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Sheriff Tiraspol crestSheriff Tiraspol
v
Maccabi Tel Aviv crestMaccabi Tel Aviv

UEFA Europa League | Thu 23 Jul, 18:00

Sheriff Tiraspol v Maccabi Tel Aviv Stats

Data last updated: Fri 24 Jul 2026, 03:46 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sheriff Tiraspol hosts Maccabi Tel Aviv in the first leg of their UEFA Europa League second qualifying round tie, with both sides bringing distinct attacking strengths and recent form into the contest. Sheriff have started their domestic season strongly, scoring 10 goals in four matches, led by Jayder Asprilla's sharp finishing. Maccabi Tel Aviv counters with a diverse attacking threat, including midfield scorers Dor Peretz and Ido Shahar, and forward Abu Farchi, fresh from a Super Cup win. The match promises a tactical battle between Sheriff's pressing and possession control and Maccabi's experienced, multi-faceted attack, with the first goal likely to shape the tie's momentum.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Both Teams to Score

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 50%, above the 32% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • Sheriff Tiraspol has scored 10 goals in four domestic matches, led by Jayder Asprilla's five goals.
  • Maccabi Tel Aviv features multiple proven scorers including Abu Farchi, Dor Peretz, and Ido Shahar.
  • Sheriff’s recent European struggles contrast with Maccabi’s greater continental experience and tactical depth.
  • Both teams have shown attacking efficiency and defensive lapses, suggesting goals at both ends.
Price warning

Both Teams to Score is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 50% while the model sits nearer 32% (-18 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Sheriff Tiraspol Draw No Bet shows a +15 pts edge at 2.3.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The tactical read highlights strong attacking profiles on both sides, with Sheriff’s domestic scoring form and Maccabi’s midfield goal threat supporting a Both Teams to Score outcome. Despite the being below the market implied probability, the football context justifies the pick as a football-led selection. However, the current price is short, so reduced staking or waiting for better is advised. Improved line-ups or late team news could enhance value.

Sheriff’s attacking form10 goals in 4 matches, Asprilla with 5 goals
Strong positive
Maccabi’s midfield scoring depthPeretz and Shahar scored 32 league goals combined last season
Strong positive
Model chance vs market priceModel chance 32%, market implied 50%, negative value edge
Negative
Main risk

A defence may be comfortable marking one striker, but it becomes far harder to manage when midfielders repeatedly enter the penalty area.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“Sheriff’s sharp forward line combined with Maccabi’s midfield scoring variety sets the stage for an open game with goals at both ends, despite the price being a bit short for pure value.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Sheriff Tiraspol has scored 10 goals in four domestic matches, led by Jayder Asprilla's five goals.

Maccabi Tel Aviv features multiple proven scorers including Abu Farchi, Dor Peretz, and Ido Shahar.

Sheriff’s recent European struggles contrast with Maccabi’s greater continental experience and tactical depth.

Both teams have shown attacking efficiency and defensive lapses, suggesting goals at both ends.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Recent trends in similar fixtures show moderate Over 2.5 Goals rates, with both teams’ attacking styles and defensive vulnerabilities suggesting a match tempo conducive to multiple goals.
  • The balance of offensive pressure and transitional threats supports a lively, goal-rich encounter.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 32% vs implied 50% · edge -18 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Sheriff Tiraspol Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 59%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Sheriff Tiraspol to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Maccabi Tel Aviv Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 35%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
The Both Teams to Score market is priced at even (2.0), implying a 50% chance, which is notably higher than the model’s 32% probability. This indicates a price-sensitive selection where the football read is strong but the do not offer clear value. A price drift or improved team news would be needed to enhance the value proposition.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sheriff Tiraspol0.5
Avg goals scored
Maccabi Tel Aviv-
Sheriff Tiraspol0
Avg goals conceded
Maccabi Tel Aviv-
Sheriff Tiraspol0%
BTTS rate
Maccabi Tel Aviv-
Sheriff Tiraspol0%
Over 2.5 goals
Maccabi Tel Aviv-
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 32% vs implied 50% · edge -18 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 22%
4
Check odds @ 4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Both teams have demonstrated strong attacking output recently, with Sheriff scoring 10 goals in four domestic matches and Maccabi’s midfielders contributing heavily to their goal tally. Defensive lapses on both sides and tactical openness suggest a high likelihood of goals at both ends, supporting the BTTS Yes scenario.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sheriff Tiraspol

WD
Last 51W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 0L
16 Jul 2026A Aluminij1-0
09 Jul 2026H Aluminij0-0

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Maccabi Tel Aviv yet.

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 77% vs implied 62% · edge +15 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Sheriff Tiraspol Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 59%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Sheriff Tiraspol to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Maccabi Tel Aviv Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Maccabi Tel Aviv to WinBetUK guide price · model 23%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Sheriff’s recent domestic form is strong, unbeaten in five matches with consistent goal scoring, while Maccabi arrives after a Super Cup victory highlighting their attacking . Both teams’ recent performances indicate momentum and offensive sharpness that favor goals from both sides.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Sheriff Tiraspol0
Avg corners for
Maccabi Tel Aviv-
Sheriff Tiraspol0
Avg total corners
Maccabi Tel Aviv-
Sheriff Tiraspol1.5
Avg yellow cards
Maccabi Tel Aviv-
Sheriff Tiraspol0
Avg shots
Maccabi Tel Aviv-
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 29%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 35%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Sheriff’s aggressive pressing and territorial control likely generate sustained pressure, leading to shot opportunities and set-piece chances. Maccabi’s attacking variety and wide play increase fouls and card risks, while both teams’ offensive intent should produce a healthy volume of shots and corners.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Sheriff Tiraspol wins
0Draws
0Maccabi Tel Aviv wins
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 32% vs implied 50% · edge -18 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Sheriff Tiraspol to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Maccabi Tel Aviv to WinBetUK guide price · model 23%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
No previous head-to-head meetings exist between these teams, so historical data offers little guidance. Tactical and form-based signals from recent matches and player performances carry greater weight for predicting goals and match dynamics.
Season team stats

UEFA Europa League

Sheriff Tiraspol3
Played
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
Sheriff Tiraspol0.3
Avg goals for
Maccabi Tel Aviv5
Sheriff Tiraspol1.7
Avg goals against
Maccabi Tel Aviv0
Sheriff Tiraspol2
Clean sheets
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
Best odds for this sectionSheriff Tiraspol Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Load more odds for this section
Sheriff Tiraspol to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Maccabi Tel Aviv Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Maccabi Tel Aviv to WinBetUK guide price · model 23%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Sheriff’s season stats show a potent attack with 10 goals scored and a solid defensive record domestically, while Maccabi’s scoring is distributed across midfield and forward lines, reflecting tactical depth. This balance supports the expectation of goals at both ends in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Sheriff Tiraspol Over 2.5
-Maccabi Tel Aviv Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Recent trends in similar fixtures show moderate Over 2.5 Goals rates, with both teams’ attacking styles and defensive vulnerabilities suggesting a match tempo conducive to multiple goals. The balance of offensive pressure and transitional threats supports a lively, goal-rich encounter.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Sheriff Tiraspol v Maccabi Tel Aviv prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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