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Nice crestNice
v
Saint Etienne crestSaint Etienne

Ligue 1 | Fri 29 May, 19:45

Nice v Saint Etienne Stats

Data last updated: Mon 06 Jul 2026, 07:49 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Nice face Saint Etienne in Ligue 1 on Fri 29 May, 19:45. For Nice, this fixture carries the weight of embarrassment and fear.

BT4Y best bet

Nice Win

  • At 8/1, Nice Win implies roughly 11%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 52%.
  • They have won their last three home meetings against Saint-Etienne in all competitions, including a remarkable 8-0 demolition earlier in the 2025 campaign.
  • Nice have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 2 for Saint Etienne.
  • Saint Etienne have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Nice Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 52% for Nice Win sits against roughly 11% implied by the current price. Nice have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 2 for Saint Etienne. They have won their last three home meetings against Saint-Etienne in all competitions, including a remarkable 8-0 demolition earlier in the 2025 campaign.

Model chance vs price52% model chance against roughly 11% implied
Strong positive
Nice have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points.Visible data support
Positive
Saint Etienne have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
They have won their last three home meetings.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Nice Win is the preferred angle because they have won their last three home meetings against Saint-Etienne in all competitions, including a remarkable 8-0 demolition earlier in the 2025 campaign. Nice have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 2 for Saint Etienne. However, there is still uncertainty surrounding their attacking edge.

Main risk

However, there is still uncertainty surrounding their attacking edge.

Key Data Signals

Nice Win evidence

They have won their last three home meetings against Saint-Etienne in all competitions, including a remarkable 8-0 demolition.

Nice have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 2 for Saint Etienne.

Saint Etienne have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Nice Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Nice Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Nice0.6
    Avg goals scored
    Saint Etienne0
    Nice0.8
    Avg goals conceded
    Saint Etienne0
    Nice60%
    BTTS rate
    Saint Etienne0%
    Nice20%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Saint Etienne0%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 56% · edge +12.4 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 66%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 32%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    Ligue 1 hubfull betting preview for Nice v Saint Etiennecorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Nice

    DDLDD
    Last 50W 4D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 6D 3L
    26 May 2026A Saint Etienne0-0
    17 May 2026H Metz0-0
    10 May 2026A Auxerre1-2
    02 May 2026H Lens1-1
    26 Apr 2026A Marseille1-1

    Saint Etienne

    DD
    Last 50W 2D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 2D 0L
    26 May 2026H Nice0-0
    15 May 2026H Rodez0-0
    Market aligned with main pickNice to WinBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 52% · edge -0.5 pts
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 79%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Nice Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    16Nice323471116-23
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickNice to WinBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 52% · edge -0.5 pts
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Load more odds for this section
    Nice Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 32%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Nice to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Nice5
    Avg corners for
    Saint Etienne7
    Nice12
    Avg total corners
    Saint Etienne11.5
    Nice1
    Avg yellow cards
    Saint Etienne1
    Nice10
    Avg shots
    Saint Etienne9.5
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 53% · edge +16.4 pts
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    6Nice wins
    1Draws
    3Saint Etienne wins
    26 May 2026Saint Etienne v Nice0-0
    21 Dec 2025Nice v Saint Etienne2-1
    01 Mar 2025Saint Etienne v Nice1-3
    20 Sep 2024Nice v Saint Etienne8-0
    11 May 2022Nice v Saint Etienne4-2
    25 Sep 2021Saint Etienne v Nice0-3
    Market aligned with main pickNice to WinBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 52% · edge -0.5 pts
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 32%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Nice to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Ligue 1

    Nice36
    Played
    Saint Etienne3
    Nice1.1
    Avg goals for
    Saint Etienne0.7
    Nice1.7
    Avg goals against
    Saint Etienne1.3
    Nice7
    Clean sheets
    Saint Etienne2
    Market aligned with main pickNice to WinBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 52% · edge -0.5 pts
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Load more odds for this section
    Nice Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Season data supports Nice to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    20%Nice Over 2.5
    0%Saint Etienne Over 2.5
    3.9H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Nice sit at 20% and Saint Etienne sit at 0% with the H2H average at 3.9 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Nice v Saint Etienne prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Competition and hubs

    Ligue 1 hubLigue 1 hubfull betting preview for Nice v Saint Etiennecorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboard

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    Read full prediction View match centre