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Sheriff Tiraspol crestSheriff Tiraspol
v
Maccabi Tel Aviv crestMaccabi Tel Aviv

UEFA Europa League | Thu 23 Jul, 18:00

Sheriff Tiraspol v Maccabi Tel Aviv Stats

Data last updated: Mon 17 Aug 2026, 15:43 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sheriff Tiraspol face Maccabi Tel Aviv in UEFA Europa League on Thu 23 Jul, 18:00. Sheriff Tiraspol enter the return fixture without scoring in their last 180 minutes, despite needing five unanswered goals merely to force extra time.

BT4Y match pick

Over 2

  • At 53/100, Over 2 implies roughly 65%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 64%.
  • Sheriff Tiraspol’s recurring defensive lapses invite Maccabi Tel Aviv to attack with .
  • Sheriff Tiraspol have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Maccabi Tel Aviv.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 64% for Over 2 sits against roughly 65% implied by the current price. Sheriff Tiraspol have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Maccabi Tel Aviv. Sheriff Tiraspol’s recurring defensive lapses invite Maccabi Tel Aviv to attack with .

Model chance vs price64% model chance against roughly 65% implied
Neutral
Sheriff Tiraspol have the stronger recent points return, taking 4.Visible data support
Positive
Sheriff Tiraspol’s recurring defensive lapses invite Maccabi Tel Aviv.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Sheriff Tiraspol Win is the preferred angle because sheriff Tiraspol’s recurring defensive lapses invite Maccabi Tel Aviv to attack with . Sheriff Tiraspol have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Maccabi Tel Aviv. That is an imposing start, although Miller’s most important demand on Thursday may be mental rather than technical.

Main risk

That is an imposing start, although Miller’s most important demand on Thursday may be mental rather than technical.

Key Data Signals

Over 2 evidence

Sheriff Tiraspol’s recurring defensive lapses invite Maccabi Tel Aviv to attack with .

Sheriff Tiraspol have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Maccabi Tel Aviv.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2 notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickSheriff Tiraspol to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 30% · edge +15 pts
    3.3
    Check odds @ 3.3
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    Sheriff Tiraspol Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 59%
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 32%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 35%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Sheriff Tiraspol to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Sheriff Tiraspol0.5
    Avg goals scored
    Maccabi Tel Aviv-
    Sheriff Tiraspol0
    Avg goals conceded
    Maccabi Tel Aviv-
    Sheriff Tiraspol0%
    BTTS rate
    Maccabi Tel Aviv-
    Sheriff Tiraspol0%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Maccabi Tel Aviv-
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 58% · edge +10.2 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
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    Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 66%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 22%
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 32%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Sheriff Tiraspol

    WD
    Last 51W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 0L
    16 Jul 2026A Aluminij1-0
    09 Jul 2026H Aluminij0-0

    Maccabi Tel Aviv

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Maccabi Tel Aviv yet.

    Market aligned with main pickSheriff Tiraspol to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 30% · edge +15 pts
    3.3
    Check odds @ 3.3
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    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 77%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Sheriff Tiraspol Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 59%
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Sheriff Tiraspol0
    Avg corners for
    Maccabi Tel Aviv-
    Sheriff Tiraspol0
    Avg total corners
    Maccabi Tel Aviv-
    Sheriff Tiraspol1.5
    Avg yellow cards
    Maccabi Tel Aviv-
    Sheriff Tiraspol0
    Avg shots
    Maccabi Tel Aviv-
    Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
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    Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 29%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 35%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Sheriff Tiraspol wins
    0Draws
    0Maccabi Tel Aviv wins
    Market aligned with main pickSheriff Tiraspol to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 30% · edge +15 pts
    3.3
    Check odds @ 3.3
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    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 32%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Sheriff Tiraspol to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Season team stats

    UEFA Europa League

    Sheriff Tiraspol4
    Played
    Maccabi Tel Aviv4
    Sheriff Tiraspol0.3
    Avg goals for
    Maccabi Tel Aviv2.3
    Sheriff Tiraspol1.5
    Avg goals against
    Maccabi Tel Aviv1
    Sheriff Tiraspol2
    Clean sheets
    Maccabi Tel Aviv2
    Market aligned with main pickSheriff Tiraspol to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 30% · edge +15 pts
    3.3
    Check odds @ 3.3
    Load more odds for this section
    Sheriff Tiraspol Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 59%
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    Season data supports Sheriff Tiraspol to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    0%Sheriff Tiraspol Over 2.5
    -Maccabi Tel Aviv Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    Sheriff Tiraspol’s recurring defensive lapses invite Maccabi Tel Aviv to attack with .

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.