Football Stats Hub

Philippines crestPhilippines
v
Guam crestGuam

Friendlies | Wed 03 Jun, 12:30

Philippines v Guam Stats

Data last updated: Thu 25 Jun 2026, 18:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Philippines face Guam in Friendlies on Wed 03 Jun, 12:30. Philippines host Guam at Rizal Memorial Stadium in an international friendly. Allowing 14 goals in six matches represents structural vulnerabilities that complicate their search for international victories. Read our in-depth analysis, key tactical themes and three standout stats ahead of the match.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Philippines Win

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 96%, above the 43% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 1.04, Philippines Win implies roughly 96%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 43%.
  • Given Guam score three goals per match specifically in international friendlies, an entertaining score draw mirrors their defensive issues perfectly.
Price warning

Philippines Win is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 96% while the model sits nearer 43% (-53.2 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Draw shows a +22.3 pts edge at 13.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 43% for Philippines Win sits against roughly 96% implied by the current price. Given Guam score three goals per match specifically in international friendlies, an entertaining score draw mirrors their defensive issues perfectly.

Model chance vs price43% model chance against roughly 96% implied
Negative
Given Guam score three goals per match specifically in.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge -53.2 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Philippines Win is the preferred angle because given Guam score three goals per match specifically in international friendlies, an entertaining score draw mirrors their defensive issues perfectly. However, Guam let in that scoring level per match globally.

Main risk

However, Guam let in 1.75 goals per match globally.

Key Data Signals

Philippines Win evidence

Given Guam score three goals per match specifically in international friendlies, an entertaining score draw mirrors their defensive.

What To Watch In The Data

Philippines Win notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickPhilippines to WinBetfred guide price · Model 43% vs implied 96% · edge -53.2 pts
    1.04
    Check odds @ 1.04
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Philippines to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Philippines-
    Avg goals scored
    Guam-
    Philippines-
    Avg goals conceded
    Guam-
    Philippines-
    BTTS rate
    Guam-
    Philippines-
    Over 2.5 goals
    Guam-
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 46% vs implied 25% · edge +20.6 pts
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.07
    Check odds @ 1.07
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Philippines

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Philippines yet.

    Guam

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Guam yet.

    Market aligned with main pickPhilippines to WinBetfred guide price · Model 43% vs implied 96% · edge -53.2 pts
    1.04
    Check odds @ 1.04
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    2Philippines wins
    0Draws
    0Guam wins
    11 Jun 2021Philippines v Guam3-0
    10 Sep 2019Guam v Philippines1-4
    Market aligned with main pickPhilippines to WinBetfred guide price · Model 43% vs implied 96% · edge -53.2 pts
    1.04
    Check odds @ 1.04
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Philippines to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Friendlies

    Philippines2
    Played
    Guam2
    Philippines5
    Avg goals for
    Guam1
    Philippines1
    Avg goals against
    Guam5.5
    Philippines0
    Clean sheets
    Guam0
    Market aligned with main pickPhilippines to WinBetfred guide price · Model 43% vs implied 96% · edge -53.2 pts
    1.04
    Check odds @ 1.04
    Season data supports Philippines to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    -Philippines Over 2.5
    -Guam Over 2.5
    4H2H avg goals
    Given Guam score three goals per match specifically in international friendlies, an entertaining score draw mirrors their defensive issues perfectly.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Philippines v Guam prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

    More stats pages

    Browse football stats pages

    Open the main stats hub for the latest fixture dashboards.

    Competition and hubs

    Friendlies hubFriendlies fixtures and predictionsfull betting preview for Philippines v Guambest bets hubplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hub

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    Read full prediction View match centre