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Argentina crestArgentina
v
Switzerland crestSwitzerland

World Cup | Sun 12 Jul, 02:00

Argentina v Switzerland Stats

Data last updated: Sun 12 Jul 2026, 17:55 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This World Cup quarter-final features Argentina, unbeaten in their last 15 home-designated fixtures, facing Switzerland, who arrive on an 11-match unbeaten streak. Argentina's recent knockout matches have been dramatic, relying heavily on Lionel Messi's historic scoring streak, while Switzerland's disciplined defensive structure and tactical patience have made them tough opponents. Both teams possess strong offensive capabilities, with Argentina averaging two goals per game recently and Switzerland scoring 23 goals in their last 11 outings. The midfield battle and tactical discipline will be crucial in this tightly poised contest at Kansas City.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Argentina average two goals per game over their last 11 matches, showing consistent attacking threat.
  • Switzerland have scored 23 goals in their last 11 matches, matching Argentina’s offensive output.
  • Both teams have a 60% rate of matches featuring goals from both sides recently.
  • Argentina’s defense showed vulnerability conceding twice to Egypt, indicating potential for Swiss goals.
  • Switzerland’s defensive patience and compactness make for a tactical, competitive match.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score highly with a 70% chance, reflecting the strong attacking records of both sides. Argentina’s offensive volume, led by Lionel Messi’s eight goals and high shot rates, combines with Switzerland’s efficient counter-attacks and 23 goals in recent matches. Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides, especially Argentina’s recent concessions, support the likelihood of goals at both ends. The price offers clear value with a 22.4% edge and no price warnings. This pick aligns well with the tactical context of an open, competitive quarter-final.

Argentina’s attacking consistency2 goals per game, 13.36 shots per match
Strong positive
Switzerland’s offensive output23 goals in last 11 matches
Strong positive
Defensive vulnerabilitiesArgentina conceded twice vs Egypt, Switzerland’s compact defense tested
Positive
Price value22.4% value edge at 2.10 odds
Strong positive
Main risk

The main risk is Switzerland’s defensive discipline potentially limiting clear-cut chances, which could reduce goal-scoring opportunities despite offensive strengths.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“This fixture pits Argentina’s relentless attacking pressure against Switzerland’s disciplined defense, creating a scenario where both teams are likely to breach each other’s back lines. The statistical evidence and tactical setup strongly support a Both Teams to Score outcome.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Argentina average two goals per game over their last 11 matches, showing consistent attacking threat.

Switzerland have scored 23 goals in their last 11 matches, matching Argentina’s offensive output.

Both teams have a 60% rate of matches featuring goals from both sides recently.

Argentina’s defense showed vulnerability conceding twice to Egypt, indicating potential for Swiss goals.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last 11 matches, both teams have combined for 45 goals, with Argentina’s matches featuring an 80% over 2.5 goals rate and Switzerland’s at 40%.
  • The trend suggests a moderately high tempo and goal frequency, with both teams capable of breaking down defenses, supporting an expectation of multiple goals and BTTS.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Argentina4.6
Avg corners for
Switzerland5.2
Argentina7.8
Avg total corners
Switzerland9.6
Argentina0.6
Avg yellow cards
Switzerland1.2
Argentina15
Avg shots
Switzerland12.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 50% · edge +5.5 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Over 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 50%
2
Check odds @ 2
Argentina averages 15 shots per match with 6.4 on target, while Switzerland averages 12.6 shots and 5 on target, indicating active offensive phases for both. Switzerland’s higher average corners (5.2) compared to Argentina (4.6) reflect their ability to generate set-piece opportunities. Switzerland’s higher yellow card average (1.2 vs 0.6) suggests a more physical approach that could influence game flow and chances.

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World Cup fixtures and predictionsArgentina v Switzerland predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Argentina2.8
Avg goals scored
Switzerland1.8
Argentina1
Avg goals conceded
Switzerland0.6
Argentina60%
BTTS rate
Switzerland60%
Argentina80%
Over 2.5 goals
Switzerland40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 27% · edge +43.3 pts
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 34%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Both Argentina and Switzerland have demonstrated strong goal-scoring form, with 22 and 23 goals respectively in their last 11 matches. Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate recently, supported by Argentina’s high shot volume and Switzerland’s effective counter-attacks, suggesting goals from both sides are probable in this match.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 27% · edge +43.3 pts
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Load more odds for this section
Argentina to WinBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Switzerland Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 56%
2
Check odds @ 2
Argentina Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively at 2.10, reflecting an implied chance of 47.6%, while the model estimates a 70% probability. This significant indicates the market underestimates the likelihood of both sides scoring, justified by their recent offensive outputs and defensive lapses.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Argentina

WWWWW
Last 55W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 0D 0L
07 Jul 2026H Egypt3-2
03 Jul 2026H Cape Verde Islands3-2
28 Jun 2026A Jordan3-1
22 Jun 2026H Austria2-0
17 Jun 2026H Algeria3-0

Switzerland

DWWWD
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 0L
07 Jul 2026H Colombia0-0
03 Jul 2026H Algeria2-0
24 Jun 2026H Canada2-1
18 Jun 2026H Bosnia & Herzegovina4-1
13 Jun 2026A Qatar1-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 86% vs implied 88% · edge -1.7 pts
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
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Argentina to WinBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Switzerland Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Argentina Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 46%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Switzerland to WinBetUK guide price · model 23%
6
Check odds @ 6
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 23%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Recent form data shows Argentina scoring 2.8 goals per game and Switzerland 1.8, with both sides conceding goals regularly (1.0 and 0.6 respectively). Argentina’s 80% over 2.5 goals rate and both teams’ 60% BTTS rates highlight a trend toward open, goal-filled matches, reinforcing the likelihood of goals from both teams in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Argentina wins
0Draws
0Switzerland wins
01 Jul 2014Argentina v Switzerland1-0
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 27% · edge +43.3 pts
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Load more odds for this section
Argentina to WinBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Switzerland to WinBetUK guide price · model 23%
6
Check odds @ 6
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 23%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
The single recent head-to-head meeting averaged only 1 goal, a limited sample that offers little predictive value. Current form and tactical setups provide stronger signals for this match than historical encounters, emphasizing the importance of recent offensive and defensive trends.
Season team stats

World Cup

Argentina6
Played
Switzerland6
Argentina2.8
Avg goals for
Switzerland1.7
Argentina1
Avg goals against
Switzerland1
Argentina2
Clean sheets
Switzerland2
Best odds for this sectionArgentina to WinBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 60% · edge +5.4 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Switzerland Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Argentina Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Switzerland to WinBetUK guide price · model 23%
6
Check odds @ 6
Season-long statistics reveal Argentina’s strong attacking profile with high shot volumes and goal averages, while Switzerland’s defensive record includes six clean sheets in 11 matches, reflecting their compactness. Both teams’ goal-scoring and conceding patterns support a scenario where both sides can find the net, consistent with the BTTS selection.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Switzerland732104
1Argentina933007
Both teams rank first in their respective groups with Argentina on 9 points and Switzerland on 7, indicating strong tournament performances. While standings show competitiveness, the tactical and form factors weigh more heavily in predicting goals from both sides in this knockout match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Argentina Over 2.5
40%Switzerland Over 2.5
1H2H avg goals
Over the last 11 matches, both teams have combined for 45 goals, with Argentina’s matches featuring an 80% over 2.5 goals rate and Switzerland’s at 40%. The trend suggests a moderately high tempo and goal frequency, with both teams capable of breaking down defenses, supporting an expectation of multiple goals and BTTS.

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Fixture links

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