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HNK Hajduk Split crestHNK Hajduk Split
v
Pafos crestPafos

UEFA Europa League | Thu 23 Jul, 20:00

HNK Hajduk Split v Pafos Stats

Data last updated: Sun 20 Sep 2026, 19:09 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

HNK Hajduk Split face Pafos in UEFA Europa League on Thu 23 Jul, 20:00. HNK Hajduk Split come in with 3 recent points and 1.5 goals per match, while Pafos have 0 points and - goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 1.91, Both Teams to Score implies roughly 52%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 67%.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 67% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 52% implied by the current price.

Model chance vs price67% model chance against roughly 52% implied
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +14.3 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Compare both teams on scoring rate and clean-sheet record before trusting Both Teams To Score.
  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

HNK Hajduk Split

LW
Last 51W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 1L
16 Jul 2026A Žilina1-2
09 Jul 2026H Žilina2-0

Pafos

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Pafos yet.

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 82% · edge -7.6 pts
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
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HNK Hajduk Split Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Pafos Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
HNK Hajduk Split to WinBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Pafos to WinBetUK guide price · model 26%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5

Continue the research

Useful next reads

UEFA Europa League hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
UEFA Europa League standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

HNK Hajduk Split1.5
Avg goals scored
Pafos-
HNK Hajduk Split1
Avg goals conceded
Pafos-
HNK Hajduk Split50%
BTTS rate
Pafos-
HNK Hajduk Split50%
Over 2.5 goals
Pafos-
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +14.3 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
4
Check odds @ 4
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +14.3 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
HNK Hajduk Split Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Pafos Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
HNK Hajduk Split to WinBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Pafos to WinBetUK guide price · model 26%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0HNK Hajduk Split wins
0Draws
0Pafos wins
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +14.3 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
HNK Hajduk Split to WinBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Pafos to WinBetUK guide price · model 26%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for BTTS Yes, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

HNK Hajduk Split0
Avg corners for
Pafos-
HNK Hajduk Split0
Avg total corners
Pafos-
HNK Hajduk Split2
Avg yellow cards
Pafos-
HNK Hajduk Split0
Avg shots
Pafos-
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 29%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 35%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Europa League

HNK Hajduk Split4
Played
Pafos4
HNK Hajduk Split1.3
Avg goals for
Pafos1.3
HNK Hajduk Split1
Avg goals against
Pafos1.5
HNK Hajduk Split2
Clean sheets
Pafos1
Best odds for this sectionHNK Hajduk Split Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 63% · edge -6.8 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Load more odds for this section
Pafos Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
HNK Hajduk Split to WinBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Pafos to WinBetUK guide price · model 26%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Season data supports HNK Hajduk Split Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%HNK Hajduk Split Over 2.5
-Pafos Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

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Competition and hubs

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Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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