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KFUM Oslo host Tromso in the Eliteserien with both sides seeking momentum. KFUM Oslo have a strong recent head-to-head record at home, while Tromso arrive with defensive concerns despite their higher league position.
KFUM Oslo
v
Tromso
Eliteserien | Fri 29 May, 18:00
KFUM Oslo v Tromso Stats
Data last updated: Thu 28 May 2026, 03:32 UK time
BT4Y best bet
KFUM Oslo to Win
KFUM Oslo unbeaten in last four home meetings with Rosenborg/Tromso
Tromso have conceded 2.4 goals per game across recent league matches
KFUM Oslo have scored in five of their last six home fixtures
Tromso's away defensive record is among the weakest in the division
KFUM Oslo's attacking efficiency at home has exposed visiting defences
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
KFUM Oslo are favoured due to a strong home record in this fixture and Tromso’s ongoing defensive struggles, conceding 2.4 goals per game recently. KFUM Oslo’s attacking output, with 4.6 shots on target per match, suggests they can capitalise on Tromso’s vulnerabilities. While Tromso sit higher in the table, their defensive issues on the road have been persistent, and KFUM Oslo’s recent head-to-head dominance at home further strengthens the case for a home win. The model sees a clear edge for the hosts, supported by both recent form and tactical
Head-to-head home recordKFUM Oslo unbeaten in last four home meetings
Strong positive
Tromso defensive form2.4 goals conceded per game recently
Strong positive
KFUM Oslo attacking efficiency4.6 shots on target per match
Positive
League standingsTromso rank higher but defensive frailties persist
Neutral
Recent formKFUM Oslo 7 points from last 5, Tromso 5 points
Positive
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
KFUM Oslo are well placed to take advantage of Tromso’s defensive issues, especially given their strong recent home record in this fixture. Tromso’s tendency to concede multiple goals away from home gives KFUM Oslo a clear opportunity, and the hosts’ attacking efficiency should be enough to secure the win if they maintain composure in key moments.
!
Main risk
The main risk is that Tromso’s higher league position reflects a capacity to punish defensive lapses if KFUM Oslo fail to control transitions, especially if the visitors’ attack finds rhythm early.
“KFUM Oslo’s ability to exploit defensive gaps, especially at home, makes them a strong pick against a Tromso side struggling to keep goals out on their travels. Expect the hosts to create the better chances and edge a high-stakes contest.”
Key Data Signals
Under 2.5 Goals evidence
KFUM Oslo unbeaten in last four home meetings with Rosenborg/Tromso
Tromso have conceded 2.4 goals per game across recent league matches
KFUM Oslo have scored in five of their last six home fixtures
Tromso's away defensive record is among the weakest in the division
What To Watch In The Data
Under 2.5 Goals notes
Check whether the lower-scoring side can contribute enough chances to support the market.
Final line-ups and price movement can change the value quickly.
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile and goal-market notes.
KFUM Oslo1.2
Avg goals scored
Tromso0.8
KFUM Oslo1.2
Avg goals conceded
Tromso2.4
KFUM Oslo40%
BTTS rate
Tromso40%
KFUM Oslo40%
Over 2.5 goals
Tromso40%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 60% vs implied 54% · edge +5.6 pts
Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 40% for KFUM Oslo and 40% for Tromso, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
KFUM Oslo
WLLDW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
25 May 2026H Rosenborg2-0
16 May 2026A Brann1-2
10 May 2026H Viking0-2
03 May 2026A Valerenga2-2
26 Apr 2026H Sarpsborg 08 FF1-0
Tromso
DLWDL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 2L
25 May 2026H Aalesund1-1
16 May 2026A Bodo/Glimt0-5
10 May 2026H Molde2-0
03 May 2026A Start1-1
29 Apr 2026H Brann0-5
Best odds for this sectionKFUM Oslo to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 35% · edge +25.8 pts
KFUM Oslo to Win is supported by the form gap: KFUM Oslo have 7 recent points compared with 5 for Tromso, so the result case is backed by recent output rather than price alone.
Tromso are second in the table, but their defensive record on the road undermines their position, while KFUM Oslo’s recent results at home suggest they can bridge the gap.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Best odds for this sectionKFUM Oslo to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 35% · edge +25.8 pts
KFUM Oslo to Win is supported by the form gap: KFUM Oslo have 7 recent points compared with 5 for Tromso, so the result case is backed by recent output rather than price alone.
Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
KFUM Oslo3.4
Avg corners for
Tromso4
KFUM Oslo8.8
Avg total corners
Tromso8.4
KFUM Oslo2.2
Avg yellow cards
Tromso1.8
KFUM Oslo9.6
Avg shots
Tromso12
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 49% vs implied 48% · edge +1.5 pts
Over 9.5 Corners is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: KFUM Oslo average 3.4 corners and Tromso average 4, so the bet needs sustained territory to become repeated deliveries rather than sterile possession.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
3KFUM Oslo wins
4Draws
3Tromso wins
07 Mar 2026KFUM Oslo v Tromso2-1
31 Aug 2025Tromso v KFUM Oslo2-0
11 May 2025KFUM Oslo v Tromso1-3
08 May 2025Tromso v KFUM Oslo0-1
18 Aug 2024KFUM Oslo v Tromso0-1
13 Jul 2024Tromso v KFUM Oslo1-2
Best odds for this sectionKFUM Oslo to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 35% · edge +25.8 pts
KFUM Oslo to Win is supported by the form gap: KFUM Oslo have 7 recent points compared with 5 for Tromso, so the result case is backed by recent output rather than price alone.
Season team stats
Eliteserien
KFUM Oslo10
Played
Tromso12
KFUM Oslo1.2
Avg goals for
Tromso1.5
KFUM Oslo1.7
Avg goals against
Tromso1.2
KFUM Oslo3
Clean sheets
Tromso6
Best odds for this sectionKFUM Oslo to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 35% · edge +25.8 pts
KFUM Oslo to Win is supported by the form gap: KFUM Oslo have 7 recent points compared with 5 for Tromso, so the result case is backed by recent output rather than price alone.
Player stats
Player props and player-level numbers.
Best player marketT. Haltvik Anytime GoalscorerT. Haltvik · 4 goals · 1.64 SOT/90
Haltvik Anytime Goalscorer is backed by T. Haltvik's recent output: 4 goals and 1.64 SOT/90 points to a player who can threaten if service reaches the box.
T. HaltvikKFUM Oslo · Attacker
Goal threat67/100
Shots /902.26
SOT /901.64
T. NyhammerTromso · Midfielder
Goal threat61/100
Shots /904.29
SOT /904.29
J. Hjertø-DahlTromso · Midfielder
Goal threat60/100
Shots /901.79
SOT /900.94
B. NjieKFUM Oslo · Attacker
Goal threat51/100
Shots /902.47
SOT /901.64
R. VingeKFUM Oslo · Attacker
Goal threat43/100
Shots /902.45
SOT /901.36
Momodou NjieKFUM Oslo · Defender
Goal threat0/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
D. HicksonKFUM Oslo · Attacker
Goal threat11/100
Shots /900.58
SOT /900.58
M. VinjorKFUM Oslo · Attacker
Goal threat21/100
Shots /901.2
SOT /900.45
Key match trends
Over 2.5 and recent goal-pattern context.
40%KFUM Oslo Over 2.5
40%Tromso Over 2.5
2.2H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: KFUM Oslo sit at 40% and Tromso sit at 40% with the H2H average at 2.2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.
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