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Inter crestInter
v
Hellas Verona crestHellas Verona

Serie A | Sun 17 May, 14:00

Inter v Hellas Verona Stats

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • At 2.62, Under 2.5 Goals is priced at roughly 38% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 53%, so the current line is showing a +14.5-point value edge.
  • Inter are at 80% for Over 2.5 in their last-five sample, Hellas Verona are at 20%, and the H2H goal average is 3.
  • The goals data supports the Under 2.5 Goals angle: Inter have taken 4 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 2.8 goals scored and 1 conceded.
  • The goals data supports the Under 2.5 Goals angle: Hellas Verona have taken 0 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 40% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 2.62, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 42% vs implied 15% · edge +27.3 pts
6.8
Bet HERE @ 6.8
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 57%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
9
Bet HERE @ 9
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.2
Bet HERE @ 1.2
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.1
Bet HERE @ 1.1
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
8
Bet HERE @ 8
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.5
Bet HERE @ 1.5
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

80%Inter Over 2.5
20%Hellas Verona Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Inter

WWDWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 3D 1L
09 May 2026A Lazio3-0
03 May 2026H Parma2-0
26 Apr 2026A Torino2-2
17 Apr 2026H Cagliari3-0
12 Apr 2026A Como4-3

Hellas Verona

LDDLL
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 7L
10 May 2026H Como0-1
03 May 2026A Juventus1-1
25 Apr 2026H Lecce0-0
19 Apr 2026H AC Milan0-1
11 Apr 2026A Torino1-2
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 42% vs implied 15% · edge +27.3 pts
6.8
Bet HERE @ 6.8
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Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 86%
1.02
Bet HERE @ 1.02
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
9
Bet HERE @ 9
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.2
Bet HERE @ 1.2
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.1
Bet HERE @ 1.1
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
8
Bet HERE @ 8
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Inter2.8
Avg goals scored
Hellas Verona0.4
Inter1
Avg goals conceded
Hellas Verona1
Inter40%
BTTS rate
Hellas Verona40%
Inter80%
Over 2.5 goals
Hellas Verona20%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +14.5 pts
2.62
Bet HERE @ 2.62
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 57%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.17
Bet HERE @ 1.17
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.5
Bet HERE @ 1.5
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 33%
2.3
Bet HERE @ 2.3
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

9Inter wins
1Draws
0Hellas Verona wins
02 Nov 2025Hellas Verona v Inter1-2
03 May 2025Inter v Hellas Verona1-0
23 Nov 2024Hellas Verona v Inter0-5
26 May 2024Hellas Verona v Inter2-2
06 Jan 2024Inter v Hellas Verona2-1
03 May 2023Hellas Verona v Inter0-6
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 48% · edge +9.1 pts
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
9
Bet HERE @ 9
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.2
Bet HERE @ 1.2
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
8
Bet HERE @ 8
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.5
Bet HERE @ 1.5
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Inter3.8
Avg corners for
Hellas Verona4.4
Inter8.4
Avg total corners
Hellas Verona10.2
Inter2.2
Avg yellow cards
Hellas Verona2.6
Inter13
Avg shots
Hellas Verona11
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 51% · edge +5.3 pts
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleJesús Santiago Anytime GoalscorerJesús Santiago · 0 goals · 8.18 SOT/90
86/100
Bet HERE
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Jesús Santiago 1+ Shot On TargetJesús Santiago · 8.18 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
Jesús Santiago 2+ ShotsJesús Santiago · 16.36 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
Jesús Santiago To Assist / Key Pass AngleJesús Santiago · 0 assists · 8.18 key passes/90
78/100
Bet HERE
Jesús Santiago To Be FouledJesús Santiago · 8.18 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
J. Akpa Akpro Card RiskJ. Akpa Akpro · 9 yellows · 2.46 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Jesús Santiago
Jesús SantiagoHellas Verona · Midfielder
Goal threat100/100
Shots /9016.36
SOT /908.18
Lautaro Martínez
Lautaro MartínezInter · Attacker
Goal threat98/100
Shots /902.9
SOT /901.63
M. Thuram
M. ThuramInter · Attacker
Goal threat85/100
Shots /902.63
SOT /901.36
Giovane
GiovaneHellas Verona · Attacker
Goal threat59/100
Shots /902.04
SOT /901.46
G. Orban
G. OrbanHellas Verona · Attacker
Goal threat66/100
Shots /902.7
SOT /901.24
J. Akpa Akpro
J. Akpa AkproHellas Verona · Midfielder
Goal threat20/100
Shots /900.45
SOT /900.26
S. Esposito
S. EspositoInter · Attacker
Goal threat13/100
Shots /901.72
SOT /900
Al Musrati
Al MusratiHellas Verona · Midfielder
Goal threat10/100
Shots /900.44
SOT /900.11
Season team stats

Serie A

Inter36
Played
Hellas Verona36
Inter2.4
Avg goals for
Hellas Verona0.7
Inter0.9
Avg goals against
Hellas Verona1.6
Inter18
Clean sheets
Hellas Verona6
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 42% vs implied 15% · edge +27.3 pts
6.8
Bet HERE @ 6.8
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
9
Bet HERE @ 9
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.2
Bet HERE @ 1.2
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.1
Bet HERE @ 1.1
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Inter8536274554
19Hellas Verona203631122-34

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.