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Kairat Almaty crestKairat Almaty
v
Anderlecht crestAnderlecht

UEFA Europa League | Thu 20 Aug, 16:00

Kairat Almaty v Anderlecht Stats

Data last updated: Wed 19 Aug 2026, 07:28 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This UEFA Europa League tie features Anderlecht traveling to face Kairat Almaty in a match where Anderlecht arrive in strong recent form, having secured 10 points in their last matches with a solid defensive record conceding just once. Kairat Almaty’s data is limited, but their lack of recent points suggests a challenging fixture ahead. Anderlecht’s tactical setup emphasizes controlled possession and efficient attacking transitions, aiming to capitalize on their higher shot volume and goal threat. The stakes are high as Anderlecht look to assert control early in this European encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Anderlecht to Win

  • Anderlecht have earned 10 points recently with a strong defensive record, conceding only 1 goal.
  • Anderlecht average 7 shots and 2.67 shots on target per match, indicating active offensive play.
  • Kairat Almaty’s data is limited, but recent form shows no points gained, suggesting struggles.
  • Anderlecht’s BTTS rate is 75%, showing attacking threat but also some defensive vulnerability.
  • No previous meetings between these teams, adding uncertainty but favoring Anderlecht’s superior form.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Anderlecht to win with a 70% chance, supported by their recent unbeaten run and superior offensive metrics including higher shot volumes and shot accuracy. Anderlecht’s ability to create quality chances, led by attackers like A. Bertaccini who averages 4.5 shots on target per 90 minutes, underpins this . The limited data on Kairat Almaty adds some uncertainty, but Anderlecht’s consistent form and attacking efficiency provide a strong football rationale for backing them. The current reflect positive value with a 20% edge over implied probability, making this a compelling selection.

Recent FormAnderlecht 10 points, strong defense
Strong positive
Shot VolumeAnderlecht 7 shots/match, 2.67 on target
Strong positive
Player ThreatA. Bertaccini 4.5 SOT/90, goal threat
Strong positive
Data QualityLimited Kairat data, caution advised
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Anderlecht’s recent form and attacking efficiency make them the clear favorite in this fixture. Their ability to generate quality chances and maintain defensive solidity provides a tactical and statistical foundation for expecting a win. Kairat Almaty’s lack of recent points and thinner data profile further supports Anderlecht’s advantage in this European clash.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Anderlecht to Win

“Anderlecht’s attacking rhythm and defensive discipline set a strong platform for victory, especially against a Kairat side with limited recent success and data visibility. Their key players’ shot volumes and goal threat underline the tactical edge in this matchup.”

Key Data Signals

Anderlecht to Win evidence

Anderlecht have earned 10 points recently with a strong defensive record, conceding only 1 goal.

Anderlecht average 7 shots and 2.67 shots on target per match, indicating active offensive play.

Kairat Almaty’s data is limited, but recent form shows no points gained, suggesting struggles.

Anderlecht’s BTTS rate is 75%, showing attacking threat but also some defensive vulnerability.

What To Watch In The Data

Anderlecht to Win notes

  • Although no head-to-head history exists, recent trends show Anderlecht’s matches have a 50% rate of over 2.5 goals, reflecting an open attacking style.
  • Their offensive tempo and shot volume suggest this fixture could follow a similar pattern, with multiple goal opportunities created.
  • The trend supports a lively game with chances for both teams to score, though Anderlecht’s form favors them to capitalize more effectively.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Kairat Almaty

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Kairat Almaty yet.

Anderlecht

WWWD
Last 53W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 0L
13 Aug 2026H PAOK3-2
06 Aug 2026A PAOK1-0
30 Jul 2026H Hammarby FF3-1
23 Jul 2026A Hammarby FF1-1
Market aligned with main pickAnderlecht to WinBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Anderlecht Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Anderlecht’s recent form is impressive, securing 10 points with only one goal conceded, demonstrating both attacking efficiency and defensive solidity. Kairat Almaty’s lack of recent points and limited data suggest struggles in form and consistency. This contrast highlights Anderlecht’s momentum and readiness to control the match tempo and outcome, reinforcing their status as favorites in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Kairat Almaty-
Avg goals scored
Anderlecht2
Kairat Almaty-
Avg goals conceded
Anderlecht1
Kairat Almaty-
BTTS rate
Anderlecht75%
Kairat Almaty-
Over 2.5 goals
Anderlecht50%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Anderlecht’s BTTS rate of 75% and a 50% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals indicate a tendency for open games with scoring from both sides. While Kairat Almaty’s data is limited, Anderlecht’s offensive activity suggests goals are likely. This fixture could see multiple goals given Anderlecht’s shot volume and Kairat’s defensive uncertainties, supporting a goal-involved match scenario.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickAnderlecht to WinBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Anderlecht Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 35%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The for Anderlecht to win offer clear positive value, priced around 2.0 with an implied chance of 50% while the model estimates a 70% probability. This gap highlights a favorable betting angle given Anderlecht’s superior recent form and attacking metrics. The market reflects but has yet to fully adjust to Anderlecht’s strong momentum and offensive potency, making this a price-sensitive opportunity worth backing.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Kairat Almaty wins
0Draws
0Anderlecht wins
Market aligned with main pickAnderlecht to WinBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
There are no previous meetings between Kairat Almaty and Anderlecht, so head-to-head data offers no direct insight. This lack of history increases uncertainty, placing greater emphasis on current form, player quality, and tactical approaches to assess the likely outcome of this European encounter.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Kairat Almaty-
Avg corners for
Anderlecht3.67
Kairat Almaty-
Avg total corners
Anderlecht5.33
Kairat Almaty-
Avg yellow cards
Anderlecht2.67
Kairat Almaty-
Avg shots
Anderlecht7
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 29%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 35%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Anderlecht averages 3.67 corners and 2.67 yellow cards per match, reflecting an active attacking approach with moderate defensive aggression. Their average of 7 shots per game, including 2.67 on target, shows sustained pressure and territory control. Kairat Almaty’s limited data restricts full analysis, but Anderlecht’s consistent offensive pressure and set-piece opportunities suggest control in corners and shots.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Europa League

Kairat Almaty0
Played
Anderlecht4
Kairat Almaty0
Avg goals for
Anderlecht2
Kairat Almaty0
Avg goals against
Anderlecht1
Kairat Almaty0
Clean sheets
Anderlecht1
Market aligned with main pickAnderlecht to WinBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Anderlecht Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over the season, Anderlecht’s attacking numbers stand out with high shot volumes and a strong goal threat from key players, while their defense has been relatively tight. Kairat Almaty’s season data is sparse, limiting direct comparison, but their recent lack of points indicates challenges in both scoring and defensive stability. Anderlecht’s season-long consistency supports their likelihood to secure victory here.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Kairat Almaty Over 2.5
50%Anderlecht Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Although no head-to-head history exists, recent trends show Anderlecht’s matches have a 50% rate of over 2.5 goals, reflecting an open attacking style. Their offensive tempo and shot volume suggest this fixture could follow a similar pattern, with multiple goal opportunities created. The trend supports a lively game with chances for both teams to score, though Anderlecht’s form favors them to capitalize more effectively.

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