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Bodo/Glimt crestBodo/Glimt
v
Borussia Dortmund crestBorussia Dortmund

UEFA Champions League | Wed 14 Oct, 20:00

Bodo/Glimt v Borussia Dortmund Stats

Data last updated: Tue 13 Oct 2026, 10:32 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bodo/Glimt host Borussia Dortmund in a UEFA Champions League group stage clash that promises attacking intensity. Bodo/Glimt have been involved in high-scoring games recently, while Borussia Dortmund's potent offense has struggled for points but not goals. Both teams have shown a tendency to concede and score freely, setting up a fixture where offensive firepower and defensive vulnerabilities could combine for a goal-rich encounter. Tactical openness and the need for points add to the likelihood of an open game with multiple scoring opportunities.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Both teams have a 100% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals in recent form
  • Bodo/Glimt average 2.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game recently
  • Borussia Dortmund average 3 goals scored and 2 conceded per game in recent matches
  • The only previous meeting featured 4 goals, indicating potential for a high-scoring game

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model estimates a 58% chance for over 3.5 goals, supported by both teams' recent attacking and defensive records. Bodo/Glimt and Borussia Dortmund have consistently played matches with high goal totals, each boasting a 100% over 2.5 goals rate recently. The attacking prowess of Borussia Dortmund, combined with Bodo/Glimt's willingness to engage offensively, creates a fertile environment for multiple goals. No data limitations affect , and the current offer positive value with an 8% edge, making this a compelling selection for goal bettors.

Model Chance58% model chance vs 50% implied (+8 pts)
Strong positive
Recent Over 2.5 Goals Rate100% both teams
Strong positive
Goals For/Against RecentBodo/Glimt 2.4/2.2, Dortmund 3/2
Strong positive
Value Edge58% model chance vs 50% implied (+8 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and dynamic match with both sides pushing forward aggressively. Borussia Dortmund's attacking talent and Bodo/Glimt's high-scoring recent form suggest multiple goals are likely. The combination of offensive intent and defensive frailties makes over 3.5 goals a strong tactical and statistical call for this Champions League encounter.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goals market

“This fixture features two teams that thrive on attacking football but have defensive vulnerabilities, setting the stage for a high-scoring game. The data and tactical outlook align well with an over 3.5 goals scenario.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Both teams have a 100% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals in recent form

Bodo/Glimt average 2.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game recently

Borussia Dortmund average 3 goals scored and 2 conceded per game in recent matches

The only previous meeting featured 4 goals, indicating potential for a high-scoring game

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • The single head-to-head meeting featured 4 goals, consistent with both teams' recent high-scoring trends.
  • The last five matches for each side show a strong pattern of over 2.5 goals, indicating a fast tempo and open game likely to produce multiple scoring opportunities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Bodo/Glimt2.4
Avg goals scored
Borussia Dortmund3
Bodo/Glimt2.2
Avg goals conceded
Borussia Dortmund2
Bodo/Glimt60%
BTTS rate
Borussia Dortmund100%
Bodo/Glimt100%
Over 2.5 goals
Borussia Dortmund100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 58% vs implied 50% · edge +8 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3
Check odds @ 3
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
3
Check odds @ 3
Both teams have shown a strong tendency for matches with multiple goals and BTTS outcomes, with Bodo/Glimt scoring and conceding heavily and Borussia Dortmund maintaining a 100% over 2.5 goals rate. This pattern supports expectations of an open game with goals at both ends.

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Useful next reads

UEFA Champions League fixtures and predictionscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 65% · edge +9.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Bodo/Glimt to WinBetUK guide price · model 35%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Bodo/Glimt Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Borussia Dortmund to WinBetfred guide price · model 42%
2
Check odds @ 2
The 58% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price (+8 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Bodo/Glimt and 100% for Borussia Dortmund, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Bodo/Glimt

LWWWD
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 1L
10 Sep 2026A Bayern München0-5
25 Aug 2026H NEC Nijmegen3-0
19 Aug 2026A NEC Nijmegen3-1
11 Aug 2026H Union St. Gilloise3-2
04 Aug 2026A Union St. Gilloise3-3

Borussia Dortmund

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
08 Sep 2026H Villarreal3-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 56% · edge +2.5 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Bodo/Glimt to WinBetUK guide price · model 35%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Bodo/Glimt Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Borussia Dortmund to WinBetfred guide price · model 42%
2
Check odds @ 2
Borussia Dortmund Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
DrawBetfred guide price · model 23%
4
Check odds @ 4
Recent form data highlights both teams' propensity for high-scoring matches, with Bodo/Glimt and Borussia Dortmund each having a 100% over 2.5 goals rate in their last fixtures. This sustained trend underlines the likelihood of multiple goals in this encounter.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Bodo/Glimt Over 2.5
100%Borussia Dortmund Over 2.5
4H2H avg goals
The single head-to-head meeting featured 4 goals, consistent with both teams' recent high-scoring trends. The last five matches for each side show a strong pattern of over 2.5 goals, indicating a fast tempo and open game likely to produce multiple scoring opportunities.

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