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KFUM Oslo crestKFUM Oslo
v
Tromso crestTromso

Eliteserien | Fri 29 May, 18:00

KFUM Oslo v Tromso Stats

Data last updated: Sun 21 Jun 2026, 12:30 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

KFUM Oslo face Tromso in Eliteserien on Fri 29 May, 18:00. KFUM have kept clean sheets in three of their five home matches, built on a highly compact shape, while Tromso's away attacking efficiency has lowered significantly outside their home arena. But their recent home form tells a more encouraging story.

BT4Y best bet

Fails completely, regardless of whether the overall match outcome was a draw

  • At 20/23, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 54%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 60%.
  • Six of the last nine meetings between these sides finished with under 2.5 goals.
  • KFUM Oslo are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.2 goals per match, with Tromso at 0.8.
  • BTTS rates of 40% for KFUM Oslo and 40% for Tromso show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 60% for Under that scoring level sits against roughly 54% implied by the current price. KFUM Oslo are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Tromso at 0.8. Six of the last nine meetings between these sides finished with under 2.5 goals.

Model chance vs price60% model chance against roughly 54% implied
Positive
KFUM Oslo are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support
Positive
BTTS rates of 40% for KFUM Oslo and 40%.Visible data support
Positive
Six of the last nine meetings between these sides.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because six of the last nine meetings between these sides finished with under 2.5 goals. KFUM Oslo are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Tromso at 0.8. Tromso, meanwhile, remain dangerous but have started to show cracks after an explosive start to the campaign.

Main risk

Tromso, meanwhile, remain dangerous but have started to show cracks after an explosive start to the campaign.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Six of the last nine meetings between these sides finished with under 2.5 goals.

KFUM Oslo are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.2 goals per match, with Tromso at 0.8.

BTTS rates of 40% for KFUM Oslo and 40% for Tromso show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

KFUM Oslo1.2
Avg goals scored
Tromso0.8
KFUM Oslo1.2
Avg goals conceded
Tromso2.4
KFUM Oslo40%
BTTS rate
Tromso40%
KFUM Oslo40%
Over 2.5 goals
Tromso40%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 60% vs implied 54% · edge +5.6 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 44%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 40% for KFUM Oslo and 40% for Tromso, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

KFUM Oslo

WLLDW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
25 May 2026H Rosenborg2-0
16 May 2026A Brann1-2
10 May 2026H Viking0-2
03 May 2026A Valerenga2-2
26 Apr 2026H Sarpsborg 08 FF1-0

Tromso

DLWDL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 2L
25 May 2026H Aalesund1-1
16 May 2026A Bodo/Glimt0-5
10 May 2026H Molde2-0
03 May 2026A Start1-1
29 Apr 2026H Brann0-5
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 85% vs implied 65% · edge +20.2 pts
1.54
Check odds @ 1.54
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KFUM Oslo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 61%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
KFUM Oslo Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 69%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Tromso Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Tromso to WinBet365 guide price · model 24%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Tromso25137424
12KFUM Oslo1211335-5
KFUM Oslo sit in position 12, while Tromso sit in position 2, so table pressure belongs in the Under 2.5 Goals assessment.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionKFUM Oslo to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 35% · edge +25.8 pts
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Load more odds for this section
KFUM Oslo Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 69%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 44%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Tromso Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Tromso to WinBet365 guide price · model 24%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
KFUM Oslo to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

KFUM Oslo3.4
Avg corners for
Tromso4
KFUM Oslo8.8
Avg total corners
Tromso8.4
KFUM Oslo2.2
Avg yellow cards
Tromso1.8
KFUM Oslo9.6
Avg shots
Tromso12
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 49% vs implied 54% · edge -5 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3KFUM Oslo wins
4Draws
3Tromso wins
07 Mar 2026KFUM Oslo v Tromso2-1
31 Aug 2025Tromso v KFUM Oslo2-0
11 May 2025KFUM Oslo v Tromso1-3
08 May 2025Tromso v KFUM Oslo0-1
18 Aug 2024KFUM Oslo v Tromso0-1
13 Jul 2024Tromso v KFUM Oslo1-2
Best odds for this sectionKFUM Oslo to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 35% · edge +25.8 pts
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 44%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Tromso to WinBet365 guide price · model 24%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
The head-to-head sample gives context for KFUM Oslo to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Eliteserien

KFUM Oslo11
Played
Tromso13
KFUM Oslo1.1
Avg goals for
Tromso1.4
KFUM Oslo1.5
Avg goals against
Tromso1.1
KFUM Oslo4
Clean sheets
Tromso7
Best odds for this sectionKFUM Oslo to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 35% · edge +25.8 pts
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Load more odds for this section
KFUM Oslo Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 69%
2
Check odds @ 2
Tromso Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Tromso to WinBet365 guide price · model 24%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Season data supports KFUM Oslo to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%KFUM Oslo Over 2.5
40%Tromso Over 2.5
2.2H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: KFUM Oslo sit at 40% and Tromso sit at 40% with the H2H average at 2.2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.