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Parmav
PisaSerie A | Sat 25 Apr, 14:00
Parma v Pisa Stats
BT4Y best bet
Under 2.5 Goals
- At 6.5, Under 2.5 Goals is priced at roughly 15% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 62%, so the current line is showing a +46.3-point value edge.
- Parma are at 20% for Over 2.5 in their last-five sample, Pisa are at 80%, and the H2H goal average is 1.63.
- The goals data supports the Under 2.5 Goals angle: Parma have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
- The goals data supports the Under 2.5 Goals angle: Pisa have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 40% of that sample.
- If the bookmaker is still close to 6.5, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 25% · edge +41.7 pts
4
Bet HERE @ 4Load more odds for this section
Key match trends
A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.
20%Parma Over 2.5
80%Pisa Over 2.5
1.63H2H avg goals
Recent form
Results and scoring shape from recent games.
Parma
WDDLL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 recordLast 104W 4D 2L
18 Apr 2026A Udinese1-0
12 Apr 2026H Napoli1-1
04 Apr 2026A Lazio1-1
21 Mar 2026H Cremonese0-2
13 Mar 2026A Torino1-4
Pisa
LLLLW
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 recordLast 101W 1D 8L
19 Apr 2026H Genoa1-2
10 Apr 2026A AS Roma0-3
05 Apr 2026H Torino0-1
22 Mar 2026A Como0-5
15 Mar 2026H Cagliari3-1
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBet365 guide price · Model 55% vs implied 44% · edge +11 pts
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25Load more odds for this section
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Goal-market data and related prices.
Parma0.8
Avg goals scoredPisa0.8
Parma1.6
Avg goals concededPisa2.4
Parma60%
BTTS ratePisa40%
Parma20%
Over 2.5 goalsPisa80%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 62% vs implied 15% · edge +46.3 pts
6.5
Bet HERE @ 6.5Load more odds for this section
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and related markets.
3Parma wins
3Draws
2Pisa wins
08 Dec 2025Pisa v Parma0-1
17 Feb 2024Parma v Pisa3-2
29 Aug 2023Pisa v Parma1-2
28 Feb 2023Parma v Pisa0-1
08 Oct 2022Pisa v Parma0-0
22 Feb 2022Pisa v Parma0-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 25% · edge +41.7 pts
4
Bet HERE @ 4Load more odds for this section
Corners, cards and shots
Detailed stat markets where available.
Parma4
Avg corners forPisa2.2
Parma9.4
Avg total cornersPisa6.2
Parma1.8
Avg yellow cardsPisa1.6
Parma6.8
Avg shotsPisa9
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 58% · edge +2.3 pts
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73Load more odds for this section
Player stats
Player props and player-level signals.
Load more player angles
N. ElphegeParma · Attacker
Goal threat57/100
Shots /901.79
SOT /900.9
S. MoreoPisa · Attacker
Goal threat50/100
Shots /901.82
SOT /900.76
Mateo PellegrinoParma · Attacker
Goal threat47/100
Shots /901.62
SOT /900.68
C. StengsPisa · Midfielder
Goal threat27/100
Shots /902.95
SOT /901.48
R. DurosinmiPisa · Attacker
Goal threat33/100
Shots /901.67
SOT /901.05
M. ĐurićParma · Attacker
Goal threat12/100
Shots /902.67
SOT /900
M. MarinPisa · Midfielder
Goal threat10/100
Shots /900.07
SOT /900
M. TroiloParma · Defender
Goal threat18/100
Shots /900.4
SOT /900.13
Season team stats
Serie A
Parma35
PlayedPisa35
Parma0.7
Avg goals forPisa0.7
Parma1.2
Avg goals againstPisa1.8
Parma12
Clean sheetsPisa5
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBet365 guide price · Model 55% vs implied 44% · edge +11 pts
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25Load more odds for this section
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Parma | 42 | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | -17 |
| 20 | Pisa | 18 | 35 | 2 | 12 | 21 | -38 |
Next step
Betting context
Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.
