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SC Freiburg crestSC Freiburg
v
SC Braga crestSC Braga

UEFA Europa League | Thu 07 May, 20:00

SC Freiburg v SC Braga Stats

BT4Y best bet

SC Freiburg or SC Braga to Win

  • At 1.62, SC Freiburg or SC Braga to Win is priced at roughly 62% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 82%, so the current line is showing a +20.3-point value edge.
  • SC Freiburg have a recent record of 3W-0D-2L, while SC Braga come in at 0W-0D-0L across the same last-five lens.
  • The result profile supports the SC Freiburg or SC Braga to Win angle: SC Freiburg have taken 3 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1 conceded.
  • The result profile supports the SC Freiburg or SC Braga to Win angle: The last 1 head-to-head meeting averaged 3 total goals, with over 2.5 goals landing in 100%.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 1.62, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 52% · edge +20.9 pts
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 65%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.4
Bet HERE @ 1.4
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.85
Bet HERE @ 2.85
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.75
Bet HERE @ 4.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
3.7
Bet HERE @ 3.7
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

80%SC Freiburg Over 2.5
-SC Braga Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

SC Freiburg

LWWWL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 1D 3L
30 Apr 2026A SC Braga1-2
16 Apr 2026A Celta Vigo3-1
09 Apr 2026H Celta Vigo3-0
19 Mar 2026H Genk5-1
12 Mar 2026A Genk0-1

SC Braga

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for SC Braga yet.

Best odds for this sectionHome WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 58% · edge +16.2 pts
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.4
Bet HERE @ 1.4
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 86%
1.14
Bet HERE @ 1.14
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.85
Bet HERE @ 2.85
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.75
Bet HERE @ 4.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
3.7
Bet HERE @ 3.7
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.53
Bet HERE @ 1.53
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

SC Freiburg2.4
Avg goals scored
SC Braga-
SC Freiburg1
Avg goals conceded
SC Braga-
SC Freiburg60%
BTTS rate
SC Braga-
SC Freiburg80%
Over 2.5 goals
SC Braga-
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 52% · edge +20.9 pts
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 83%
1.33
Bet HERE @ 1.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 65%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 47%
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

0SC Freiburg wins
0Draws
1SC Braga wins
30 Apr 2026SC Braga v SC Freiburg2-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 52% · edge +20.9 pts
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 65%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.75
Bet HERE @ 4.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
3.7
Bet HERE @ 3.7
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

SC Freiburg3.4
Avg corners for
SC Braga-
SC Freiburg7.2
Avg total corners
SC Braga-
SC Freiburg2.4
Avg yellow cards
SC Braga-
SC Freiburg10.4
Avg shots
SC Braga-
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 50% · edge +12.2 pts
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 39%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleM. Dorgeles Anytime GoalscorerM. Dorgeles · 2 goals · 1.98 SOT/90
79/100
Bet HERE
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D. Scherhant 1+ Shot On TargetD. Scherhant · 2.1 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
D. Scherhant 2+ ShotsD. Scherhant · 3.04 shots/90
79/100
Bet HERE
Ricardo Horta To Assist / Key Pass AngleRicardo Horta · 4 assists · 2.05 key passes/90
69/100
Bet HERE
J. Manzambi To Be FouledJ. Manzambi · 3.51 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Gabriel Moscardo Card RiskGabriel Moscardo · 3 yellows · 1.9 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
M. Dorgeles
M. DorgelesSC Braga · Midfielder
Goal threat72/100
Shots /902.78
SOT /901.98
V. Grifo
V. GrifoSC Freiburg · Midfielder
Goal threat55/100
Shots /901.33
SOT /900.88
D. Scherhant
D. ScherhantSC Freiburg · Attacker
Goal threat55/100
Shots /903.04
SOT /902.1
L. Höler
L. HölerSC Freiburg · Attacker
Goal threat20/100
Shots /901.78
SOT /901.18
I. Matanović
I. MatanovićSC Freiburg · Attacker
Goal threat53/100
Shots /902.26
SOT /900.99
Gabriel Moscardo
Gabriel MoscardoSC Braga · Midfielder
Goal threat3/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
Yanis da Rocha
Yanis da RochaSC Braga · Midfielder
Goal threat1/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
N. Höfler
N. HöflerSC Freiburg · Midfielder
Goal threat16/100
Shots /901.02
SOT /901.02
Season team stats

UEFA Europa League

SC Freiburg13
Played
SC Braga19
SC Freiburg1.7
Avg goals for
SC Braga1.9
SC Freiburg0.7
Avg goals against
SC Braga0.7
SC Freiburg5
Clean sheets
SC Braga11
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 58% · edge +16.2 pts
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.4
Bet HERE @ 1.4
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.85
Bet HERE @ 2.85
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.75
Bet HERE @ 4.75
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6SC Braga1785216
7SC Freiburg1785216

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.