Football Stats Hub

Egypt crestEgypt
v
South Africa crestSouth Africa

Friendlies | Sun 04 Oct, 19:00

Egypt v South Africa Stats

Data last updated: Sat 03 Oct 2026, 08:23 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Egypt face South Africa in Friendlies on Sun 04 Oct, 19:00. Egypt and South Africa meet at Cairo International Stadium on Sunday with both sides carrying momentum from emphatic 5-0 victories in Africa Cup of Nations qualifying. Egypt enter this friendly with strong attacking momentum from a 5-0 win and Marmoush's scoring form.

BT4Y best bet

Egypt to win

  • Egypt to win is rated around 68% by the current BT4Y model.
  • Without Mohamed Abdelmonem and Mohamed El Shenawy, a single defensive error could ruin the exact-score selection, especially considering South Africa’s Oswin Appollis recently supplied.
  • Egypt have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 3 for South Africa.
  • Egypt have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per match, which helps the Egypt to win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Egypt to win around 68% on the latest available numbers. Egypt have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 3 for South Africa. Without Mohamed Abdelmonem and Mohamed El Shenawy, a single defensive error could ruin the exact-score selection, especially considering South Africa’s Oswin Appollis recently supplied.

Egypt have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points.Visible data support
Positive
Egypt have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Without Mohamed Abdelmonem and Mohamed El Shenawy, a single.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Egypt Win is the preferred angle because without Mohamed Abdelmonem and Mohamed El Shenawy, a single defensive error could ruin the exact-score selection, especially considering South Africa’s Oswin Appollis recently supplied three assists against Eritrea. Egypt have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 3 for South Africa. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Egypt to win evidence

Without Mohamed Abdelmonem and Mohamed El Shenawy, a single defensive error could ruin the exact-score selection, especially considering.

Egypt have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 3 for South Africa.

Egypt have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per match, which helps the Egypt Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Egypt to win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Egypt1.5
    Avg goals scored
    South Africa0.75
    Egypt0.5
    Avg goals conceded
    South Africa1
    Egypt25%
    BTTS rate
    South Africa75%
    Egypt50%
    Over 2.5 goals
    South Africa25%

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

    Check odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

    Check odds

    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Egypt

    LWDW
    Last 52W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 1D 1L
    06 Jun 2026A Brazil1-2
    28 May 2026H Russia1-0
    31 Mar 2026A Spain0-0
    27 Mar 2026A Saudi Arabia4-0

    South Africa

    DDLD
    Last 50W 3D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 3D 1L
    06 Jun 2026A Jamaica1-1
    29 May 2026H Nicaragua0-0
    31 Mar 2026H Panama1-2
    27 Mar 2026H Panama1-1

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

    Check odds

    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    50%Egypt Over 2.5
    25%South Africa Over 2.5
    2H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Egypt sit at 50% and South Africa sit at 25% with the H2H average at 2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Loading deeper match data…