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Lask Linz crestLask Linz
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Liverpool crestLiverpool

UEFA Champions League | Wed 14 Oct, 17:45

Lask Linz v Liverpool Stats

Data last updated: Tue 03 Nov 2026, 03:09 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Lask Linz face Liverpool in UEFA Champions League on Wed 14 Oct, 17:45. LASK began their domestic campaign with seven consecutive victories, but their form has deteriorated since September's 1-0 Champions League defeat against AEK Athens. Despite LASK's recent winless run, their average 2.2 goals and 5.8 shots on target per game underline their threat.

BT4Y best bet

BTTS Yes

  • At 9.5, BTTS Yes implies roughly 11%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 15%.
  • LASK's solid attacking metrics and defensive vulnerability support a close, both-teams-scoring result, though Liverpool's absences pose a scoring risk.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 15% for BTTS Yes sits against roughly 11% implied by the current price. LASK's solid attacking metrics and defensive vulnerability support a close, both-teams-scoring result, though Liverpool's absences pose a scoring risk.

Model chance vs price15% model chance against roughly 11% implied
Neutral
LASK's solid attacking metrics and defensive vulnerability support a.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +4.1 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Lask Linz Win is the preferred angle because lASK's solid attacking metrics and defensive vulnerability support a close, both-teams-scoring result, though Liverpool's absences pose a scoring risk. Liverpool have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Lask Linz Win angle more than a raw possession edge. Liverpool's recovery from a heavy defeat and ability to score against top teams supports this outcome, though LASK's recent poor attacking display poses some risk.

Main risk

Liverpool's recovery from a heavy defeat and ability to score against top teams supports this outcome, though LASK's recent poor attacking display poses some risk.

Key Data Signals

BTTS Yes evidence

LASK's solid attacking metrics and defensive vulnerability support a close, both-teams-scoring result, though Liverpool's absences pose a scoring.

Liverpool have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Lask Linz Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

BTTS Yes notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Lask Linz1.67
    Avg goals scored
    Liverpool2
    Lask Linz1.67
    Avg goals conceded
    Liverpool1
    Lask Linz33%
    BTTS rate
    Liverpool100%
    Lask Linz67%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Liverpool100%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
    1.1
    Check odds @ 1.1
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
    3.2
    Check odds @ 3.2
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickLask Linz to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 15% vs implied 11% · edge +4.1 pts
    9.5
    Check odds @ 9.5
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Lask Linz Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 37%
    4.65
    Check odds @ 4.65
    Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Lask Linz to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Lask Linz

    LWL
    Last 51W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 2L
    08 Sep 2026A AEK Athens FC0-1
    25 Aug 2026H Celtic5-1
    19 Aug 2026A Celtic0-3

    Liverpool

    W
    Last 51W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 0L
    09 Sep 2026H Atletico Madrid2-1
    Market aligned with main pickLask Linz to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 15% vs implied 11% · edge +4.1 pts
    9.5
    Check odds @ 9.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 44%
    3.4
    Check odds @ 3.4
    Lask Linz Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 37%
    4.65
    Check odds @ 4.65
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    67%Lask Linz Over 2.5
    100%Liverpool Over 2.5
    4H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Lask Linz sit at 67% and Liverpool sit at 100% with the H2H average at 4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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