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Independiente del Valle crestIndependiente del Valle
v
Rosario Central crestRosario Central

CONMEBOL Libertadores | Wed 27 May, 23:00

Independiente del Valle v Rosario Central Stats

BT4Y best bet

Rosario Central to Win

  • At 4.2, Rosario Central to Win is priced at roughly 24% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 58%, so the current line is showing a +34.3-point value edge.
  • Independiente del Valle have a recent record of 3W-1D-1L, while Rosario Central come in at 4W-1D-0L across the same last-five lens.
  • The result profile supports the Rosario Central to Win angle: Independiente del Valle have taken 3 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.
  • The result profile supports the Rosario Central to Win angle: Rosario Central have taken 4 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 0% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 4.2, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 24% · edge +34.3 pts
4.2
Bet HERE @ 4.2
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
2.68
Bet HERE @ 2.68
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 47%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.45
Bet HERE @ 1.45
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.9
Bet HERE @ 1.9
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

60%Independiente del Valle Over 2.5
40%Rosario Central Over 2.5
0H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Independiente del Valle

WLWWD
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 1L
20 May 2026H Libertad Asuncion4-1
06 May 2026A UCV0-2
28 Apr 2026A Libertad Asuncion3-2
16 Apr 2026H UCV3-1
09 Apr 2026A Rosario Central0-0

Rosario Central

WWWWD
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 0L
19 May 2026H UCV4-0
05 May 2026H Libertad Asuncion1-0
29 Apr 2026A UCV3-0
15 Apr 2026A Libertad Asuncion1-0
09 Apr 2026H Independiente del Valle0-0
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 24% · edge +34.3 pts
4.2
Bet HERE @ 4.2
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
2.68
Bet HERE @ 2.68
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 83%
1.5
Bet HERE @ 1.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.45
Bet HERE @ 1.45
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.17
Bet HERE @ 1.17
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.9
Bet HERE @ 1.9
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Independiente del Valle2
Avg goals scored
Rosario Central1.8
Independiente del Valle1.2
Avg goals conceded
Rosario Central0
Independiente del Valle60%
BTTS rate
Rosario Central0%
Independiente del Valle60%
Over 2.5 goals
Rosario Central40%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 59% · edge +2.7 pts
1.7
Bet HERE @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 47%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.36
Bet HERE @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3.75
Bet HERE @ 3.75
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

0Independiente del Valle wins
1Draws
0Rosario Central wins
09 Apr 2026Rosario Central v Independiente del Valle0-0
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 24% · edge +34.3 pts
4.2
Bet HERE @ 4.2
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 47%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.9
Bet HERE @ 1.9
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Independiente del Valle7.4
Avg corners for
Rosario Central5.8
Independiente del Valle10.6
Avg total corners
Rosario Central9
Independiente del Valle1.2
Avg yellow cards
Rosario Central2.4
Independiente del Valle21.2
Avg shots
Rosario Central16.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 68% vs implied 50% · edge +18.3 pts
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleD. Reasco Anytime GoalscorerD. Reasco · 1 goals · 7.83 SOT/90
86/100
Bet HERE
Load more player angles
D. Reasco 1+ Shot On TargetD. Reasco · 7.83 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
D. Reasco 2+ ShotsD. Reasco · 15.65 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
G. Cantizano To Assist / Key Pass AngleG. Cantizano · 2 assists · 6.67 key passes/90
78/100
Bet HERE
Á. Di María To Be FouledÁ. Di María · 3.29 fouls won/90
78/100
Bet HERE
J. Angulo Card RiskJ. Angulo · 1 yellows · 3 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
D. Reasco
D. ReascoIndependiente del Valle · Attacker
Goal threat100/100
Shots /9015.65
SOT /907.83
M. Ruben
M. RubenRosario Central · Attacker
Goal threat100/100
Shots /9010
SOT /905
C. González
C. GonzálezIndependiente del Valle · Attacker
Goal threat98/100
Shots /904.17
SOT /902.08
G. Cantizano
G. CantizanoRosario Central · Attacker
Goal threat82/100
Shots /906.67
SOT /903.33
J. Angulo
J. AnguloIndependiente del Valle · Attacker
Goal threat12/100
Shots /903
SOT /900
F. Ibarra
F. IbarraRosario Central · Midfielder
Goal threat14/100
Shots /900.76
SOT /900.25
Season team stats

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Independiente del Valle5
Played
Rosario Central5
Independiente del Valle2
Avg goals for
Rosario Central1.8
Independiente del Valle1.2
Avg goals against
Rosario Central0
Independiente del Valle1
Clean sheets
Rosario Central5
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 24% · edge +34.3 pts
4.2
Bet HERE @ 4.2
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
2.68
Bet HERE @ 2.68
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.45
Bet HERE @ 1.45
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.9
Bet HERE @ 1.9
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Rosario Central1354109
2Independiente del Valle1053114

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.

Football Stats, Match Data & Daily Betting Analysis

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