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Excelsior crestExcelsior
v
PSV Eindhoven crestPSV Eindhoven

Eredivisie | Sat 15 Aug, 19:00

Excelsior v PSV Eindhoven Stats

Data last updated: Tue 29 Sep 2026, 10:48 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Excelsior face PSV Eindhoven in Eredivisie on Sat 15 Aug, 19:00. Excelsior come in with 3 recent points and 4 goals per match, while PSV Eindhoven have 1 points and 2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • At 1.62, Over 9.5 Corners implies roughly 62%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 69%.
  • PSV Eindhoven lead the corner sample at 9 per match, with Excelsior lower at 8.
  • Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots: Excelsior average 18 and PSV Eindhoven average 21.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 69% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 62% implied by the current price. PSV Eindhoven lead the corner sample at 9 per match, with Excelsior lower at 8.

Model chance vs price69% model chance against roughly 62% implied
Positive
PSV Eindhoven lead the corner sample at 9 per match.Visible data support
Positive
Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 9.5 Corners is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers PSV Eindhoven lead the corner sample at 9 per match, with Excelsior lower at 8. Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

PSV Eindhoven lead the corner sample at 9 per match, with Excelsior lower at 8.

Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots: Excelsior average 18 and PSV Eindhoven average 21.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • Use corner averages alongside shot pressure to separate territory from real threat.
  • Check whether wide attacks are producing repeat deliveries rather than harmless possession.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Excelsior4
Avg goals scored
PSV Eindhoven2
Excelsior0
Avg goals conceded
PSV Eindhoven2
Excelsior0%
BTTS rate
PSV Eindhoven100%
Excelsior100%
Over 2.5 goals
PSV Eindhoven100%
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 74% · edge +4.5 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 26%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 100% for Excelsior and 100% for PSV Eindhoven, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

more Eredivisie analysiscorners trends hubplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 74% · edge +4.5 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Excelsior Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Excelsior to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
PSV Eindhoven Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
PSV Eindhoven to WinBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 Goals is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Excelsior

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
07 Aug 2026A Cambuur4-0

PSV Eindhoven

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
08 Aug 2026H Fortuna Sittard2-2
Best odds for this sectionExcelsior Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 45% vs implied 32% · edge +12.7 pts
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Excelsior to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
PSV Eindhoven Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
PSV Eindhoven to WinBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Excelsior Over 2.5
100%PSV Eindhoven Over 2.5
4.7H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Excelsior sit at 100% and PSV Eindhoven sit at 100% with the H2H average at 4.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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