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Ivory Coast crestIvory Coast
v
Ecuador crestEcuador

World Cup | Mon 15 Jun, 00:00

Ivory Coast v Ecuador Stats

Data last updated: Sun 26 Jul 2026, 23:37 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Ivory Coast face Ecuador in World Cup on Mon 15 Jun, 00:00. Group E Opens With a Defensive Arm Wrestle. Willian Pacho and Piero Hincapie form the basis of the back line, while Pervis Estupinan, Felix Torres, Joel Ordonez, Jackson Porozo and Angelo Preciado give Ecuador further defensive options.

BT4Y best bet

Line, while Pervis Estupinan, Felix Torres, Joel Ordonez, Jackson Porozo and Angelo Preciado give Ecuador further defensive options

  • At 3.6, Line, while Pervis Estupinan, Felix Torres, Joel Ordonez, Jackson Porozo and Angelo Preciado give Ecuador further defensive options implies roughly 28%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 43%.
  • Both teams have built an exceptional defensive platform.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 43% for Line, while Pervis Estupinan, Felix Torres, Joel Ordonez, Jackson Porozo and Angelo Preciado give Ecuador further defensive options sits against roughly 28% implied by the current price. Both teams have built an exceptional defensive platform.

Model chance vs price43% model chance against roughly 28% implied
Strong positive
Both teams have built an exceptional defensive platform.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +15 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Ivory Coast Win is the preferred angle because both teams have built an exceptional defensive platform. This could be dramatic, but not necessarily in a 4-3, everyone-loses-their-minds sort of way.

Main risk

This could be dramatic, but not necessarily in a 4-3, everyone-loses-their-minds sort of way.

Key Data Signals

Line, while Pervis Estupinan, Felix Torres, Joel Ordonez, Jackson Porozo and Angelo Preciado give Ecuador further defensive options evidence

Both teams have built an exceptional defensive platform.

What To Watch In The Data

Line, while Pervis Estupinan, Felix Torres, Joel Ordonez, Jackson Porozo and Angelo Preciado give Ecuador further defensive options notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickIvory Coast to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 28% · edge +15 pts
    3.6
    Check odds @ 3.6
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 48%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Ivory Coast Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
    1.82
    Check odds @ 1.82
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Ivory Coast to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Ivory Coast-
    Avg goals scored
    Ecuador-
    Ivory Coast-
    Avg goals conceded
    Ecuador-
    Ivory Coast-
    BTTS rate
    Ecuador-
    Ivory Coast-
    Over 2.5 goals
    Ecuador-
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 68%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
    5.5
    Check odds @ 5.5
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Ivory Coast

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Ivory Coast yet.

    Ecuador

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Ecuador yet.

    Market aligned with main pickIvory Coast to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 28% · edge +15 pts
    3.6
    Check odds @ 3.6
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 73%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Ivory Coast Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
    1.82
    Check odds @ 1.82
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Ivory Coast wins
    0Draws
    0Ecuador wins
    Market aligned with main pickIvory Coast to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 28% · edge +15 pts
    3.6
    Check odds @ 3.6
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 48%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Ivory Coast to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Season team stats

    World Cup

    Ivory Coast4
    Played
    Ecuador4
    Ivory Coast1.3
    Avg goals for
    Ecuador0.5
    Ivory Coast1
    Avg goals against
    Ecuador1
    Ivory Coast2
    Clean sheets
    Ecuador1
    Market aligned with main pickIvory Coast to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 28% · edge +15 pts
    3.6
    Check odds @ 3.6
    Load more odds for this section
    Ivory Coast Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
    1.82
    Check odds @ 1.82
    Season data supports Ivory Coast to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    2Ivory Coast632012
    3Ecuador431110
    4Ecuador431110
    World Cup standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    -Ivory Coast Over 2.5
    -Ecuador Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    Both teams have built an exceptional defensive platform.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Ivory Coast v Ecuador prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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