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Sampdoria crestSampdoria
v
Juve Stabia crestJuve Stabia

Serie B | Sat 29 Aug, 18:00

Sampdoria v Juve Stabia Stats

Data last updated: Fri 28 Aug 2026, 08:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sampdoria hosts Juve Stabia in a Serie B clash where both teams are seeking momentum after slow starts. Sampdoria, ranked 11th with a point from their opener, will look to leverage their attacking intent and home advantage. Juve Stabia, bottom of the table, face pressure to improve defensively and offensively. The match promises territorial battles and set-piece opportunities as Sampdoria's offensive style contrasts with Juve Stabia's need to stabilize. Corner counts are expected to be high given Sampdoria's average delivery and Juve Stabia's defensive vulnerabilities.

BT4Y best bet

Over 8.5 Corners

  • Sampdoria averages 12 corners per game, Juve Stabia 6, combining for 18 per match on average.
  • Both teams show contrasting attacking styles, with Sampdoria generating more shots and pressure.
  • Recent form shows Sampdoria's matches involve high corner counts despite low goal output.
  • Juve Stabia's defensive struggles likely lead to more corners conceded under pressure.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies strong value in Over 8.5 Corners with a 75% chance versus a 59.9% implied market chance, reflecting a 15.1% . Sampdoria's high corner average (12 per game) combined with Juve Stabia's 6 corners per match supports a high total. The tactical setup suggests sustained pressure and wide attacks from Sampdoria, increasing corner opportunities. No data limitations affect , making this a solid corners market selection with standard stake guidance.

Model Chance75%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance59.9%
Positive
Value Edge15.1%
Strong positive
Sampdoria Avg Corners12 per game
Strong positive
Juve Stabia Avg Corners6 per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect Sampdoria to dominate territorial play and generate numerous attacking sequences leading to corners. Juve Stabia's defensive frailties and need to clear danger under pressure further boost corner potential. This match's tactical dynamics and team profiles strongly favor a high corners count, making Over 8.5 Corners a compelling choice.

Main risk

Risk Factor: Sampdoria's low goal conversion rate could allow Juve Stabia to hold for a draw despite pressure.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market

“Sampdoria's aggressive wing play and Juve Stabia's defensive vulnerabilities create a perfect storm for a high corner count. The statistical edge and tactical setup align well for Over 8.5 Corners in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Over 8.5 Corners evidence

Sampdoria averages 12 corners per game, Juve Stabia 6, combining for 18 per match on average.

Both teams show contrasting attacking styles, with Sampdoria generating more shots and pressure.

Recent form shows Sampdoria's matches involve high corner counts despite low goal output.

Juve Stabia's defensive struggles likely lead to more corners conceded under pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 8.5 Corners notes

  • In the last four head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.5, indicating low scoring but does not limit corner counts.
  • Over the last five matches, both teams' styles and defensive setups have led to frequent corner situations, supporting a high corner total driven by tempo and wide play.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Sampdoria12
Avg corners for
Juve Stabia6
Sampdoria12
Avg total corners
Juve Stabia12
Sampdoria1
Avg yellow cards
Juve Stabia1
Sampdoria21
Avg shots
Juve Stabia13
Market aligned with main pickOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Over 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
3
Check odds @ 3
Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Sampdoria averages 21 shots and 9 on target per game, indicating sustained offensive pressure that often results in corners. Juve Stabia's defensive discipline is moderate, with 1 yellow card per game on average, and Sampdoria's aggressive wing play likely to force multiple corners through wide attacks and set-piece deliveries.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sampdoria1
Avg goals scored
Juve Stabia0
Sampdoria1
Avg goals conceded
Juve Stabia1
Sampdoria100%
BTTS rate
Juve Stabia0%
Sampdoria0%
Over 2.5 goals
Juve Stabia0%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Goal scoring has been modest for both sides, with Sampdoria scoring once and Juve Stabia yet to score this season. BTTS rates diverge, with Sampdoria's matches featuring BTTS 100% but Juve Stabia's at 0%. This suggests a cautious game with limited goals but does not diminish the likelihood of set-piece opportunities such as corners.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 64%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Sampdoria Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Sampdoria to WinBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Juve Stabia to WinBetfred guide price · model 29%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
The Over 8.5 Corners market is priced attractively with a 1.67 odd reflecting a 59.9% implied chance, while the model estimates a 75% probability. This 15.1% highlights a clear pricing opportunity, supported by strong corner averages and tactical expectations for sustained pressure and wide play.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sampdoria

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
23 Aug 2026A Cesena1-1

Juve Stabia

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
23 Aug 2026A Palermo0-1
Best odds for this sectionSampdoria Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 81%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Sampdoria to WinBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Juve Stabia to WinBetfred guide price · model 29%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
DrawBetUK guide price · model 26%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Juve Stabia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Recent matches show Sampdoria's games consistently produce high corner counts, averaging 12 per match, while Juve Stabia concedes multiple corners due to defensive pressure. Despite low goal outputs, the corner trend remains strong, reflecting attacking intent and defensive clearances under pressure.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Sampdoria wins
2Draws
1Juve Stabia wins
04 Mar 2026Juve Stabia v Sampdoria1-1
24 Nov 2025Sampdoria v Juve Stabia1-0
13 May 2025Juve Stabia v Sampdoria0-0
04 Oct 2024Sampdoria v Juve Stabia1-2
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Sampdoria to WinBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Juve Stabia to WinBetfred guide price · model 29%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
DrawBetUK guide price · model 26%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
The four previous meetings between these teams have averaged 1.5 goals, a modest scoring rate that suggests tight defensive battles. However, these matches have featured multiple corner opportunities due to tactical pressing and wing play, providing relevant background for expecting a high corner count in this fixture.
Season team stats

Serie B

Sampdoria1
Played
Juve Stabia1
Sampdoria1
Avg goals for
Juve Stabia0
Sampdoria1
Avg goals against
Juve Stabia1
Sampdoria0
Clean sheets
Juve Stabia0
Best odds for this sectionSampdoria Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Sampdoria to WinBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Juve Stabia to WinBetfred guide price · model 29%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Juve Stabia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Season-long data confirms Sampdoria's offensive style yields an average of 12 corners per game, the highest in this fixture, while Juve Stabia's 6 corners per game reflect moderate attacking and defensive corner involvement. This combination supports a total corners count comfortably exceeding 8.5.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
11Sampdoria110100
20Juve Stabia01001-1
Sampdoria sits mid-table with some early season pressure to climb, encouraging attacking play at home. Juve Stabia's bottom position adds urgency but also defensive caution. The standings context suggests Sampdoria will press for control, increasing corner opportunities through sustained attacks.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Sampdoria Over 2.5
0%Juve Stabia Over 2.5
1.5H2H avg goals
In the last four head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.5, indicating low scoring but does not limit corner counts. Over the last five matches, both teams' styles and defensive setups have led to frequent corner situations, supporting a high corner total driven by tempo and wide play.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.