Georgia

Romania

Friendlies | Tue 02 Jun, 18:00

Georgia v Romania Stats

Data last updated: Sat 22 Aug 2026, 22:25 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Georgia face Romania in Friendlies on Tue 02 Jun, 18:00. Georgia arrive after ending a frustrating five-match winless sequence with a 2-0 victory over Lithuania, while Romania travel to the Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena looking to bounce back from a 2-0 defeat against Slovakia.

BT4Y best bet

Georgia Win

At 23/20, Georgia Win implies roughly 47%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 62%.
Away Performance Profile: Romania on the Road
Georgia have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Romania.
Georgia have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Georgia Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 62% for Georgia Win sits against roughly 47% implied by the current price. Georgia have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Romania. Away Performance Profile: Romania on the Road

Model chance vs price62% model chance against roughly 47% implied

Strong positive

Georgia have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points.Visible data support

Positive

Georgia have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support

Positive

Away Performance Profile: Romania on the RoadArticle support

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Georgia Win is the preferred angle because away Performance Profile: Romania on the Road Georgia have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Romania. The result itself was important, but perhaps even more valuable was the sense that the team managed to stop the negative momentum that had been building.

Main risk

The result itself was important, but perhaps even more valuable was the sense that the team managed to stop the negative momentum that had been building.

Key Data Signals

Georgia Win evidence

Away Performance Profile: Romania on the Road

Georgia have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Romania.

Georgia have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Georgia Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Georgia Win notes

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Georgia2

Avg goals scored

Romania0

Georgia1

Avg goals conceded

Romania2

Georgia50%

BTTS rate

Romania0%

Georgia50%

Over 2.5 goals

Romania0%

Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 57% · edge +8.9 pts

1.75

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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%

1.83

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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 37%

2.05

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Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 22%

3.5

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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%

1.33

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickGeorgia to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts

2.15

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Georgia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%

1.6

Check odds @ 1.6

Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 71%

1.8

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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 37%

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

Georgia to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

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Useful next reads

more Friendlies analysis Georgia v Romania prediction corners trends hub player stats betting angles football stats hub football hub best bets research acca fixture filtering

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Georgia6

Avg corners for

Romania-

Georgia13

Avg total corners

Romania-

Georgia1

Avg yellow cards

Romania-

Georgia9

Avg shots

Romania-

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts

1.8

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Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Georgia

Last 51W 1D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 1D 0L

29 Mar 2026A Lithuania2-0

26 Mar 2026H Israel2-2

Romania

Last 50W 0D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 1L

31 Mar 2026A Slovakia0-2

Market aligned with main pickGeorgia to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts

2.15

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Georgia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%

1.6

Check odds @ 1.6

Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 86%

1.25

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Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Georgia wins

0Draws

0Romania wins

02 Jun 2021Romania v Georgia1-2

Market aligned with main pickGeorgia to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts

2.15

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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%

1.83

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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 37%

2.05

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The head-to-head sample gives context for Georgia to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies

Georgia4

Played

Romania3

Georgia1.8

Avg goals for

Romania1

Georgia0.8

Avg goals against

Romania1.3

Georgia2

Clean sheets

Romania0

Market aligned with main pickGeorgia to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts

2.15

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Georgia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%

1.6

Check odds @ 1.6

Season data supports Georgia to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Georgia Over 2.5

0%Romania Over 2.5

3H2H avg goals

The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Georgia sit at 50% and Romania sit at 0% with the H2H average at 3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Georgia v Romania Stats

Match Report

Georgia Win

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Georgia

Romania

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Football Stats Hub

Georgia v Romania Stats

Match Report

Georgia Win

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Georgia

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