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Bucaramanga crestBucaramanga
v
Águilas Doradas crestÁguilas Doradas

Primera A | Wed 14 Oct, 01:00

Bucaramanga v Águilas Doradas Stats

Data last updated: Tue 13 Oct 2026, 07:09 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bucaramanga face Águilas Doradas in Primera A on Wed 14 Oct, 01:00. Bucaramanga come in with 13 recent points and 2.6 goals per match, while Águilas Doradas have 5 points and 1.2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Bucaramanga to Win

  • At 1.91, Bucaramanga to Win implies roughly 52%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 67%.
  • Bucaramanga have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 5 for Águilas Doradas.
  • Bucaramanga have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Bucaramanga to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Bucaramanga sit 4 in the table, while Águilas Doradas sit 11, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 67% for Bucaramanga to Win sits against roughly 52% implied by the current price. Bucaramanga have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 5 for Águilas Doradas.

Model chance vs price67% model chance against roughly 52% implied
Strong positive
Bucaramanga have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points.Visible data support
Positive
Bucaramanga have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Bucaramanga Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Bucaramanga have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 5 for Águilas Doradas. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Bucaramanga to Win evidence

Bucaramanga have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 5 for Águilas Doradas.

Bucaramanga have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Bucaramanga Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Bucaramanga sit 4 in the table, while Águilas Doradas sit 11, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Bucaramanga to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Bucaramanga2.6
    Avg goals scored
    Águilas Doradas1.2
    Bucaramanga1
    Avg goals conceded
    Águilas Doradas1.4
    Bucaramanga80%
    BTTS rate
    Águilas Doradas40%
    Bucaramanga80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Águilas Doradas40%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 69%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 33%
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 31%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickBucaramanga to WinBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
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    Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 70%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Bucaramanga Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 78%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 65%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Bucaramanga to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Bucaramanga

    WWWDW
    Last 54W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 5D 0L
    05 Oct 2026H Junior3-1
    26 Sep 2026A Once Caldas3-1
    20 Sep 2026H Internacional de Bogota2-0
    18 Sep 2026H Independiente Medellin2-2
    13 Sep 2026A Deportivo Pereira3-1

    Águilas Doradas

    DWLLD
    Last 51W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 6D 3L
    10 Oct 2026A Alianza Valledupar2-2
    03 Oct 2026H Jaguares2-0
    28 Sep 2026A Deportivo Cali0-2
    24 Sep 2026A America de Cali0-1
    18 Sep 2026H Deportivo Pereira2-2
    Market aligned with main pickBucaramanga to WinBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
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    Bucaramanga Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 78%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 86%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Bucaramanga Over 2.5
    40%Águilas Doradas Over 2.5
    2.2H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Bucaramanga sit at 80% and Águilas Doradas sit at 40% with the H2H average at 2.2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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