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Macara crestMacara
v
Alianza Atletico crestAlianza Atletico

CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Fri 22 May, 03:00

Macara v Alianza Atletico Stats

Data last updated: Sun 26 Jul 2026, 10:03 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Macara face Alianza Atletico in CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Fri 22 May, 03:00. Macará remain unbeaten in Group A with eight points from four matches. Their disciplined low block has suffocated opposition attacks, leading to an unbeaten run in the tournament. They have turning structure into a weapon, conceding just three goals in the tournament.

BT4Y best bet

Dom, but Macará are proving there is still beauty in control

  • At 4/9, Dom, but Macará are proving there is still beauty in control implies roughly 69%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 74%.
  • Defensive Stability: Copa Sudamericana Goals Conceded
  • Macara have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 4 for Alianza Atletico.
  • Macara have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Dom, but Macará are proving there is still beauty in control angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 74% for Dom, but Macará are proving there is still beauty in control sits against roughly 69% implied by the current price. Macara have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 4 for Alianza Atletico. Defensive Stability: Copa Sudamericana Goals Conceded

Model chance vs price74% model chance against roughly 69% implied
Neutral
Macara have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points.Visible data support
Positive
Macara have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Defensive Stability: Copa Sudamericana Goals ConcededArticle support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Macara Win is the preferred angle because defensive Stability: Copa Sudamericana Goals Conceded Macara have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 4 for Alianza Atletico. They are patient in buildup and selective with risk.

Main risk

They are patient in buildup and selective with risk.

Key Data Signals

Dom, but Macará are proving there is still beauty in control evidence

Defensive Stability: Copa Sudamericana Goals Conceded

Macara have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 4 for Alianza Atletico.

Macara have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Macara Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Dom, but Macará are proving there is still beauty in control notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Macara1.4
    Avg goals scored
    Alianza Atletico0.8
    Macara0.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Alianza Atletico1.4
    Macara40%
    BTTS rate
    Alianza Atletico40%
    Macara20%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Alianza Atletico20%
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 54% · edge +11.9 pts
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 37%
    4.5
    Check odds @ 4.5
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 22%
    3.4
    Check odds @ 3.4
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 44%
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    Macara v Alianza Atletico predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Macara

    DWWDW
    Last 53W 2D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 2D 0L
    07 May 2026H Tigre2-2
    01 May 2026A Alianza Atletico2-0
    16 Apr 2026A Tigre1-0
    10 Apr 2026H America de Cali1-1
    06 Mar 2026A Orense SC1-0

    Alianza Atletico

    LLLDW
    Last 51W 1D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 3L
    07 May 2026H America de Cali0-2
    01 May 2026H Macara0-2
    16 Apr 2026A America de Cali1-2
    08 Apr 2026H Tigre1-1
    04 Mar 2026H Deportivo Garcilaso2-0
    Market aligned with main pickMacara to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 74% · edge +0.5 pts
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
    1.04
    Check odds @ 1.04
    Macara Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1Macara1062403
    4Alianza Atletico26024-7
    CONMEBOL Sudamericana standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickMacara to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 74% · edge +0.5 pts
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 70%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 37%
    4.5
    Check odds @ 4.5
    Macara Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Macara to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Macara6
    Avg corners for
    Alianza Atletico4.2
    Macara11.4
    Avg total corners
    Alianza Atletico9.2
    Macara2.4
    Avg yellow cards
    Alianza Atletico2.6
    Macara12
    Avg shots
    Alianza Atletico13.2
    Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    1Macara wins
    0Draws
    0Alianza Atletico wins
    01 May 2026Alianza Atletico v Macara0-2
    Market aligned with main pickMacara to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 74% · edge +0.5 pts
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 37%
    4.5
    Check odds @ 4.5
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Macara to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    CONMEBOL Sudamericana

    Macara7
    Played
    Alianza Atletico7
    Macara1
    Avg goals for
    Alianza Atletico0.6
    Macara0.4
    Avg goals against
    Alianza Atletico1.3
    Macara5
    Clean sheets
    Alianza Atletico2
    Market aligned with main pickMacara to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 74% · edge +0.5 pts
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Load more odds for this section
    Macara Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Season data supports Macara to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    20%Macara Over 2.5
    20%Alianza Atletico Over 2.5
    2H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Macara sit at 20% and Alianza Atletico sit at 20% with the H2H average at 2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Macara v Alianza Atletico prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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