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Colombia crestColombia
v
Costa Rica crestCosta Rica

Friendlies | Tue 02 Jun, 00:00

Colombia v Costa Rica Stats

Data last updated: Fri 21 Aug 2026, 17:07 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Colombia face Costa Rica in Friendlies on Tue 02 Jun, 00:00. Costa Rica's 60% failure to score away from home points heavily toward a lower-scoring or one-sided fixture pattern. A campaign featuring seven victories, seven draws and only four defeats secured a third-place finish in CONMEBOL qualifying and ensured their return to the global stage.

BT4Y best bet

) The Correct Score market requires specifying the exact final scoreline of the match at the conclusion of regular time

  • At 5/1, ) The Correct Score market requires specifying the exact final scoreline of the match at the conclusion of regular time implies roughly 17%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 32%.
  • Costa Rica have failed to score in three of their last five away assignments and will likely set up defensively in Bogotá to avoid.
  • Costa Rica have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points from the sample compared with 0 for Colombia.
  • Colombia have the cleaner defensive sample at 2.5 conceded per match, which helps the ) The Correct Score market requires specifying the exact final scoreline of the match at the conclusion of regular time.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 32% for ) The Correct Score market requires specifying the exact final scoreline of the match at the conclusion of regular time sits against roughly 17% implied by the current price. Costa Rica have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points from the sample compared with 0 for Colombia. Costa Rica have failed to score in three of their last five away assignments and will likely set up defensively in Bogotá to avoid.

Model chance vs price32% model chance against roughly 17% implied
Strong positive
Costa Rica have the stronger recent points return, taking 1.Visible data support
Positive
Colombia have the cleaner defensive sample at 2.5 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Costa Rica have failed to score in three of.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Colombia Win is the preferred angle because costa Rica have failed to score in three of their last five away assignments and will likely set up defensively in Bogotá to avoid another heavy defeat. Costa Rica have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points from the sample compared with 0 for Colombia. Losing to elite European opposition is hardly a crisis, but timing matters.

Main risk

Losing to elite European opposition is hardly a crisis, but timing matters.

Key Data Signals

) The Correct Score market requires specifying the exact final scoreline of the match at the conclusion of regular time evidence

Costa Rica have failed to score in three of their last five away assignments and will likely set.

Costa Rica have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points from the sample compared with 0 for Colombia.

Colombia have the cleaner defensive sample at 2.5 conceded per match, which helps the Colombia Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

) The Correct Score market requires specifying the exact final scoreline of the match at the conclusion of regular time notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Colombia1
    Avg goals scored
    Costa Rica1
    Colombia2.5
    Avg goals conceded
    Costa Rica3.5
    Colombia100%
    BTTS rate
    Costa Rica50%
    Colombia100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Costa Rica100%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 67% · edge +11.3 pts
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
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    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 55%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 26%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickColombia to WinBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 89% · edge -45.5 pts
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
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    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 55%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 53%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Colombia to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Colombia4.5
    Avg corners for
    Costa Rica-
    Colombia8
    Avg total corners
    Costa Rica-
    Colombia0.5
    Avg yellow cards
    Costa Rica-
    Colombia8
    Avg shots
    Costa Rica-
    Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 53% vs implied 51% · edge +1.7 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Colombia

    LL
    Last 50W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 2L
    29 Mar 2026H France1-3
    26 Mar 2026H Croatia1-2

    Costa Rica

    LD
    Last 50W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 1D 1L
    31 Mar 2026H Iran0-5
    27 Mar 2026A Jordan2-2
    Market aligned with main pickColombia to WinBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 89% · edge -45.5 pts
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
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    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 74%
    1.01
    Check odds @ 1.01
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    2Colombia wins
    0Draws
    1Costa Rica wins
    29 Jun 2024Colombia v Costa Rica3-0
    17 Oct 2018Colombia v Costa Rica3-1
    12 Jun 2016Colombia v Costa Rica2-3
    Market aligned with main pickColombia to WinBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 89% · edge -45.5 pts
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
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    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 55%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Colombia to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Friendlies

    Colombia4
    Played
    Costa Rica4
    Colombia1.8
    Avg goals for
    Costa Rica0.8
    Colombia1.5
    Avg goals against
    Costa Rica3.3
    Colombia1
    Clean sheets
    Costa Rica0
    Market aligned with main pickColombia to WinBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 89% · edge -45.5 pts
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Season data supports Colombia to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Colombia Over 2.5
    100%Costa Rica Over 2.5
    4H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Colombia sit at 100% and Costa Rica sit at 100% with the H2H average at 4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.