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Sampdoria crestSampdoria
v
Juve Stabia crestJuve Stabia

Serie B | Sat 29 Aug, 18:00

Sampdoria v Juve Stabia Stats

Data last updated: Mon 21 Sep 2026, 13:22 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sampdoria face Juve Stabia in Serie B on Sat 29 Aug, 18:00. Juve Stabia concede 4.3 shots on target per match over that period, while Sampdoria generate 4.2, creating one of the fixture's clearest statistical overlaps. Sampdoria's superior home form and high attacking pressure contrast with Juve Stabia's prolonged away struggles and defensive frailties.

BT4Y match pick

Sampdoria to win

  • At 19/20, Sampdoria to win implies roughly 51%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 49%.
  • Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia: Home Pressure Meets a Serious Away-Day Problem.
  • Sampdoria have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points from the sample compared with 0 for Juve Stabia.
  • Sampdoria have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Sampdoria to win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Sampdoria sit 17 in the table, while Juve Stabia sit 18, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 49% for Sampdoria to win sits against roughly 51% implied by the current price. Sampdoria have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points from the sample compared with 0 for Juve Stabia. Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia: Home Pressure Meets a Serious Away-Day Problem.

Model chance vs price49% model chance against roughly 51% implied
Neutral
Sampdoria have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points.Visible data support
Positive
Sampdoria have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia: Home Pressure Meets a Serious.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Sampdoria Win is the preferred angle because sampdoria vs Juve Stabia: Home Pressure Meets a Serious Away-Day Problem. Sampdoria have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points from the sample compared with 0 for Juve Stabia. Risk Factor: Sampdoria's low goal conversion rate could allow Juve Stabia to hold for a draw despite pressure.

Main risk

Risk Factor: Sampdoria's low goal conversion rate could allow Juve Stabia to hold for a draw despite pressure.

Key Data Signals

Sampdoria to win evidence

Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia: Home Pressure Meets a Serious Away-Day Problem.

Sampdoria have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points from the sample compared with 0 for Juve Stabia.

Sampdoria have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Sampdoria Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Sampdoria sit 17 in the table, while Juve Stabia sit 18, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Sampdoria to win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Sampdoria12
    Avg corners for
    Juve Stabia6
    Sampdoria12
    Avg total corners
    Juve Stabia12
    Sampdoria1
    Avg yellow cards
    Juve Stabia1
    Sampdoria21
    Avg shots
    Juve Stabia13
    Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 66%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 51%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Useful next reads

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    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Sampdoria1
    Avg goals scored
    Juve Stabia0
    Sampdoria1
    Avg goals conceded
    Juve Stabia1
    Sampdoria100%
    BTTS rate
    Juve Stabia0%
    Sampdoria0%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Juve Stabia0%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
    4.33
    Check odds @ 4.33
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    2.35
    Check odds @ 2.35
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickSampdoria to WinBetfred guide price · Model 49% vs implied 54% · edge -4.7 pts
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 64%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Sampdoria Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 59%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 51%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    2.35
    Check odds @ 2.35
    Sampdoria to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Sampdoria

    D
    Last 50W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 1D 0L
    23 Aug 2026A Cesena1-1

    Juve Stabia

    L
    Last 50W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 1L
    23 Aug 2026A Palermo0-1
    Market aligned with main pickSampdoria to WinBetfred guide price · Model 49% vs implied 54% · edge -4.7 pts
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Load more odds for this section
    Sampdoria Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 59%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    1Sampdoria wins
    2Draws
    1Juve Stabia wins
    04 Mar 2026Juve Stabia v Sampdoria1-1
    24 Nov 2025Sampdoria v Juve Stabia1-0
    13 May 2025Juve Stabia v Sampdoria0-0
    04 Oct 2024Sampdoria v Juve Stabia1-2
    Market aligned with main pickSampdoria to WinBetfred guide price · Model 49% vs implied 54% · edge -4.7 pts
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 64%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    2.35
    Check odds @ 2.35
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Sampdoria to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Serie B

    Sampdoria5
    Played
    Juve Stabia5
    Sampdoria1
    Avg goals for
    Juve Stabia0.8
    Sampdoria1.8
    Avg goals against
    Juve Stabia1.4
    Sampdoria0
    Clean sheets
    Juve Stabia0
    Market aligned with main pickSampdoria to WinBetfred guide price · Model 49% vs implied 54% · edge -4.7 pts
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Load more odds for this section
    Sampdoria Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 59%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Season data supports Sampdoria to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    17Sampdoria45113-4
    18Juve Stabia35122-3
    Sampdoria sit in position 17, while Juve Stabia sit in position 18, so table pressure belongs in the Sampdoria to win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    0%Sampdoria Over 2.5
    0%Juve Stabia Over 2.5
    1.5H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Sampdoria sit at 0% and Juve Stabia sit at 0% with the H2H average at 1.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Sampdoria v Juve Stabia prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Betting context

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