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Macara crestMacara
v
Alianza Atletico crestAlianza Atletico

CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Fri 22 May, 03:00

Macara v Alianza Atletico Stats

BT4Y best bet

Over 8.5 Corners

  • At 1.85, Over 8.5 Corners is priced at roughly 54% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 71%, so the current line is showing a +17-point value edge.
  • The detailed sample shows average total corners of 11.4 for Macara games and 9.2 for Alianza Atletico games.
  • The corner data supports the Over 8.5 Corners angle: Macara have taken 3 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded.
  • The corner data supports the Over 8.5 Corners angle: Alianza Atletico have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 40% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 1.85, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 54% · edge +17 pts
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
4.25
Bet HERE @ 4.25
Home WinBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.44
Bet HERE @ 1.44
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 60%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.21
Bet HERE @ 1.21
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
7.5
Bet HERE @ 7.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
4.5
Bet HERE @ 4.5
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

20%Macara Over 2.5
20%Alianza Atletico Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Macara

DWWDW
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 0L
07 May 2026H Tigre2-2
01 May 2026A Alianza Atletico2-0
16 Apr 2026A Tigre1-0
10 Apr 2026H America de Cali1-1
06 Mar 2026A Orense SC1-0

Alianza Atletico

LLLDW
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 3L
07 May 2026H America de Cali0-2
01 May 2026H Macara0-2
16 Apr 2026A America de Cali1-2
08 Apr 2026H Tigre1-1
04 Mar 2026H Deportivo Garcilaso2-0
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 24% · edge +18.5 pts
4.25
Bet HERE @ 4.25
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.44
Bet HERE @ 1.44
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.08
Bet HERE @ 1.08
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.21
Bet HERE @ 1.21
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
7.5
Bet HERE @ 7.5
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
4.5
Bet HERE @ 4.5
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Macara1.4
Avg goals scored
Alianza Atletico0.8
Macara0.6
Avg goals conceded
Alianza Atletico1.4
Macara40%
BTTS rate
Alianza Atletico40%
Macara20%
Over 2.5 goals
Alianza Atletico20%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +14.7 pts
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 60%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 44%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 22%
3
Bet HERE @ 3
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.25
Bet HERE @ 1.25
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

1Macara wins
0Draws
0Alianza Atletico wins
01 May 2026Alianza Atletico v Macara0-2
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 69% · edge +4.6 pts
1.44
Bet HERE @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 60%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
7.5
Bet HERE @ 7.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
4.5
Bet HERE @ 4.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Macara6
Avg corners for
Alianza Atletico4.2
Macara11.4
Avg total corners
Alianza Atletico9.2
Macara2.4
Avg yellow cards
Alianza Atletico2.6
Macara12
Avg shots
Alianza Atletico13.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 54% · edge +17 pts
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleJ. del Castillo 1+ Shot On TargetJ. del Castillo · 1.26 shots on target/90
75/100
Bet HERE
Load more player angles
V. Robaldo 2+ ShotsV. Robaldo · 2.77 shots/90
77/100
Bet HERE
A. Muñoz To Assist / Key Pass AngleA. Muñoz · 1 assists · 2.4 key passes/90
69/100
Bet HERE
L. Ferro To Be FouledL. Ferro · 6.75 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
G. Larios Card RiskG. Larios · 1 yellows · 7.09 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
F. Posse
F. PosseMacara · Attacker
Goal threat43/100
Shots /901.9
SOT /901.05
A. Muñoz
A. MuñozAlianza Atletico · Midfielder
Goal threat42/100
Shots /902.05
SOT /901.03
F. Paz
F. PazMacara · Midfielder
Goal threat36/100
Shots /902.38
SOT /900.79
J. del Castillo
J. del CastilloAlianza Atletico · Midfielder
Goal threat23/100
Shots /901.89
SOT /901.26
V. Robaldo
V. RobaldoAlianza Atletico · Attacker
Goal threat36/100
Shots /902.77
SOT /900.62
L. Ferro
L. FerroMacara · Attacker
Goal threat10/100
Shots /902.25
SOT /900
G. Larios
G. LariosAlianza Atletico · Attacker
Goal threat13/100
Shots /900.71
SOT /900.71
A. Gordillo
A. GordilloAlianza Atletico · Defender
Goal threat12/100
Shots /900.6
SOT /900.3
Season team stats

CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Macara5
Played
Alianza Atletico5
Macara1.4
Avg goals for
Alianza Atletico0.8
Macara0.6
Avg goals against
Alianza Atletico1.4
Macara3
Clean sheets
Alianza Atletico1
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 24% · edge +18.5 pts
4.25
Bet HERE @ 4.25
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.44
Bet HERE @ 1.44
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.21
Bet HERE @ 1.21
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
7.5
Bet HERE @ 7.5
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Macara842203
4Alianza Atletico14013-5

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.

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