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Scotland crestScotland
v
Curaçao crestCuraçao

Friendlies | Sat 30 May, 13:00

Scotland v Curaçao Stats

Data last updated: Thu 20 Aug 2026, 09:55 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Scotland face Curaçao in Friendlies on Sat 30 May, 13:00. Scotland look to control this home fixture at Ibrox Stadium, but their recent friendly record reveals a clear defensive vulnerability. Scotland are priced as clear favourites given home advantage at Ibrox despite securing only two wins in thirteen friendlies.

BT4Y best bet

Scotland Win

  • At 2/1, Scotland Win implies roughly 33%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 38%.
  • There is something uniquely exciting about a World Cup warm-up match when both teams know they are only days away from stepping onto football's.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 38% for Scotland Win sits against roughly 33% implied by the current price. There is something uniquely exciting about a World Cup warm-up match when both teams know they are only days away from stepping onto football's.

Model chance vs price38% model chance against roughly 33% implied
Neutral
There is something uniquely exciting about a World Cup.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +4.7 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Scotland Win is the preferred angle because there is something uniquely exciting about a World Cup warm-up match when both teams know they are only days away from stepping onto football's grandest stage. Steve Clarke's team are clear favourites but have suffered recent losses against Japan and Ivory Coast.

Main risk

Steve Clarke's team are clear favourites but have suffered recent losses against Japan and Ivory Coast.

Key Data Signals

Scotland Win evidence

There is something uniquely exciting about a World Cup warm-up match when both teams know they are only.

What To Watch In The Data

Scotland Win notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickScotland to WinBet365 guide price · Model 38% vs implied 85% · edge -46.7 pts
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 34%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Scotland Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 48%
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Scotland to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Scotland0
    Avg goals scored
    Curaçao-
    Scotland1
    Avg goals conceded
    Curaçao-
    Scotland0%
    BTTS rate
    Curaçao-
    Scotland0%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Curaçao-
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 68%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 34%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Scotland

    LL
    Last 50W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 2L
    31 Mar 2026H Ivory Coast0-1
    28 Mar 2026H Japan0-1

    Curaçao

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Curaçao yet.

    Market aligned with main pickScotland to WinBet365 guide price · Model 38% vs implied 85% · edge -46.7 pts
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 66%
    1.01
    Check odds @ 1.01
    Scotland Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 48%
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Scotland7
    Avg corners for
    Curaçao-
    Scotland12
    Avg total corners
    Curaçao-
    Scotland0
    Avg yellow cards
    Curaçao-
    Scotland14
    Avg shots
    Curaçao-
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Scotland wins
    0Draws
    0Curaçao wins
    Market aligned with main pickScotland to WinBet365 guide price · Model 38% vs implied 85% · edge -46.7 pts
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 34%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Scotland to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Season team stats

    Friendlies

    Scotland4
    Played
    Curaçao2
    Scotland2
    Avg goals for
    Curaçao2.5
    Scotland0.8
    Avg goals against
    Curaçao2
    Scotland1
    Clean sheets
    Curaçao1
    Market aligned with main pickScotland to WinBet365 guide price · Model 38% vs implied 85% · edge -46.7 pts
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Load more odds for this section
    Scotland Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 48%
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Season data supports Scotland to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    0%Scotland Over 2.5
    -Curaçao Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    There is something uniquely exciting about a World Cup warm-up match when both teams know they are only days away from stepping onto football's grandest stage.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Scotland v Curaçao prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Competition and hubs

    Friendlies hubFriendlies fixtures and predictionsfull betting preview for Scotland v Curaçaobest bets hubcorners trends hubplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hub

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    Read full prediction View match centre