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Alaves crestAlaves
v
Getafe crestGetafe

La Liga | Sat 15 Aug, 18:30

Alaves v Getafe Stats

Data last updated: Mon 28 Sep 2026, 05:15 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Alaves face Getafe in La Liga on Sat 15 Aug, 18:30. This fixture is expected to be a tight, defensive contest with Getafe’s disciplined central organisation limiting chances. Alaves’ home point struggles and Getafe’s unbeaten recent meetings suggest a tight contest.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Both Teams To Score NO

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 63%, above the 50% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 6/10, Both Teams To Score NO implies roughly 63%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 50%.
  • Selection: Both Teams To Score NO.
Price warning

Both Teams To Score NO is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 63% while the model sits nearer 50% (-12.5 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Over 2.5 Goals shows a +13.6 pts edge at 3.2.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 50% for Both Teams To Score NO sits against roughly 63% implied by the current price. Selection: Both Teams To Score NO.

Model chance vs price50% model chance against roughly 63% implied
Negative
Selection: Both Teams To Score NO.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge -12.5 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score NO. Risk Factor: Toni Martinez and Lucas Boye retain established central chemistry for Alaves, while Getafe conceded in their recent 1-1 pre-season draw against Tottenham Hotspur.

Main risk

Risk Factor: Toni Martinez and Lucas Boye retain established central chemistry for Alaves, while Getafe conceded in their recent 1-1 pre-season draw against Tottenham Hotspur.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score NO evidence

Selection: Both Teams To Score NO.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score NO notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Alaves-
Avg goals scored
Getafe-
Alaves-
Avg goals conceded
Getafe-
Alaves-
BTTS rate
Getafe-
Alaves-
Over 2.5 goals
Getafe-
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 42% · edge +8 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 63%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 27%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 42% · edge +8 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Getafe Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Alaves to WinBet365 guide price · model 40%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Alaves Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Getafe to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 33%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Alaves

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Alaves yet.

Getafe

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Getafe yet.

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 74% vs implied 80% · edge -6.5 pts
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Getafe Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Alaves to WinBet365 guide price · model 40%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Alaves Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Getafe to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 33%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Alaves Over 2.5
-Getafe Over 2.5
1.5H2H avg goals
Selection: Both Teams To Score NO.

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