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KuPS Akatemia crestKuPS Akatemia
v
Inter Turku II crestInter Turku II

Ykkönen | Wed 07 Oct, 17:00

KuPS Akatemia v Inter Turku II Stats

Data last updated: Tue 06 Oct 2026, 07:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

KuPS Akatemia face Inter Turku II in a Ykkönen clash where both sides have shown contrasting recent form and attacking profiles. KuPS Akatemia have struggled defensively but maintain a strong home resilience and a 100% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, indicating open games with scoring chances. Inter Turku II, positioned higher in the table, have a more balanced defensive record but less attacking firepower. The fixture carries importance as KuPS Akatemia seek to avoid relegation pressure while Inter Turku II aim to consolidate their mid-table position, setting up a tactical battle with potential for goals and tight moments.

BT4Y best bet

KuPS Akatemia or Draw

  • KuPS Akatemia have a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.
  • Inter Turku II have a lower BTTS rate at 40%, indicating less frequent mutual scoring.
  • KuPS Akatemia or Draw has a of 76.9%, showing strong statistical backing.
  • Recent form shows KuPS Akatemia scoring 2.2 goals per game but conceding 2.8, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Head-to-head matches average 4.5 goals, suggesting open and high-scoring encounters.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors KuPS Akatemia or Draw with a 76.9% chance, reflecting their home advantage and recent attacking output despite defensive frailties. The high average goals in head-to-head and KuPS Akatemia's consistent over 2.5 goals matches support an open game where KuPS Akatemia can avoid defeat. The price offers positive value given the implied chance is 61.7%, making this a statistically sound pick. Data quality is solid with no significant limitations.

Model chance48.7% model chance vs 40% implied (+8.7 pts)
Strong positive
Implied chance vs model48.7% model chance vs 40% implied (+8.7 pts)
Strong positive
Recent goals scored/conceded2.2 scored, 2.8 conceded by KuPS Akatemia
Positive
Head-to-head average goals4.5 goals per match
Positive
BTTS ratesKuPS 100%, Inter 40%
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

KuPS Akatemia or Draw is a sensible selection given their home resilience and attacking tendencies, which align with their need to secure points in a relegation-threatened position. Inter Turku II's more conservative scoring profile and mid-table standing suggest they may struggle to dominate, supporting the likelihood of KuPS Akatemia avoiding defeat.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“KuPS Akatemia's offensive approach combined with their home advantage makes them tough to beat, especially against an Inter Turku II side that has shown less consistency in attack. This match should favor the home side securing at least a draw.”

Key Data Signals

KuPS Akatemia or Draw evidence

KuPS Akatemia have a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.

Inter Turku II have a lower BTTS rate at 40%, indicating less frequent mutual scoring.

KuPS Akatemia or Draw has a of 76.9%, showing strong statistical backing.

Recent form shows KuPS Akatemia scoring 2.2 goals per game but conceding 2.8, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.

What To Watch In The Data

KuPS Akatemia or Draw notes

  • The last four head-to-head matches averaged 4.5 goals, underscoring a trend of high-scoring games between these teams.
  • KuPS Akatemia's 100% Over 2.5 rate in recent matches further supports expectations of an open, attacking game with multiple goals, driven by tempo and defensive gaps on both sides.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

KuPS Akatemia2.2
Avg goals scored
Inter Turku II1.2
KuPS Akatemia2.8
Avg goals conceded
Inter Turku II1.6
KuPS Akatemia100%
BTTS rate
Inter Turku II40%
KuPS Akatemia100%
Over 2.5 goals
Inter Turku II60%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 88% vs implied 94% · edge -5.5 pts
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 28%
4
Check odds @ 4
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Recent form shows KuPS Akatemia have a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate and BTTS rate, suggesting open matches with goals at both ends. Inter Turku II's lower BTTS rate of 40% indicates less frequent mutual scoring, but the head-to-head average of 4.5 goals per game supports expectations of a high-scoring encounter with goals likely from both sides.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionKuPS Akatemia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 51% · edge +8.1 pts
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
KuPS Akatemia to WinBetUK guide price · model 49%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
4
Check odds @ 4
Inter Turku II Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Inter Turku II to WinBetMGM guide price · model 35%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
The 48.7% for KuPS Akatemia or Draw sits against roughly 40% implied by the current price (+8.7 pts).
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

KuPS Akatemia

LLLWD
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 6L
18 Sep 2026A KPV-j2-3
13 Sep 2026A TPV2-4
29 Aug 2026H SalPa1-3
21 Aug 2026A KPV-j4-2
16 Aug 2026H PKKU2-2

Inter Turku II

WLLLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
20 Sep 2026H TPV3-0
12 Sep 2026A VJS1-2
29 Aug 2026A FC jazz0-2
22 Aug 2026H TPV0-1
16 Aug 2026H KPV-j2-3
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 77% vs implied 62% · edge +15 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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KuPS Akatemia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
KuPS Akatemia to WinBetUK guide price · model 49%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
4
Check odds @ 4
Inter Turku II Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Inter Turku II to WinBetMGM guide price · model 35%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
KuPS Akatemia have scored an average of 2.2 goals per game recently but concede 2.8, indicating matches with fluctuating momentum and defensive lapses. Inter Turku II's more modest scoring and conceding rates reflect a steadier but less potent form. This contrast supports KuPS Akatemia's ability to avoid defeat at home through offensive pressure despite defensive risks.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%KuPS Akatemia Over 2.5
60%Inter Turku II Over 2.5
4.5H2H avg goals
The last four head-to-head matches averaged 4.5 goals, underscoring a trend of high-scoring games between these teams. KuPS Akatemia's 100% Over 2.5 rate in recent matches further supports expectations of an open, attacking game with multiple goals, driven by tempo and defensive gaps on both sides.

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