Football Stats Hub

Excelsior crestExcelsior
v
PSV Eindhoven crestPSV Eindhoven

Eredivisie | Sat 15 Aug, 19:00

Excelsior v PSV Eindhoven Stats

Data last updated: Mon 07 Sep 2026, 12:50 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Excelsior face PSV Eindhoven in Eredivisie on Sat 15 Aug, 19:00. Excelsior come in with 3 recent points and 4 goals per match, while PSV Eindhoven have 1 points and 2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Excelsior to Win

  • At 5.5, Excelsior to Win implies roughly 18%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 33%.
  • Excelsior have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 1 for PSV Eindhoven.
  • Excelsior have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Excelsior to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Excelsior sit 5 in the table, while PSV Eindhoven sit 2, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 33% for Excelsior to Win sits against roughly 18% implied by the current price. Excelsior have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 1 for PSV Eindhoven.

Model chance vs price33% model chance against roughly 18% implied
Strong positive
Excelsior have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points.Visible data support
Positive
Excelsior have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Excelsior Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Excelsior have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 1 for PSV Eindhoven. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Excelsior to Win evidence

Excelsior have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 1 for PSV Eindhoven.

Excelsior have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Excelsior Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Excelsior sit 5 in the table, while PSV Eindhoven sit 2, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Excelsior to Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Excelsior8
    Avg corners for
    PSV Eindhoven9
    Excelsior13
    Avg total corners
    PSV Eindhoven9
    Excelsior0
    Avg yellow cards
    PSV Eindhoven1
    Excelsior18
    Avg shots
    PSV Eindhoven21
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 62% · edge +7.3 pts
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    more Eredivisie analysiscorners trends hubplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Excelsior4
    Avg goals scored
    PSV Eindhoven2
    Excelsior0
    Avg goals conceded
    PSV Eindhoven2
    Excelsior0%
    BTTS rate
    PSV Eindhoven100%
    Excelsior100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    PSV Eindhoven100%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 74% · edge +4.5 pts
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
    1.1
    Check odds @ 1.1
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 26%
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    Over 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 100% for Excelsior and 100% for PSV Eindhoven, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickExcelsior to WinBetfred guide price · Model 33% vs implied 18% · edge +15 pts
    5.5
    Check odds @ 5.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Excelsior Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 47%
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Excelsior to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Excelsior

    W
    Last 51W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 0L
    07 Aug 2026A Cambuur4-0

    PSV Eindhoven

    D
    Last 50W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 1D 0L
    08 Aug 2026H Fortuna Sittard2-2
    Market aligned with main pickExcelsior to WinBetfred guide price · Model 33% vs implied 18% · edge +15 pts
    5.5
    Check odds @ 5.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 59%
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    Excelsior Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 47%
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Excelsior wins
    0Draws
    10PSV Eindhoven wins
    10 Jan 2026PSV Eindhoven v Excelsior5-1
    27 Sep 2025Excelsior v PSV Eindhoven1-2
    14 Jan 2025PSV Eindhoven v Excelsior5-4
    02 Apr 2024Excelsior v PSV Eindhoven0-2
    13 Jan 2024PSV Eindhoven v Excelsior3-1
    08 Apr 2023PSV Eindhoven v Excelsior4-0
    Market aligned with main pickExcelsior to WinBetfred guide price · Model 33% vs implied 18% · edge +15 pts
    5.5
    Check odds @ 5.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Excelsior to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Eredivisie

    Excelsior4
    Played
    PSV Eindhoven5
    Excelsior2.5
    Avg goals for
    PSV Eindhoven3.6
    Excelsior0.8
    Avg goals against
    PSV Eindhoven1.2
    Excelsior2
    Clean sheets
    PSV Eindhoven0
    Market aligned with main pickExcelsior to WinBetfred guide price · Model 33% vs implied 18% · edge +15 pts
    5.5
    Check odds @ 5.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Excelsior Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 47%
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    Season data supports Excelsior to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    2PSV Eindhoven13541012
    5Excelsior943017
    Excelsior sit in position 5, while PSV Eindhoven sit in position 2, so table pressure belongs in the Excelsior to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Excelsior Over 2.5
    100%PSV Eindhoven Over 2.5
    4.7H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Excelsior sit at 100% and PSV Eindhoven sit at 100% with the H2H average at 4.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Football predictions hub

    Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

    More stats pages

    NEC Nijmegen v ExcelsiorEredivisie · Tue 08 Sep 17:45

    Competition and hubs

    Eredivisie hubmore Eredivisie analysiscorners trends hubplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hub

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    View match centre