Bolton
Stockport CountyLeague One | Sun 24 May, 13:00
Bolton v Stockport County Stats
Data last updated: Fri 10 Jul 2026, 15:35 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Bolton face Stockport County in League One on Sun 24 May, 13:00. They scored 70 league goals during the regular campaign and averaged 1.97 goals per home match across all competitions, but there were moments when games became far too open.
Of a home win, draw, or away win inside 90 minutes
- At 90, Bolton Win implies roughly 1%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
- The decisive moment in the semi-final came from Xavier Simons, whose late strike away at Bradford secured progression and delivered his first goal.
- Stockport County have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 8 for Bolton.
- Stockport County have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Bolton Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
- Bolton sit 5 in the table, while Stockport County sit 3, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The 27% for Bolton Win sits against roughly 1% implied by the current price. Stockport County have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 8 for Bolton. The decisive moment in the semi-final came from Xavier Simons, whose late strike away at Bradford secured progression and delivered his first goal.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Bolton Win is the preferred angle because the decisive moment in the semi-final came from Xavier Simons, whose late strike away at Bradford secured progression and delivered his first goal for the club at the perfect possible. Stockport County have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 8 for Bolton. Football managers love calling players “warriors”, but Wootton genuinely seems to be doing the jobs of about three different people at once.
Football managers love calling players “warriors”, but Wootton genuinely seems to be doing the jobs of about three different people at once.
Key Data Signals
Bolton Win evidence
The decisive moment in the semi-final came from Xavier Simons, whose late strike away at Bradford secured progression.
Stockport County have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 8 for Bolton.
Stockport County have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Bolton Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Bolton sit 5 in the table, while Stockport County sit 3, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
What To Watch In The Data
Bolton Win notes
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Bolton
Stockport County
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Useful next reads
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Stockport County | 77 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 13 |
| 5 | Bolton | 75 | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 18 |
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
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Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Season team stats
League One
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Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.
