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Toulousev
LyonLigue 1 | Sun 10 May, 20:00
Toulouse v Lyon Stats
BT4Y best bet
Both Teams to Score
- At 3.4, Both Teams to Score is priced at roughly 29% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 76%, so the current line is showing a +46.6-point value edge.
- Toulouse have scored in 80% of the recent sample and Lyon have scored in 80%, with BTTS rates of 80% and 60%.
- The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Toulouse have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.6 conceded.
- The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Lyon have taken 4 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 60% of that sample.
- If the bookmaker is still close to 3.4, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 29% · edge +46.6 pts
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4Load more odds for this section
Key match trends
A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.
100%Toulouse Over 2.5
60%Lyon Over 2.5
3.2H2H avg goals
Recent form
Results and scoring shape from recent games.
Toulouse
WDLLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 recordLast 103W 2D 5L
03 May 2026A Strasbourg2-1
25 Apr 2026H Monaco2-2
17 Apr 2026A Lens2-3
12 Apr 2026H Lille0-4
03 Apr 2026A Paris Saint Germain1-3
Lyon
WWWWD
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 recordLast 104W 3D 3L
03 May 2026H Rennes4-2
25 Apr 2026H Auxerre3-2
19 Apr 2026A Paris Saint Germain2-1
12 Apr 2026H Lorient2-0
05 Apr 2026A Angers0-0
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 48% · edge +27.9 pts
2.08
Bet HERE @ 2.08Load more odds for this section
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Goal-market data and related prices.
Toulouse1.4
Avg goals scoredLyon2.2
Toulouse2.6
Avg goals concededLyon1
Toulouse80%
BTTS rateLyon60%
Toulouse100%
Over 2.5 goalsLyon60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 29% · edge +46.6 pts
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4Load more odds for this section
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and related markets.
1Toulouse wins
2Draws
7Lyon wins
05 Oct 2025Lyon v Toulouse1-2
18 Jan 2025Lyon v Toulouse0-0
29 Sep 2024Toulouse v Lyon1-2
15 Mar 2024Toulouse v Lyon2-3
10 Dec 2023Lyon v Toulouse3-0
14 Apr 2023Toulouse v Lyon1-2
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 29% · edge +46.6 pts
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4Load more odds for this section
Corners, cards and shots
Detailed stat markets where available.
Toulouse2.8
Avg corners forLyon5.8
Toulouse9
Avg total cornersLyon11.8
Toulouse2
Avg yellow cardsLyon1.2
Toulouse10.6
Avg shotsLyon11.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 54% · edge +11.3 pts
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85Load more odds for this section
Player stats
Player props and player-level signals.
Load more player angles
EndrickLyon · Attacker
Goal threat87/100
Shots /902.88
SOT /901.95
P. ŠulcLyon · Midfielder
Goal threat74/100
Shots /901.86
SOT /901.05
EmersonnToulouse · Attacker
Goal threat65/100
Shots /902.56
SOT /901.16
G. MikautadzeLyon · Attacker
Goal threat51/100
Shots /904.02
SOT /902.01
R. YaremchukLyon · Attacker
Goal threat62/100
Shots /902.29
SOT /901.25
R. HimbertLyon · Attacker
Goal threat42/100
Shots /904.53
SOT /900.65
N. TagliaficoLyon · Defender
Goal threat16/100
Shots /900.75
SOT /900.07
S. KumbediLyon · Defender
Goal threat7/100
Shots /901.36
SOT /900
Season team stats
Ligue 1
Toulouse32
PlayedLyon32
Toulouse1.4
Avg goals forLyon1.6
Toulouse1.4
Avg goals againstLyon1.1
Toulouse9
Clean sheetsLyon15
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 48% · edge +27.9 pts
2.08
Bet HERE @ 2.08Load more odds for this section
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lyon | 60 | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 18 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 41 | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 0 |
Next step
Betting context
Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.
