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Croatia crestCroatia
v
Belgium crestBelgium

Friendlies | Tue 02 Jun, 17:00

Croatia v Belgium Stats

Data last updated: Thu 25 Jun 2026, 00:55 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Croatia face Belgium in Friendlies on Tue 02 Jun, 17:00. Rudi Garcia's setup produced a consistent attacking volume, translating into more than three goals per fixture during the group sector. Croatia conceded three to Brazil while finding the net themselves, and Belgium have registered four goals per match on average during their recent streak.

BT4Y best bet

Line because single deflections, game-state changes, or late tactical substitutions can alter the final score configuration instantly

  • At 13/20, Both Teams To Score implies roughly 61%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 76%.
  • The Both Teams To Score market requires both teams to score at least one goal during standard time.
  • Croatia show a 100% BTTS rate and Belgium show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Croatia average 1.5 goals scored and Belgium average 3, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 76% for Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 61% implied by the current price. Croatia show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Belgium show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. The Both Teams To Score market requires both teams to score at least one goal during standard time.

Model chance vs price76% model chance against roughly 61% implied
Strong positive
Croatia show a 100% BTTS rate and Belgium show a.Visible data support
Positive
Croatia average 1.5 goals scored and Belgium average 3, so.Visible data support
Positive
The Both Teams To Score market requires both teams.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the Both Teams To Score market requires both teams to score at least one goal during standard time. Croatia show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Belgium show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

The Both Teams To Score market requires both teams to score at least one goal during standard time.

Croatia show a 100% BTTS rate and Belgium show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Croatia average 1.5 goals scored and Belgium average 3, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Croatia1.5
Avg goals scored
Belgium3
Croatia2
Avg goals conceded
Belgium1.5
Croatia100%
BTTS rate
Belgium100%
Croatia100%
Over 2.5 goals
Belgium50%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 60% · edge +16.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
3
Check odds @ 3
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 44%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 60% · edge +16.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Belgium to WinBetfred guide price · model 59%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Belgium Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Croatia Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Croatia to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Croatia2
Avg corners for
Belgium4
Croatia2
Avg total corners
Belgium8.5
Croatia0
Avg yellow cards
Belgium1.5
Croatia5
Avg shots
Belgium13
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 29% vs implied 50% · edge -21 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Croatia

LW
Last 51W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 1L
01 Apr 2026A Brazil1-3
26 Mar 2026A Colombia2-1

Belgium

DW
Last 51W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 0L
01 Apr 2026A Mexico1-1
28 Mar 2026A USA5-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 84% vs implied 74% · edge +10 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Load more odds for this section
Belgium to WinBetfred guide price · model 59%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Belgium Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Croatia Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Croatia to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Croatia wins
1Draws
1Belgium wins
01 Dec 2022Croatia v Belgium0-0
06 Jun 2021Belgium v Croatia1-0
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 60% · edge +16.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Belgium to WinBetfred guide price · model 59%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Croatia to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies

Croatia4
Played
Belgium4
Croatia1.3
Avg goals for
Belgium3.3
Croatia1.8
Avg goals against
Belgium0.8
Croatia0
Clean sheets
Belgium2
Best odds for this sectionBelgium to WinBetfred guide price · Model 59% vs implied 41% · edge +18.3 pts
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Load more odds for this section
Belgium Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Croatia Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Croatia to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Season data supports Belgium to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Croatia Over 2.5
50%Belgium Over 2.5
0.5H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Croatia sit at 100% and Belgium sit at 50% with the H2H average at 0.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Croatia v Belgium prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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