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Colombia crestColombia
v
Peru crestPeru

Friendlies | Wed 07 Oct, 00:45

Colombia v Peru Stats

Data last updated: Tue 06 Oct 2026, 07:25 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Colombia and Peru meet in a friendly where both sides seek to sharpen their attacking cohesion ahead of competitive fixtures. Colombia's recent form shows a balanced attack and defense, while Peru has struggled defensively but remains potent going forward. Both teams have shown tendencies to concede and score, setting up a contest likely to feature goals at both ends. Tactical setups emphasize midfield creativity with key players expected to influence the final outcome, making this an open and engaging encounter with offensive intent from both sides.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Colombia scores and concedes regularly with 60% BTTS rate this season
  • Peru concedes over 2 goals per game on average, with 80% BTTS rate
  • Both teams have attacking midfielders with strong goal threat and shot volume
  • Recent matches show a trend toward open games with goals from both sides

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score at 76% chance, reflecting strong attacking output and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides. Colombia's 60% BTTS rate and Peru's 80% rate indicate a high likelihood of goals at both ends. Key attackers like J. Córdoba contribute significantly to shot volume and goal threat, supporting the expectation of mutual scoring. The offer positive value given the implied chance is only 40%, making this a compelling selection based on balanced offensive and defensive profiles.

Model BTTS Chance76%
Strong positive
Colombia BTTS Rate60%
Positive
Peru BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Key Player Goal ThreatJ. Vélez and J. Córdoba high shots and SOT
Strong positive
Implied Odds Chance55% model chance vs 40% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with both Colombia and Peru pushing forward to test each other's defenses. Colombia's balanced recent form and Peru's attacking intent suggest goals at both ends, making Both Teams to Score a logical choice. The attacking roles of key players and historical BTTS rates reinforce this tactical and statistical outlook.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“Both teams possess creative midfielders and attackers who consistently generate scoring opportunities, while defensive inconsistencies on both sides increase the likelihood of goals at both ends in this friendly.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Colombia scores and concedes regularly with 60% BTTS rate this season

Peru concedes over 2 goals per game on average, with 80% BTTS rate

Both teams have attacking midfielders with strong goal threat and shot volume

Recent matches show a trend toward open games with goals from both sides

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last 10 meetings between Colombia and Peru, the average goals per game is 2, indicating moderate scoring.
  • Recent trends in friendlies and similar fixtures show a tendency towards open play and over 2.5 goals in 40-60% of matches, driven by attacking intent and defensive experimentation.
  • This trend suggests a tempo conducive to goals, aligning with the BTTS forecast.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Colombia1.4
Avg goals scored
Peru1
Colombia1.2
Avg goals conceded
Peru2.2
Colombia60%
BTTS rate
Peru80%
Colombia40%
Over 2.5 goals
Peru60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 55% vs implied 40% · edge +15 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 49%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 67%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 31%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Both Colombia and Peru have shown a propensity for matches featuring goals from both sides, with BTTS rates of 60% and 80% respectively. Colombia averages 1.4 goals scored and concedes 1.2, while Peru scores 1 but concedes 2.2 per game, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities that invite goals. This trend aligns with an expectation of open play and mutual scoring.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Friendlies hubcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 55% vs implied 40% · edge +15 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Load more odds for this section
Peru Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 35%
5
Check odds @ 5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 49%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Peru to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
Colombia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Colombia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
DrawBetUK guide price · model 24%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
The 55% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 40% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Colombia show a 60% BTTS rate and Peru show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Colombia

LDWWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 3L
03 Oct 2026H Paraguay0-1
27 Sep 2026A Mexico1-1
08 Jun 2026H Jordan2-0
02 Jun 2026H Costa Rica3-1
29 Mar 2026H France1-3

Peru

LDLLW
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 4L
03 Oct 2026A Canada0-2
30 Sep 2026A Mexico1-1
26 Sep 2026A USA1-4
09 Jun 2026H Spain1-3
06 Jun 2026A Haiti2-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 86% vs implied 90% · edge -4.1 pts
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Load more odds for this section
Peru Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 35%
5
Check odds @ 5
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 47%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Peru to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
Colombia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Colombia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
DrawBetUK guide price · model 24%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Recent form data shows Colombia earning 7 points with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, reflecting balanced performances. Peru has collected 4 points, scoring 1 goal per game but conceding 2.2, indicating defensive struggles. Both teams' recent matches frequently feature goals at both ends, reinforcing the BTTS selection as aligned with current momentum and tactical openness.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Colombia Over 2.5
60%Peru Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
In the last 10 meetings between Colombia and Peru, the average goals per game is 2, indicating moderate scoring. Recent trends in friendlies and similar fixtures show a tendency towards open play and over 2.5 goals in 40-60% of matches, driven by attacking intent and defensive experimentation. This trend suggests a tempo conducive to goals, aligning with the BTTS forecast.

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