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FC St. Pauli crestFC St. Pauli
v
FSV Mainz 05 crestFSV Mainz 05

Bundesliga | Sun 03 May, 14:30

FC St. Pauli v FSV Mainz 05 Stats

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 3.4, Both Teams to Score is priced at roughly 29% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 76%, so the current line is showing a +46.6-point value edge.
  • FC St. Pauli have scored in 60% of the recent sample and FSV Mainz 05 have scored in 80%, with BTTS rates of 60% and 80%.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: FC St. Pauli have taken 0 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: FSV Mainz 05 have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 80% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 3.4, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 29% · edge +46.6 pts
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBetUK guide price · model 70%
2.62
Bet HERE @ 2.62
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 59%
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

40%FC St. Pauli Over 2.5
60%FSV Mainz 05 Over 2.5
2.8H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

FC St. Pauli

LDLDL
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
25 Apr 2026A 1. FC Heidenheim0-2
17 Apr 2026H 1. FC Köln1-1
11 Apr 2026H Bayern München0-5
05 Apr 2026A Union Berlin1-1
22 Mar 2026H SC Freiburg1-2

FSV Mainz 05

LDLWW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
25 Apr 2026H Bayern München3-4
19 Apr 2026A Borussia Mönchengladbach1-1
12 Apr 2026H SC Freiburg0-1
04 Apr 2026A 1899 Hoffenheim2-1
22 Mar 2026H Eintracht Frankfurt2-1
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetUK guide price · Model 70% vs implied 38% · edge +31.8 pts
2.62
Bet HERE @ 2.62
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
1.3
Bet HERE @ 1.3
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.7
Bet HERE @ 2.7
DrawBetfred guide price · model 20%
3.3
Bet HERE @ 3.3
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.36
Bet HERE @ 1.36
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

FC St. Pauli0.6
Avg goals scored
FSV Mainz 051.6
FC St. Pauli2.2
Avg goals conceded
FSV Mainz 051.6
FC St. Pauli60%
BTTS rate
FSV Mainz 0580%
FC St. Pauli40%
Over 2.5 goals
FSV Mainz 0560%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 29% · edge +46.6 pts
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.33
Bet HERE @ 1.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
3.75
Bet HERE @ 3.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
1.3
Bet HERE @ 1.3
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

0FC St. Pauli wins
1Draws
4FSV Mainz 05 wins
21 Dec 2025FSV Mainz 05 v FC St. Pauli0-0
22 Feb 2025FSV Mainz 05 v FC St. Pauli2-0
05 Oct 2024FC St. Pauli v FSV Mainz 050-3
14 May 2011FSV Mainz 05 v FC St. Pauli2-1
18 Dec 2010FC St. Pauli v FSV Mainz 052-4
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 29% · edge +46.6 pts
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBetUK guide price · model 70%
2.62
Bet HERE @ 2.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.7
Bet HERE @ 2.7
DrawBetfred guide price · model 20%
3.3
Bet HERE @ 3.3
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

