Alaves

Getafe

La Liga | Sat 15 Aug, 18:30

Alaves v Getafe Stats

Data last updated: Sun 16 Aug 2026, 12:07 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Alaves face Getafe in La Liga on Sat 15 Aug, 18:30. This fixture is expected to be a tight, defensive contest with Getafe’s disciplined central organisation limiting chances. Alaves’ home point struggles and Getafe’s unbeaten recent meetings suggest a tight contest.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Both Teams To Score NO

Price warning: current odds imply about 63%, above the 50% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
At 6/10, Both Teams To Score NO implies roughly 63%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 50%.
Selection: Both Teams To Score NO.

Price warning

Both Teams To Score NO is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 63% while the model sits nearer 50% (-12.5 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Over 2.5 Goals shows a +13.6 pts edge at 3.2.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 50% for Both Teams To Score NO sits against roughly 63% implied by the current price. Selection: Both Teams To Score NO.

Model chance vs price50% model chance against roughly 63% implied

Negative

Selection: Both Teams To Score NO.Article support

Positive

Price sensitivityEdge -12.5 pts

Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score NO. Risk Factor: Toni Martinez and Lucas Boye retain established central chemistry for Alaves, while Getafe conceded in their recent 1-1 pre-season draw against Tottenham Hotspur.

Main risk

Risk Factor: Toni Martinez and Lucas Boye retain established central chemistry for Alaves, while Getafe conceded in their recent 1-1 pre-season draw against Tottenham Hotspur.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score NO evidence

Selection: Both Teams To Score NO.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score NO notes

Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Alaves-

Avg goals scored

Getafe-

Alaves-

Avg goals conceded

Getafe-

Alaves-

BTTS rate

Getafe-

Alaves-

Over 2.5 goals

Getafe-

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 42% · edge +8 pts

2.38

Check odds @ 2.38

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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%

3.2

Check odds @ 3.2

Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 63%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 27%

6.5

Check odds @ 6.5

BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

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Useful next reads

La Liga hub full betting preview for Alaves v Getafe player stats betting angles football stats hub football hub football predictions hub best bets research acca fixture filtering

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 42% · edge +8 pts

2.38

Check odds @ 2.38

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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%

3.2

Check odds @ 3.2

Getafe to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%

3.75

Check odds @ 3.75

Getafe Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

Alaves to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%

2.35

Check odds @ 2.35

Alaves Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%

2.8

Check odds @ 2.8

BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Alaves

Last 50W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Alaves yet.

Getafe

Last 50W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Getafe yet.

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 64% · edge +7.3 pts

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

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Getafe to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%

3.75

Check odds @ 3.75

Getafe Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 73%

1.25

Check odds @ 1.25

Alaves to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%

2.35

Check odds @ 2.35

Alaves Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%

2.8

Check odds @ 2.8

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Alaves wins

5Draws

4Getafe wins

08 Feb 2026Alaves v Getafe0-2

24 Sep 2025Getafe v Alaves1-1

09 Feb 2025Alaves v Getafe0-1

28 Sep 2024Getafe v Alaves2-0

18 May 2024Alaves v Getafe1-0

28 Aug 2023Getafe v Alaves1-0

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 42% · edge +8 pts

2.38

Check odds @ 2.38

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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%

3.2

Check odds @ 3.2

Getafe to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%

3.75

Check odds @ 3.75

Alaves to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%

2.35

Check odds @ 2.35

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%

2.8

Check odds @ 2.8

The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

La Liga

Alaves1

Played

Getafe1

Alaves3

Avg goals for

Getafe0

Alaves0

Avg goals against

Getafe3

Alaves1

Clean sheets

Getafe0

Best odds for this sectionGetafe to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 41% vs implied 27% · edge +14.3 pts

3.75

Check odds @ 3.75

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Getafe Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

Alaves to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%

2.35

Check odds @ 2.35

Alaves Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Season data supports Getafe to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
1	Alaves	3	1	1	0	0	3
20	Getafe	0	1	0	0	1	-3

Alaves sit in position 1, while Getafe sit in position 20, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score NO assessment.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Alaves Over 2.5

-Getafe Over 2.5

1.5H2H avg goals

Selection: Both Teams To Score NO.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Alaves v Getafe Stats

Match Report

Both Teams To Score NO

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Alaves

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Football Stats Hub

Alaves v Getafe Stats

Match Report

Both Teams To Score NO

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Alaves

Getafe

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Prediction context

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