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Argentina crestArgentina
v
Benin crestBenin

Friendlies | Wed 07 Oct, 00:00

Argentina v Benin Stats

Data last updated: Tue 06 Oct 2026, 07:25 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Argentina hosts Benin in a friendly marked by Lionel Messi's farewell appearance, adding emotional weight to a fixture where Argentina's recent form is dominant. Having won 16 of their last 17 matches and scored 11 unanswered goals in their last two friendlies, Argentina enter as overwhelming favorites. Benin, meanwhile, bring a contrasting profile with a seven-match scoring streak but defensive vulnerabilities exposed against stronger opponents. This clash sets up a high-scoring encounter where Argentina's attacking prowess meets Benin's persistent goal threat, promising an engaging contest despite the disparity in team strength.

BT4Y best bet

Argentina to Win & Both Teams to Score

  • Argentina have won 16 of their last 17 matches, showing dominant form.
  • Benin have scored in seven consecutive matches, indicating consistent attacking threat.
  • Argentina scored 11 goals without reply in their last two friendlies.
  • Benin's defense has conceded heavily against stronger teams, suggesting vulnerability.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Argentina to win with both teams scoring due to Argentina's overwhelming recent winning and scoring record combined with Benin's consistent ability to find the net in seven consecutive matches. Argentina's attack, led by prolific scorers, creates a strong likelihood of multiple goals, while Benin's scoring streak supports the chance of an away goal despite defensive weaknesses. The current offer a slight , reflecting a balanced view of Argentina's control and Benin's goal threat. No significant data limitations affect this assessment.

Argentina's recent winning form16 wins in last 17 matches
Strong positive
Benin's scoring streak7 consecutive matches with goals
Positive
Argentina's defensive record8 clean sheets in last 9 friendlies
Neutral
Value edge38.5% model chance
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Argentina's relentless attacking form and Benin's consistent scoring streak make the combined bet of Argentina to win and both teams to score a compelling choice. The hosts' offensive firepower, bolstered by Messi's return, is likely to overwhelm Benin, but the visitors' ability to find the net in recent matches adds a credible dimension to this market.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · match outcome and goal-scoring

“Argentina's attacking control combined with Benin's persistent goal-scoring streak creates a fascinating dynamic that supports a high-scoring home win with both sides on the scoresheet.”

Key Data Signals

Argentina to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

Argentina have won 16 of their last 17 matches, showing dominant form.

Benin have scored in seven consecutive matches, indicating consistent attacking threat.

Argentina scored 11 goals without reply in their last two friendlies.

Benin's defense has conceded heavily against stronger teams, suggesting vulnerability.

What To Watch In The Data

Argentina to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last five matches, Argentina have an 80% rate of games exceeding 2.5 goals, reflecting their attacking tempo and finishing quality.
  • Benin's lower 25% rate suggests less frequent high-scoring games, but their scoring streak indicates potential for goals, supporting an expectation of multiple goals in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Argentina4.2
Avg goals scored
Benin1
Argentina0
Avg goals conceded
Benin1.5
Argentina0%
BTTS rate
Benin50%
Argentina80%
Over 2.5 goals
Benin25%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Argentina's recent matches have featured prolific scoring, netting 11 goals in their last two games without reply, while Benin have scored in seven consecutive matches. This combination suggests a high probability of both teams scoring, supported by Benin's ability to breach defenses despite their own defensive frailties.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickArgentina to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 99% · edge -25 pts
1.01
Check odds @ 1.01
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BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 44%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 35%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
The model rates Argentina to Win & Both Teams to Score at 38.5% on the latest available numbers. Argentina need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Argentina on 15 and Benin on 7. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Argentina

WWWWW
Last 55W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 0D 0L
04 Oct 2026H Burkina Faso7-0
01 Oct 2026H Bolivia4-0
10 Jun 2026H Iceland3-0
07 Jun 2026H Honduras2-0
01 Apr 2026H Zambia5-0

Benin

LDWW
Last 52W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 1L
09 Jun 2026A Togo1-5
05 Jun 2026H Niger1-1
31 Mar 2026A Guinea1-0
27 Mar 2026H Liberia1-0
Market aligned with main pickArgentina to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 99% · edge -25 pts
1.01
Check odds @ 1.01
Argentina's recent form is exceptional, with 15 points from their last five matches and an 80% rate of games with over 2.5 goals. Benin, with 7 points and a 50% both teams to score rate in recent matches, show resilience in attack but less defensive solidity, supporting the combined bet's rationale.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Argentina Over 2.5
25%Benin Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, Argentina have an 80% rate of games exceeding 2.5 goals, reflecting their attacking tempo and finishing quality. Benin's lower 25% rate suggests less frequent high-scoring games, but their scoring streak indicates potential for goals, supporting an expectation of multiple goals in this fixture.

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