malmo FF have the stronger recent points return, taking 9.Visible data support
Positive
Kalmar FF have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Malmo FF Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Malmo FF have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 6 for Kalmar FF. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Malmo FF to Win evidence

Malmo FF have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 6 for Kalmar FF.

Kalmar FF have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Malmo FF Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Kalmar FF sit 11 in the table, while Malmo FF sit 8, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Malmo FF to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Kalmar FF1
    Avg goals scored
    Malmo FF2.6
    Kalmar FF1.4
    Avg goals conceded
    Malmo FF1.8
    Kalmar FF20%
    BTTS rate
    Malmo FF60%
    Kalmar FF60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Malmo FF80%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 77% vs implied 83% · edge -5.9 pts
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 41%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 44%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 60%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Over 1.5 Goals does not fully support the current price: recent Over 2.5 rates are 60% for Kalmar FF and 80% for Malmo FF, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickMalmo FF to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
    2.4
    Check odds @ 2.4
    Load more odds for this section
    Malmo FF Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 71%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 60%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 63%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Malmo FF to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Kalmar FF3.4
    Avg corners for
    Malmo FF4
    Kalmar FF9.2
    Avg total corners
    Malmo FF9.8
    Kalmar FF0.4
    Avg yellow cards
    Malmo FF1.8
    Kalmar FF14.2
    Avg shots
    Malmo FF14.4
    Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 63%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Kalmar FF

    LWLWL
    Last 52W 0D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 1D 5L
    12 Jul 2026A Hammarby FF0-2
    05 Jul 2026H Orgryte IS3-0
    30 May 2026A Gais0-3
    23 May 2026H Degerfors IF2-1
    17 May 2026A IF Brommapojkarna0-1

    Malmo FF

    WWWLL
    Last 53W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 0D 5L
    12 Jul 2026H IFK Goteborg4-0
    04 Jul 2026A Degerfors IF1-0
    30 May 2026H Halmstad5-2
    24 May 2026H Vasteras SK FK2-3
    17 May 2026A Hammarby FF1-4
    Market aligned with main pickMalmo FF to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
    2.4
    Check odds @ 2.4
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Malmo FF Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 71%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    3Kalmar FF wins
    2Draws
    5Malmo FF wins
    20 Mar 2026Malmo FF v Kalmar FF1-1
    24 Aug 2024Kalmar FF v Malmo FF2-2
    24 May 2024Malmo FF v Kalmar FF5-0
    08 Oct 2023Kalmar FF v Malmo FF1-0
    01 Apr 2023Malmo FF v Kalmar FF1-0
    28 Aug 2022Malmo FF v Kalmar FF0-1
    Market aligned with main pickMalmo FF to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
    2.4
    Check odds @ 2.4
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 60%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Malmo FF to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Allsvenskan

    Kalmar FF16
    Played
    Malmo FF0
    Kalmar FF1.3
    Avg goals for
    Malmo FF-
    Kalmar FF1.5
    Avg goals against
    Malmo FF-
    Kalmar FF2
    Clean sheets
    Malmo FF-
    Market aligned with main pickMalmo FF to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
    2.4
    Check odds @ 2.4
    Load more odds for this section
    Malmo FF Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 71%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Season data supports Malmo FF to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    8Malmo FF23167274
    11Kalmar FF1816538-3
    Kalmar FF sit in position 11, while Malmo FF sit in position 8, so table pressure belongs in the Malmo FF to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Kalmar FF Over 2.5
    80%Malmo FF Over 2.5
    2.1H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Kalmar FF sit at 60% and Malmo FF sit at 80% with the H2H average at 2.1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

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    More stats pages

    IFK Goteborg v Kalmar FFAllsvenskan · Sun 09 Aug 15:30Halmstad v GaisAllsvenskan · Sun 09 Aug 15:30Sirius v IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan · Mon 10 Aug 18:00Vasteras SK FK v Djurgardens IFAllsvenskan · Mon 10 Aug 18:00

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