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Parma crestParma
v
Pisa crestPisa

Serie A | Sat 25 Apr, 14:00

Parma v Pisa Stats

Data last updated: Fri 12 Jun 2026, 06:53 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Parma face Pisa in Serie A on Sat 25 Apr, 14:00. Parma have scored just 24 league goals this season, underlining their reliance on defensive organisation rather than attacking firepower. Given Pisa's seventeen-match winless streak away from home, Parma should secure a vital victory at the Tardini.

BT4Y best bet

Parma Win

  • At 1/1, Parma Win implies roughly 50%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 55%.
  • Parma’s quiet climb away from danger
  • Parma have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 3 for Pisa.
  • Parma have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the Parma Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Parma sit 13 in the table, while Pisa sit 20, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 55% for Parma Win sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price. Parma have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 3 for Pisa. Parma’s quiet climb away from danger

Model chance vs price55% model chance against roughly 50% implied
Neutral
Parma have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points.Visible data support
Positive
Parma have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Parma’s quiet climb away from dangerArticle support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Parma Win is the preferred angle because parma’s quiet climb away from danger Parma have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 3 for Pisa. There is, however, a lingering frustration.

Main risk

There is, however, a lingering frustration.

Key Data Signals

Parma Win evidence

Parma’s quiet climb away from danger

Parma have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 3 for Pisa.

Parma have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the Parma Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Parma sit 13 in the table, while Pisa sit 20, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Parma Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Parma4
    Avg corners for
    Pisa2.2
    Parma9.4
    Avg total corners
    Pisa6.2
    Parma1.8
    Avg yellow cards
    Pisa1.6
    Parma6.8
    Avg shots
    Pisa9
    Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 58% · edge +2.3 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 52%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Useful next reads

    Serie A fixtures and predictionsrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Parma0.8
    Avg goals scored
    Pisa0.8
    Parma1.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Pisa2.4
    Parma60%
    BTTS rate
    Pisa40%
    Parma20%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Pisa80%
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 62% vs implied 15% · edge +46.3 pts
    6.5
    Check odds @ 6.5
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 42%
    7
    Check odds @ 7
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 24%
    19
    Check odds @ 19
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickParma to WinBet365 guide price · Model 55% vs implied 44% · edge +11 pts
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 42%
    7
    Check odds @ 7
    Parma Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 65%
    1.58
    Check odds @ 1.58
    Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 60%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 52%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Parma to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Parma

    WDDLL
    Last 51W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 4D 2L
    18 Apr 2026A Udinese1-0
    12 Apr 2026H Napoli1-1
    04 Apr 2026A Lazio1-1
    21 Mar 2026H Cremonese0-2
    13 Mar 2026A Torino1-4

    Pisa

    LLLLW
    Last 51W 0D 4L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 8L
    19 Apr 2026H Genoa1-2
    10 Apr 2026A AS Roma0-3
    05 Apr 2026H Torino0-1
    22 Mar 2026A Como0-5
    15 Mar 2026H Cagliari3-1
    Market aligned with main pickParma to WinBet365 guide price · Model 55% vs implied 44% · edge +11 pts
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 82%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Parma Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 65%
    1.58
    Check odds @ 1.58
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    3Parma wins
    3Draws
    2Pisa wins
    08 Dec 2025Pisa v Parma0-1
    17 Feb 2024Parma v Pisa3-2
    29 Aug 2023Pisa v Parma1-2
    28 Feb 2023Parma v Pisa0-1
    08 Oct 2022Pisa v Parma0-0
    22 Feb 2022Pisa v Parma0-0
    Market aligned with main pickParma to WinBet365 guide price · Model 55% vs implied 44% · edge +11 pts
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 42%
    7
    Check odds @ 7
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Parma to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Serie A

    Parma38
    Played
    Pisa38
    Parma0.7
    Avg goals for
    Pisa0.7
    Parma1.2
    Avg goals against
    Pisa1.9
    Parma13
    Clean sheets
    Pisa5
    Market aligned with main pickParma to WinBet365 guide price · Model 55% vs implied 44% · edge +11 pts
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Parma Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 65%
    1.58
    Check odds @ 1.58
    Season data supports Parma to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    13Parma4538111215-18
    20Pisa183821224-45
    Parma sit in position 13, while Pisa sit in position 20, so table pressure belongs in the Parma Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    20%Parma Over 2.5
    80%Pisa Over 2.5
    1.63H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Parma sit at 20% and Pisa sit at 80% with the H2H average at 1.63 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Parma v Pisa prediction

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    Next step

    Betting context

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