FC St. Pauli4.4
Avg corners for
FSV Mainz 054.8
FC St. Pauli9.2
Avg total corners
FSV Mainz 058.4
FC St. Pauli1.8
Avg yellow cards
FSV Mainz 051.4
FC St. Pauli10.4
Avg shots
FSV Mainz 0513
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · Model 59% vs implied 60% · edge -1.1 pts
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.98
Bet HERE @ 1.98
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleN. Amiri Anytime GoalscorerN. Amiri · 12 goals · 0.95 SOT/90
77/100
Bet HERE
Load more player angles
S. Katompa Mvumpa 1+ Shot On TargetS. Katompa Mvumpa · 1.84 shots on target/90
83/100
Bet HERE
Abdoulie Ceesay 2+ ShotsAbdoulie Ceesay · 2.29 shots/90
73/100
Bet HERE
N. Amiri To Assist / Key Pass AngleN. Amiri · 2 assists · 2.71 key passes/90
71/100
Bet HERE
A. Nordin To Be FouledA. Nordin · 2.47 fouls won/90
74/100
Bet HERE
Abdoulie Ceesay Card RiskAbdoulie Ceesay · 4 yellows · 3.57 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
N. Amiri
N. AmiriFSV Mainz 05 · Midfielder
Goal threat66/100
Shots /901.42
SOT /900.95
S. Becker
S. BeckerFSV Mainz 05 · Attacker
Goal threat64/100
Shots /902.27
SOT /901.42
P. Tietz
P. TietzFSV Mainz 05 · Attacker
Goal threat59/100
Shots /902.22
SOT /901.17
S. Katompa Mvumpa
S. Katompa MvumpaFSV Mainz 05 · Attacker
Goal threat48/100
Shots /902.11
SOT /901.84
R. Jones
R. JonesFC St. Pauli · Attacker
Goal threat53/100
Shots /902.06
SOT /901.55
Abdoulie Ceesay
Abdoulie CeesayFC St. Pauli · Attacker
Goal threat54/100
Shots /902.29
SOT /901.02
D. Kohr
D. KohrFSV Mainz 05 · Defender
Goal threat21/100
Shots /900.42
SOT /900.15
A. Caci
A. CaciFSV Mainz 05 · Midfielder
Goal threat10/100
Shots /900.69
SOT /900
Season team stats

Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli34
Played
FSV Mainz 0534
FC St. Pauli0.9
Avg goals for
FSV Mainz 051.3
FC St. Pauli1.8
Avg goals against
FSV Mainz 051.6
FC St. Pauli5
Clean sheets
FSV Mainz 054
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetUK guide price · Model 70% vs implied 38% · edge +31.8 pts
2.62
Bet HERE @ 2.62
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.7
Bet HERE @ 2.7
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
10FSV Mainz 054034101014-9
18FC St. Pauli26346820-31

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.

Football Stats, Match Data & Daily Betting Analysis

Our football stats hub is built for punters who want to go deeper than basic predictions. Every day, BettingTips4You brings together data-led match analysis for fixtures across the biggest leagues and competitions, helping readers compare teams, spot trends and understand the numbers behind every game before making a betting decision.

Deep Match Data For Every Game

The aim of this page is simple: to give you a clear, structured view of the day’s football through meaningful data. Instead of relying only on form tables or headline odds, our stats centre breaks each match down across several important areas, including recent results, attacking output, defensive strength, goals trends, head-to-head records, home and away performance, market movement and key betting angles.

For every game available, you can explore detailed match data designed to support smarter analysis. This includes how often teams score and concede, whether they tend to start quickly or finish strongly, how reliable they are at home or away, and which betting markets appear most aligned with the numbers.

Key Betting Markets Covered

These insights can be especially useful when assessing popular football betting markets such as Match Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under Goals, Double Chance, Draw No Bet and Bet Builder selections.

Football betting is rarely about one statistic in isolation. A team may look strong in the league table but struggle away from home. Another side may be inconsistent overall but create high shot volume, win corners regularly or score in most home fixtures. Our match stats help bring those details into focus, allowing you to see the wider picture before looking at prices.

Data That Supports Our Predictions

The daily stats hub also supports our broader football predictions coverage. Where our match previews provide expert opinion and editorial betting insight, this page gives you the deeper numbers behind the fixtures.

That combination of data and analysis helps readers understand not just what the suggested bet is, but why it may make sense based on the available evidence.

Leagues And Competitions Analysed

We cover a wide range of football competitions, from the Premier League, Championship and major European leagues to international fixtures, cup matches and selected global leagues. On busy football days, this page acts as a central match data dashboard, giving you a fast route into the key fixtures and the strongest statistical angles.

Practical Stats, Not A Wall Of Numbers

Our approach is practical rather than overwhelming. Football data can quickly become a wall of numbers, so we focus on stats that are useful for betting analysis: goal averages, recent trends, scoring patterns, defensive records, fixture context and market relevance.

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