Latvia
CyprusUEFA Nations League | Mon 28 Sep, 17:00
Latvia v Cyprus Stats
Data last updated: Tue 20 Oct 2026, 03:34 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Latvia face Cyprus in UEFA Nations League on Mon 28 Sep, 17:00. Cyprus have stronger recent form and a better attack, averaging 1.5 goals per game in their last six matches. A goalless draw away to Latvia steadied them before an impressive 2-0 victory over Armenia moved them onto four points.
Match Result - Cyprus
- At 8/13, Match Result - Cyprus implies roughly 62%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 35%.
- Across that sequence they have averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game.
- Latvia have the cleaner defensive sample at 2 conceded per match, which helps the Match Result - Cyprus angle more than a raw possession edge.
- Latvia sit 4 in the table, while Cyprus sit 2, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Match Result - Cyprus is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 62% while the model sits nearer 35% (-26.6 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Both Teams to Score shows a +15 pts edge at 2.
Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive
Football case vs market price
The 35% for Match Result - Cyprus sits against roughly 62% implied by the current price. Latvia have the cleaner defensive sample at 2 conceded per match, which helps the Match Result - Cyprus angle more than a raw possession edge. Across that sequence they have averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Latvia Win is the preferred angle because across that sequence they have averaged that scoring level scored and 0.83 conceded per game. Latvia have the cleaner defensive sample at 2 conceded per match, which helps the Latvia Win angle more than a raw possession edge. Latvia’s Attack Remains the Major Concern
Latvia’s Attack Remains the Major Concern.
Key Data Signals
Match Result - Cyprus evidence
Across that sequence they have averaged that scoring level scored and 0.83 conceded per game.
Latvia have the cleaner defensive sample at 2 conceded per match, which helps the Latvia Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Latvia sit 4 in the table, while Cyprus sit 2, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
What To Watch In The Data
Match Result - Cyprus notes
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Useful next reads
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Latvia
Cyprus
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
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