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Coquimbo Unido crestCoquimbo Unido
v
Platense crestPlatense

CONMEBOL Libertadores | Wed 19 Aug, 23:00

Coquimbo Unido v Platense Stats

Data last updated: Tue 18 Aug 2026, 07:12 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Coquimbo Unido hosts Platense in the decisive second leg of their Copa Libertadores last-16 tie, level at 1-1 after a tense first leg. Coquimbo's unbeaten home form and strong defensive record at Estadio Francisco Sanchez Rumoroso provide a solid foundation, while Platense's impressive away record and attacking threat pose a significant challenge. Recent patterns show Coquimbo scoring late goals and Platense struggling to hold leads late, setting up a tactical battle where resilience and timing could decide who advances to the quarter-finals.

BT4Y match pick · price watch

Coquimbo Unido to Win

  • Coquimbo Unido unbeaten at home since March with five clean sheets in last 10 matches.
  • Platense have a perfect away record in Libertadores this year, scoring in every road game.
  • Platense conceded late goals in last two matches after leading, contrasting Coquimbo's late scoring.
  • First leg saw Platense dominate possession and shots but only managed a 1-1 draw after conceding late.
  • Key absences for Platense reduce attacking options, boosting Coquimbo's defensive edge.
Price warning

Coquimbo Unido to Win is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 44% while the model sits nearer 36% (-8.1 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Both Teams to Score shows a +15 pts edge at 2.25.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The model sees Coquimbo Unido's home defensive solidity and late scoring resilience as key factors supporting a home win, despite Platense's strong away form. The 36.3% is below the market's 41.7% implied probability, indicating the price is short. This pick is football-led rather than value-driven, with reduced staking advised. Improvements in line-ups or drift would strengthen the value case. The consistent defensive record and match context justify backing Coquimbo Unido to win in this tight tie.

Home Defensive RecordConceded ≤1 goal in 10 consecutive home matches with 5 clean sheets
Strong positive
Away Form of OpponentPlatense 100% away record in Libertadores 2026
Neutral
Late Goal PatternsCoquimbo scored last two goals in second-half stoppage time
Positive
Price vs Model ChanceModel chance 36.3% vs market implied 41.7% (price short)
Negative

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Coquimbo Unido's unbeaten home run and defensive strength provide a tactical edge in this tight Libertadores tie. Despite Platense's superior possession and away record, Coquimbo's resilience and late goal threat make a narrow home victory the most plausible outcome. The match will likely be decided by fine margins and late moments.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and form advantage

“Coquimbo Unido's home defensive consistency and late scoring resilience create a compelling tactical advantage against Platense's strong but vulnerable away side in this crucial Libertadores clash.”

Key Data Signals

Coquimbo Unido to Win evidence

Coquimbo Unido unbeaten at home since March with five clean sheets in last 10 matches.

Platense have a perfect away record in Libertadores this year, scoring in every road game.

Platense conceded late goals in last two matches after leading, contrasting Coquimbo's late scoring.

First leg saw Platense dominate possession and shots but only managed a 1-1 draw after conceding late.

What To Watch In The Data

Coquimbo Unido to Win notes

  • Over the last five matches, Coquimbo Unido has a 60% rate of games over 2.5 goals, while Platense has 40%.
  • The first leg averaged 2 goals, suggesting a moderate tempo with chances for goals but also defensive discipline.
  • The trend indicates potential for a few goals but likely a tight scoreline given the tactical context and late goal patterns.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Coquimbo Unido1.2
Avg goals scored
Platense1.4
Coquimbo Unido1.2
Avg goals conceded
Platense1
Coquimbo Unido40%
BTTS rate
Platense80%
Coquimbo Unido60%
Over 2.5 goals
Platense40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 28%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Goal trends show Coquimbo Unido scoring late decisive goals, with their last two goals in second-half stoppage time. Platense have conceded late goals after leading in recent matches, increasing the likelihood of a narrow scoreline. Platense's high BTTS rate contrasts with Coquimbo's more conservative scoring pattern, suggesting a low-scoring game with potential for a single late goal.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Coquimbo Unido

DLWWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 2L
12 Aug 2026A Platense1-1
27 May 2026A Club Nacional0-1
19 May 2026H Deportes Tolima3-0
08 May 2026H Universitario2-1
29 Apr 2026A Deportes Tolima0-3

Platense

DWLDW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 2L
12 Aug 2026H Coquimbo Unido1-1
28 May 2026A Corinthians2-0
20 May 2026A Santa Fe1-2
07 May 2026H Penarol1-1
29 Apr 2026H Santa Fe2-1
Market aligned with main pickCoquimbo Unido to WinBet365 guide price · Model 36% vs implied 44% · edge -8.1 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 64%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Coquimbo Unido Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Recent form data shows Coquimbo Unido with 7 points and Platense with 8 in their last five matches, both scoring around 1.2 to 1.4 goals per game. Coquimbo's defensive solidity contrasts with Platense's higher BTTS rate, reflecting their vulnerability to conceding late goals. This form suggests a close match where Coquimbo's home advantage and defensive resilience could tip the balance.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Coquimbo Unido1063122
2Platense1063121
Both teams sit level on points in the competition standings, underscoring the evenly matched nature of this knockout tie. The stakes are high with a quarter-final place at risk, increasing the likelihood of cautious tactics and fine margins deciding the outcome rather than league form alone.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickCoquimbo Unido to WinBet365 guide price · Model 36% vs implied 44% · edge -8.1 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 59%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Coquimbo Unido Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
The market prices Coquimbo Unido to win at 2.4, implying a 41.7% chance, which is higher than the model's 36.3% estimate. This suggests the price is short and sensitive, reflecting the tight nature of the tie and Coquimbo's home form. The pick remains football-led due to Coquimbo's defensive strength and late goal patterns, but staking should be reduced or drift awaited for a cleaner value opportunity.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Coquimbo Unido7.5
Avg corners for
Platense4.2
Coquimbo Unido12.75
Avg total corners
Platense9
Coquimbo Unido2.5
Avg yellow cards
Platense2
Coquimbo Unido10.75
Avg shots
Platense11.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 55%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Over 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Coquimbo Unido averages 6.8 corners per game, indicating steady attacking pressure, while Platense averages fewer corners but more shots on target. The card data shows moderate discipline with Coquimbo averaging 2.6 yellows and Platense 2.0, suggesting a competitive but controlled match. The shot volume and corner statistics reflect a balanced contest with Coquimbo relying on set-piece pressure and Platense on open play shots.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Coquimbo Unido wins
1Draws
0Platense wins
12 Aug 2026Platense v Coquimbo Unido1-1
Market aligned with main pickCoquimbo Unido to WinBet365 guide price · Model 36% vs implied 44% · edge -8.1 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 59%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
The single previous meeting between Coquimbo Unido and Platense ended 1-1, reflecting a balanced contest. While historical data is limited, this close result supports the expectation of a tight match decided by small moments rather than control by either side.
Season team stats

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Coquimbo Unido7
Played
Platense7
Coquimbo Unido1.3
Avg goals for
Platense1.3
Coquimbo Unido1
Avg goals against
Platense1.1
Coquimbo Unido2
Clean sheets
Platense1
Market aligned with main pickCoquimbo Unido to WinBet365 guide price · Model 36% vs implied 44% · edge -8.1 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Coquimbo Unido Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Coquimbo Unido's season stats highlight a strong home defense, conceding one or fewer goals in 10 consecutive matches with five clean sheets, supporting a narrow win. Platense's season shows a potent attack but defensive lapses late in games. The balance of solid defense versus attacking threat favors Coquimbo's ability to secure a tight victory at home.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Coquimbo Unido Over 2.5
40%Platense Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, Coquimbo Unido has a 60% rate of games over 2.5 goals, while Platense has 40%. The first leg averaged 2 goals, suggesting a moderate tempo with chances for goals but also defensive discipline. The trend indicates potential for a few goals but likely a tight scoreline given the tactical context and late goal patterns.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Coquimbo Unido v Platense prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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