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Malisheva crestMalisheva
v
Hibernian crestHibernian

UEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 23 Jul, 15:30

Malisheva v Hibernian Stats

Data last updated: Sun 16 Aug 2026, 13:04 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Malisheva face Hibernian in UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu 23 Jul, 15:30. Malisheva have netted eight goals in just three Europa Conference League matches, averaging an impressive 2.67 goals per European fixture. A 3-1 scoreline fits the tactical demands as Hibernian need multiple goals to overturn the deficit.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Hibernian to win and both teams to score

  • At 15/8, Hibernian to win and both teams to score implies roughly 35%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 16%.
  • Their 68 goals in 46 matches and key players like Jamie McGrath and Jordan Obita offer creative threat, but defensive lapses and Malisheva's strong.
  • Hibernian need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Malisheva on 3 and Hibernian on 0.
Price warning

Hibernian to win and both teams to score is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 35% while the model sits nearer 16% (-19.2 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Over 2.5 Goals shows a +15 pts edge at 1.75.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 16% for Hibernian to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 35% implied by the current price. Hibernian need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Malisheva on 3 and Hibernian on 0. Their 68 goals in 46 matches and key players like Jamie McGrath and Jordan Obita offer creative threat, but defensive lapses and Malisheva's strong.

Model chance vs price16% model chance against roughly 35% implied
Negative
Hibernian need the result edge to pair with scoring at.Visible data support
Positive
Their 68 goals in 46 matches and key players.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Hibernian Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because their that scoring level in 46 matches and key players like Jamie McGrath and Jordan Obita offer creative threat, but defensive lapses and Malisheva's strong European scoring record suggest both sides. Hibernian need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Malisheva on 3 and Hibernian on 0. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Hibernian to win and both teams to score evidence

Their 68 goals in 46 matches and key players like Jamie McGrath and Jordan Obita offer creative threat.

Hibernian need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Malisheva on 3 and Hibernian on 0.

What To Watch In The Data

Hibernian to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Malisheva

WL
Last 51W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 1L
15 Jul 2026H Vllaznia Shkodër5-0
09 Jul 2026A Vllaznia Shkodër1-2

Hibernian

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Hibernian yet.

Market aligned with main pickHibernian Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 77% · edge -34.9 pts
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Hibernian to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Malisheva3
Avg goals scored
Hibernian-
Malisheva1
Avg goals conceded
Hibernian-
Malisheva50%
BTTS rate
Hibernian-
Malisheva100%
Over 2.5 goals
Hibernian-
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 26%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickHibernian Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 77% · edge -34.9 pts
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 72%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Hibernian to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Hibernian Draw No Bet is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Malisheva wins
0Draws
0Hibernian wins
Market aligned with main pickHibernian to WinBetfred guide price · Model 23% vs implied 67% · edge -43.7 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 72%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Hibernian to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Europa Conference League

Malisheva4
Played
Hibernian4
Malisheva2.3
Avg goals for
Hibernian1.5
Malisheva1.5
Avg goals against
Hibernian1
Malisheva2
Clean sheets
Hibernian1
Market aligned with main pickHibernian Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 77% · edge -34.9 pts
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Load more odds for this section
Hibernian to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Season data supports Hibernian Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Malisheva Over 2.5
-Hibernian Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Their 68 goals in 46 matches and key players like Jamie McGrath and Jordan Obita offer creative threat, but defensive lapses and Malisheva's strong European scoring record suggest.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.