Football Stats Hub

Inter crestInter
v
Hellas Verona crestHellas Verona

Serie A | Sun 17 May, 14:00

Inter v Hellas Verona Stats

Data last updated: Sun 07 Jun 2026, 06:08 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Inter face Hellas Verona in Serie A on Sun 17 May, 14:00. Verona have failed to score in 19 league games this season, while Inter's defence has kept 21 clean sheets. Inter are in clinical form, scoring at least twice in eight consecutive matches.

BT4Y best bet

Inter Win

  • At 40/85, Inter Win implies roughly 68%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 74%.
  • Parma, Cagliari and Roma all left Milan having conceded multiple goals, while even stronger sides have struggled to survive Inter’s pressure over 90 minutes.
  • Inter have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 2 for Hellas Verona.
  • Inter have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Inter Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Inter sit 1 in the table, while Hellas Verona sit 19, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 74% for Inter Win sits against roughly 68% implied by the current price. Inter have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 2 for Hellas Verona. Parma, Cagliari and Roma all left Milan having conceded multiple goals, while even stronger sides have struggled to survive Inter’s pressure over 90 minutes.

Model chance vs price74% model chance against roughly 68% implied
Positive
Inter have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points.Visible data support
Positive
Inter have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Parma, Cagliari and Roma all left Milan having conceded.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Inter Win is the preferred angle because parma, Cagliari and Roma all left Milan having conceded multiple goals, while even stronger sides have struggled to survive Inter’s pressure over 90 minutes. Inter have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 2 for Hellas Verona. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Inter Win evidence

Parma, Cagliari and Roma all left Milan having conceded multiple goals, while even stronger sides have struggled.

Inter have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 2 for Hellas Verona.

Inter have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Inter Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Inter sit 1 in the table, while Hellas Verona sit 19, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Inter Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Inter3.8
    Avg corners for
    Hellas Verona4.4
    Inter8.4
    Avg total corners
    Hellas Verona10.2
    Inter2.2
    Avg yellow cards
    Hellas Verona2.6
    Inter13
    Avg shots
    Hellas Verona11
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 51% · edge +5.3 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    Serie A fixtures and predictionsrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Inter2.8
    Avg goals scored
    Hellas Verona0.4
    Inter1
    Avg goals conceded
    Hellas Verona1
    Inter40%
    BTTS rate
    Hellas Verona40%
    Inter80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Hellas Verona20%
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +14.5 pts
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 57%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 69%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 47%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 33%
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickInter to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 82% · edge -8 pts
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 57%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Inter Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Inter to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Inter

    WWDWW
    Last 54W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 106W 3D 1L
    09 May 2026A Lazio3-0
    03 May 2026H Parma2-0
    26 Apr 2026A Torino2-2
    17 Apr 2026H Cagliari3-0
    12 Apr 2026A Como4-3

    Hellas Verona

    LDDLL
    Last 50W 2D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 2D 7L
    10 May 2026H Como0-1
    03 May 2026A Juventus1-1
    25 Apr 2026H Lecce0-0
    19 Apr 2026H AC Milan0-1
    11 Apr 2026A Torino1-2
    Market aligned with main pickInter to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 82% · edge -8 pts
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 86%
    1.03
    Check odds @ 1.03
    Inter Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    9Inter wins
    1Draws
    0Hellas Verona wins
    02 Nov 2025Hellas Verona v Inter1-2
    03 May 2025Inter v Hellas Verona1-0
    23 Nov 2024Hellas Verona v Inter0-5
    26 May 2024Hellas Verona v Inter2-2
    06 Jan 2024Inter v Hellas Verona2-1
    03 May 2023Hellas Verona v Inter0-6
    Market aligned with main pickInter to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 82% · edge -8 pts
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 57%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Inter to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Serie A

    Inter38
    Played
    Hellas Verona38
    Inter2.3
    Avg goals for
    Hellas Verona0.7
    Inter0.9
    Avg goals against
    Hellas Verona1.6
    Inter18
    Clean sheets
    Hellas Verona6
    Market aligned with main pickInter to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 82% · edge -8 pts
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Load more odds for this section
    Inter Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Season data supports Inter to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1Inter8738276554
    19Hellas Verona213831223-36
    Inter sit in position 1, while Hellas Verona sit in position 19, so table pressure belongs in the Inter Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Inter Over 2.5
    20%Hellas Verona Over 2.5
    3H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Inter sit at 80% and Hellas Verona sit at 20% with the H2H average at 3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Inter v Hellas Verona prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

    More stats pages

    Browse football stats pages

    Open the main stats hub for the latest fixture dashboards.

    Competition and hubs

    Serie A hubSerie A fixtures and predictionsrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football stats

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    Read full prediction View match centre