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Sarpsborg 08 FF crestSarpsborg 08 FF
v
Molde crestMolde

Eliteserien | Mon 25 May, 16:00

Sarpsborg 08 FF v Molde Stats

Data last updated: Sun 24 May 2026, 03:08 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sarpsborg 08 FF face Molde in Eliteserien on Mon 25 May, 16:00. Sarpsborg 08 FF come in with 3 recent points and 0.8 goals per match, while Molde have 10 points and 1.6 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Molde to Win

  • At 2.5, Molde Win implies roughly 40%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 70%.
  • Molde have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 3 for Sarpsborg 08 FF.
  • Molde have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Molde Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Sarpsborg 08 FF sit 7 in the table, while Molde sit 5, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 70% for Molde Win sits against roughly 40% implied by the current price. Molde have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 3 for Sarpsborg 08 FF.

Model chance vs price70% model chance against roughly 40% implied
Strong positive
Molde have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points.Visible data support
Positive
Molde have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Molde Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Molde have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 3 for Sarpsborg 08 FF. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Molde Win evidence

Molde have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 3 for Sarpsborg 08 FF.

Molde have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Molde Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Sarpsborg 08 FF sit 7 in the table, while Molde sit 5, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Molde Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Sarpsborg 08 FF0.8
    Avg goals scored
    Molde1.6
    Sarpsborg 08 FF2
    Avg goals conceded
    Molde0.8
    Sarpsborg 08 FF40%
    BTTS rate
    Molde40%
    Sarpsborg 08 FF60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Molde20%
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 40% · edge +13.1 pts
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 44%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 69%
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 33%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickMolde to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 40% · edge +30 pts
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Molde Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Molde to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Sarpsborg 08 FF5.2
    Avg corners for
    Molde3.2
    Sarpsborg 08 FF8.6
    Avg total corners
    Molde9
    Sarpsborg 08 FF2
    Avg yellow cards
    Molde1.8
    Sarpsborg 08 FF11.4
    Avg shots
    Molde11
    Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Sarpsborg 08 FF

    LWLLL
    Last 51W 0D 4L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 2D 5L
    16 May 2026A Valerenga2-3
    09 May 2026H Fredrikstad2-1
    03 May 2026A Lillestrom0-4
    26 Apr 2026A KFUM Oslo0-1
    19 Apr 2026H Tromso0-1

    Molde

    WLWWD
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 1D 3L
    16 May 2026H Kristiansund BK1-0
    10 May 2026A Tromso0-2
    04 May 2026A Bodo/Glimt1-0
    26 Apr 2026H Valerenga5-1
    19 Apr 2026A Start1-1
    Market aligned with main pickMolde to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 40% · edge +30 pts
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Molde Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    3Sarpsborg 08 FF wins
    1Draws
    6Molde wins
    30 Nov 2025Sarpsborg 08 FF v Molde1-0
    30 Mar 2025Molde v Sarpsborg 08 FF0-2
    10 Nov 2024Sarpsborg 08 FF v Molde2-2
    20 May 2024Molde v Sarpsborg 08 FF2-4
    08 May 2024Molde v Sarpsborg 08 FF4-2
    26 Nov 2023Sarpsborg 08 FF v Molde1-3
    Market aligned with main pickMolde to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 40% · edge +30 pts
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Molde to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Eliteserien

    Sarpsborg 08 FF11
    Played
    Molde11
    Sarpsborg 08 FF1.2
    Avg goals for
    Molde1.6
    Sarpsborg 08 FF1.5
    Avg goals against
    Molde1.2
    Sarpsborg 08 FF1
    Clean sheets
    Molde3
    Market aligned with main pickMolde to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 40% · edge +30 pts
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Molde Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Season data supports Molde to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    5Molde19116145
    7Sarpsborg 08 FF1411425-3
    Sarpsborg 08 FF sit in position 7, while Molde sit in position 5, so table pressure belongs in the Molde Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Sarpsborg 08 FF Over 2.5
    20%Molde Over 2.5
    4.1H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Sarpsborg 08 FF sit at 60% and Molde sit at 20% with the H2H average at 4.1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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