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HNK Rijeka crestHNK Rijeka
v
Derry City crestDerry City

UEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 23 Jul, 19:45

HNK Rijeka v Derry City Stats

Data last updated: Wed 22 Jul 2026, 05:24 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

HNK Rijeka face Derry City in UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu 23 Jul, 19:45. Rijeka are unbeaten in nine of their last ten UEFA Europa Conference League matches. Derry City’s consistent home scoring run, with 12 goals in five matches and strong shot and corner averages, supports goals for both sides.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Both Teams To Score YES

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 88%, above the 76% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 1.14, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 88%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 76%.
  • Rijeka’s dangerous attacks and clinical finishing mean they can exploit defensive gaps as Derry push forward to overturn the deficit.
Price warning

Both Teams To Score YES is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 88% while the model sits nearer 76% (-11.5 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Both Teams to Score shows a +13.6 pts edge at 2.75.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 76% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 88% implied by the current price. Rijeka’s dangerous attacks and clinical finishing mean they can exploit defensive gaps as Derry push forward to overturn the deficit.

Model chance vs price76% model chance against roughly 88% implied
Negative
Rijeka’s dangerous attacks and clinical finishing mean they can.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge -11.5 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: HNK Rijeka Win is the preferred angle because rijeka’s dangerous attacks and clinical finishing mean they can exploit defensive gaps as Derry push forward to overturn the deficit. It was not glamorous, but knockout football rarely gives prizes for artistic impression.

Main risk

It was not glamorous, but knockout football rarely gives prizes for artistic impression.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Rijeka’s dangerous attacks and clinical finishing mean they can exploit defensive gaps as Derry push forward to overturn.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickHNK Rijeka to WinBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 88% · edge -11.5 pts
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    HNK Rijeka Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    HNK Rijeka to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    HNK Rijeka-
    Avg goals scored
    Derry City-
    HNK Rijeka-
    Avg goals conceded
    Derry City-
    HNK Rijeka-
    BTTS rate
    Derry City-
    HNK Rijeka-
    Over 2.5 goals
    Derry City-
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 36% · edge +13.6 pts
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 54%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    HNK Rijeka

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for HNK Rijeka yet.

    Derry City

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Derry City yet.

    Market aligned with main pickHNK Rijeka to WinBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 88% · edge -11.5 pts
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Load more odds for this section
    HNK Rijeka Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    -HNK Rijeka Over 2.5
    -Derry City Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    Rijeka’s dangerous attacks and clinical finishing mean they can exploit defensive gaps as Derry push forward to overturn the deficit.

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