Croatia

Belgium

Friendlies | Tue 02 Jun, 17:00

Croatia v Belgium Stats

Data last updated: Mon 14 Sep 2026, 17:18 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Croatia face Belgium in Friendlies on Tue 02 Jun, 17:00. Rudi Garcia's setup produced a consistent attacking volume, translating into more than three goals per fixture during the group sector. Croatia conceded three to Brazil while finding the net themselves, and Belgium have registered four goals per match on average during their recent streak.

BT4Y best bet

Line because single deflections, game-state changes, or late tactical substitutions can alter the final score configuration instantly

At 13/20, Line because single deflections, game-state changes, or late tactical substitutions can alter the final score configuration instantly implies roughly 61%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 76%.
The Both Teams To Score market requires both teams to score at least one goal during standard time.
Croatia show a 100% BTTS rate and Belgium show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Croatia average 1.5 goals scored and Belgium average 3, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 76% for Line because single deflections, game-state changes, or late tactical substitutions can alter the final score configuration instantly sits against roughly 61% implied by the current price. Croatia show a 100% BTTS rate and Belgium show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. The Both Teams To Score market requires both teams to score at least one goal during standard time.

Model chance vs price76% model chance against roughly 61% implied

Strong positive

Croatia show a 100% BTTS rate and Belgium show a.Visible data support

Positive

Croatia average 1.5 goals scored and Belgium average 3, so.Visible data support

Positive

The Both Teams To Score market requires both teams.Article support

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the Both Teams To Score market requires both teams to score at least one goal during standard time. Croatia show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Belgium show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Line because single deflections, game-state changes, or late tactical substitutions can alter the final score configuration instantly evidence

The Both Teams To Score market requires both teams to score at least one goal during standard time.

Croatia show a 100% BTTS rate and Belgium show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Croatia average 1.5 goals scored and Belgium average 3, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Line because single deflections, game-state changes, or late tactical substitutions can alter the final score configuration instantly notes

Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Croatia1.5

Avg goals scored

Belgium3

Croatia2

Avg goals conceded

Belgium1.5

Croatia100%

BTTS rate

Belgium100%

Croatia100%

Over 2.5 goals

Belgium50%

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%

1.25

Check odds @ 1.25

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 71%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%

Check odds @ 3

BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 29%

Check odds @ 2

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 71%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

Belgium Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 68%

1.82

Check odds @ 1.82

Belgium to WinBetfred guide price · model 56%

2.45

Check odds @ 2.45

Croatia Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%

1.98

Check odds @ 1.98

DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%

3.5

Check odds @ 3.5

Croatia to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%

2.5

Check odds @ 2.5

BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Croatia2

Avg corners for

Belgium-

Croatia2

Avg total corners

Belgium-

Croatia0

Avg yellow cards

Belgium-

Croatia5

Avg shots

Belgium-

Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 29% vs implied 50% · edge -21 pts

Check odds @ 2

Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Croatia

Last 51W 0D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 0D 1L

01 Apr 2026A Brazil1-3

26 Mar 2026A Colombia2-1

Belgium

Last 51W 1D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 1D 0L

01 Apr 2026A Mexico1-1

28 Mar 2026A USA5-2

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 84% vs implied 74% · edge +10 pts

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

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Belgium Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 68%

1.82

Check odds @ 1.82

Belgium to WinBetfred guide price · model 56%

2.45

Check odds @ 2.45

Croatia Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%

1.98

Check odds @ 1.98

DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%

3.5

Check odds @ 3.5

Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 51%

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

Croatia to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%

2.5

Check odds @ 2.5

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Croatia wins

0Draws

0Belgium wins

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 71%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

Belgium to WinBetfred guide price · model 56%

2.45

Check odds @ 2.45

DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%

3.5

Check odds @ 3.5

Croatia to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%

2.5

Check odds @ 2.5

There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for BTTS Yes, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies

Croatia0

Played

Belgium4

Croatia-

Avg goals for

Belgium3.3

Croatia-

Avg goals against

Belgium0.8

Croatia-

Clean sheets

Belgium2

Best odds for this sectionBelgium Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 55% · edge +12.7 pts

1.82

Check odds @ 1.82

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Belgium to WinBetfred guide price · model 56%

2.45

Check odds @ 2.45

Croatia Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%

1.98

Check odds @ 1.98

Croatia to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%

2.5

Check odds @ 2.5

Season data supports Belgium Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Croatia Over 2.5

50%Belgium Over 2.5

-H2H avg goals

The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Croatia sit at 100% and Belgium sit at 50%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Croatia v Belgium Stats

Match Report

Line because single deflections, game-state changes, or late tactical substitutions can alter the final score configuration instantly

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Croatia

Belgium

Next step

Your privacy choices

Football Stats Hub

Croatia v Belgium Stats

Match Report

Line because single deflections, game-state changes, or late tactical substitutions can alter the final score configuration instantly

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Croatia

Belgium

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Prediction context

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