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Senegal crestSenegal
v
Iraq crestIraq

World Cup | Fri 26 Jun, 20:00

Senegal v Iraq Stats

Data last updated: Fri 24 Jul 2026, 03:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Senegal face Iraq in World Cup on Fri 26 Jun, 20:00. Senegal's superior chance creation and attacking quality are set to punish an Iraq squad that has leaked seven goals in two group fixtures.

BT4Y best bet

Senegal Win

  • At 2/1, Senegal Win implies roughly 33%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 48%.
  • Senegal average 1.71 goals per game, meeting an Iraq defensive unit that has conceded seven times across their first two matches.
  • Senegal have the cleaner defensive sample at 3 conceded per match, which helps the Senegal Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 48% for Senegal Win sits against roughly 33% implied by the current price. Senegal have the cleaner defensive sample at 3 conceded per match, which helps the Senegal Win angle more than a raw possession edge. Senegal average 1.71 goals per game, meeting an Iraq defensive unit that has conceded seven times across their first two matches.

Model chance vs price48% model chance against roughly 33% implied
Strong positive
Senegal have the cleaner defensive sample at 3 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Senegal average 1.71 goals per game, meeting an Iraq.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Senegal Win is the preferred angle because senegal average that scoring level per game, meeting an Iraq defensive unit that has conceded seven times across their first two matches. Senegal have the cleaner defensive sample at 3 conceded per match, which helps the Senegal Win angle more than a raw possession edge. Defeat hurts, obviously, but goals give a team something to carry with them.

Main risk

Defeat hurts, obviously, but goals give a team something to carry with them.

Key Data Signals

Senegal Win evidence

Senegal average 1.71 goals per game, meeting an Iraq defensive unit that has conceded seven times across their.

Senegal have the cleaner defensive sample at 3 conceded per match, which helps the Senegal Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Senegal Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Senegal4
    Avg corners for
    Iraq2
    Senegal9.5
    Avg total corners
    Iraq6.5
    Senegal0
    Avg yellow cards
    Iraq1
    Senegal11
    Avg shots
    Iraq7.5
    Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
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    Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 47%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 45%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 53%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Useful next reads

    World Cup hubSenegal v Iraq predictioncorners trends hubplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Senegal1.5
    Avg goals scored
    Iraq0.5
    Senegal3
    Avg goals conceded
    Iraq3.5
    Senegal100%
    BTTS rate
    Iraq50%
    Senegal100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Iraq100%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 65% · edge +12.6 pts
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
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    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 63%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 57%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickSenegal to WinBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 82% · edge -28.9 pts
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
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    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 63%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 45%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 53%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Senegal Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
    1.11
    Check odds @ 1.11
    Senegal to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Senegal

    LL
    Last 50W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 2L
    23 Jun 2026A Norway2-3
    16 Jun 2026A France1-3

    Iraq

    LL
    Last 50W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 2L
    22 Jun 2026A France0-3
    16 Jun 2026H Norway1-4
    Market aligned with main pickSenegal to WinBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 82% · edge -28.9 pts
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
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    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 80%
    1.04
    Check odds @ 1.04
    Senegal Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
    1.11
    Check odds @ 1.11
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Senegal wins
    0Draws
    0Iraq wins
    Market aligned with main pickSenegal to WinBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 82% · edge -28.9 pts
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 63%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Senegal to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Season team stats

    World Cup

    Senegal4
    Played
    Iraq3
    Senegal2.5
    Avg goals for
    Iraq0.3
    Senegal2.3
    Avg goals against
    Iraq4
    Senegal1
    Clean sheets
    Iraq0
    Market aligned with main pickSenegal to WinBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 82% · edge -28.9 pts
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Load more odds for this section
    Senegal Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
    1.11
    Check odds @ 1.11
    Season data supports Senegal to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    3Senegal331022
    4Iraq03003-11
    8Senegal331022
    World Cup standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Senegal Over 2.5
    100%Iraq Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Senegal sit at 100% and Iraq sit at 100%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Senegal v Iraq prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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